Draw or Antofagasta
Market 71.4% · BetBugs 75%
Deportes Iquique's high draw rate combined with Antofagasta's strong overall record makes the away side or draw highly likely.
Primera BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Draw or Antofagasta at 1.40 for a small edge, as Deportes Iquique's high draw rate and Antofagasta's strong overall record make the away side or draw highly likely.
Avoid first-half goals markets, especially Over 1.5, which is significantly overpriced. The match winner and Over 2.5 goals are coin flips with no value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 71.4% · BetBugs 75%
Deportes Iquique's high draw rate combined with Antofagasta's strong overall record makes the away side or draw highly likely.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have consistent scoring records, and recent H2H meetings often saw both sides find the net, but the edge is thin.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
AntofagastaBetBugs 45% · Market 45.5%
Antofagasta's recent H2H dominance and superior league position give them the edge, though Deportes Iquique's solid home form tempers confidence.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 36% vs our 40% estimate is only a marginal edge, and first-half markets carry higher variance; the price does not offer enough cushion for a MEDIUM-confidence call.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 22-25 | 18 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32-20 | 30 |

