Puerto Montt or Draw
Market 23.1% · BetBugs 72%
Puerto Montt are unbeaten in 7 of 10 home matches while Iquique have failed to win any of their 9 away games, making the double chance massively underpriced.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Puerto Montt's strong home form and Iquique's winless away record make the hosts a clear value play, especially in the double chance market at 4.33 (72% estimated vs 23% implied).
The draw-heavy H2H and solid home defense also support Under 2.5 goals at 4.50 and Both Teams to Score No at 2.40. Avoid backing Iquique at short odds, as their away struggles are not reflected in the market.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 23.1% · BetBugs 72%
Puerto Montt are unbeaten in 7 of 10 home matches while Iquique have failed to win any of their 9 away games, making the double chance massively underpriced.
Puerto MonttMarket 7.7% · BetBugs 42%
Puerto Montt's strong home form and Iquique's winless away record give the hosts a clear structural edge, yet the market prices them as massive underdogs.
Market 22.2% · BetBugs 58%
Draw-heavy H2H with 4 of last 5 meetings under 2.5 and Puerto Montt's solid home defense support a low total.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 85% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 30% for Iquique; price reflects market overreaction to league position, ignoring away form.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puerto Montt | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22-20 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 27-26 | 22 |

