Draw or CA Los Andes
Market 64% · BetBugs 65%
Chaco For Ever have won only 5 of 24 league matches, while Los Andes have lost only 7 of 24, making the away side unlikely to lose.
Primera NacionalFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Los Andes are the better side on paper and have a recent 2-0 H2H win, but their away form is shaky and Chaco For Ever are fighting relegation.
The double chance (Draw or Los Andes) at 1.57 offers a slim edge, but most other markets are overpriced. Expect a low-scoring, tense affair with limited betting value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 64% · BetBugs 65%
Chaco For Ever have won only 5 of 24 league matches, while Los Andes have lost only 7 of 24, making the away side unlikely to lose.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 56%
Both teams tend to be level at half-time, and their low first-half scoring rates support a drawn first half.
BetBugs 60% · Market 75.2%
Both teams average under a goal per match and Los Andes have a strong defensive record, but the odds heavily favor the under, leaving no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 30% vs our 40% estimate suggests value, but the away side's recent form is poor and the market may be pricing motivation correctly.
Chaco For Ever has fulfilled 5 of 7 Under 2.5 goals predictions, a 71% success rate. The average estimated probability was 69.6%, with an expected 4.9 fulfilled predictions, so actual fulfilment slightly exceeded expectation. The current prediction of 60% is below the historical range of 65–75%, indicating a lower confidence than past projections.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Chaco For EverRelegation | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21-29 | 22 |
| 9 | CA Los Andes | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20-14 | 33 |

