Primera NacionalFull time

Predictions graded

CA Mitre0CA Los Andes3

HT 0–2Sun 14 Jun 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–443%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jun 2026, 09:54 · Europe/Bucharest

A tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome as defensive Los Andes travel to struggling Mitre, with both teams drawing 50% of their matches this season.

The best value lies in first-half under 0.5 goals at 2.05 (+11.2% edge), while match-winner and double-chance markets offer no value. Avoid backing either side outright and expect a cautious affair with few clear chances.

Context

Mitre are 13th in Zona A on 17 points, only 3 points above the relegation places.
- The bottom two in each zone are relegated, so every point is critical for Mitre.
Los Andes are 4th in Zona A with 26 points, inside the top 8 that qualify for the Torneo Reducido.
- Dropping points could see them slip out of the playoff places in a tight table.
Los Andes have conceded only 4 goals in 16 league matches, the best defensive record in the division.
- They have kept clean sheets in 5 of 6 away matches, conceding just 1 goal on the road.
Mitre have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- They have scored only 1.1 goals per game on average at home this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high draw frequency this season (50% each), and with Mitre's home inconsistency and Los Andes' solid away record, a stalemate is the most likely outcome, supported by Motivation/Stakes keeping both cautious.
- CA Mitre have drawn 8 of 16 league matches this season, including 7 of 9 away draws but also 1 home draw.
- CA Los Andes have drawn 8 of 16 league matches, with 5 of 10 home draws and 3 of 6 away draws.
- In the last 5 matches, CA Mitre have drawn 3 times, while CA Los Andes have drawn 3 times.
- H2H in Primera Nacional (2018-2019): both matches ended 2-1 to the home side, but current form suggests a tighter contest.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' exceptional away defensive record and Mitre's home struggles make a home win unlikely; the double chance covers the high probability of a draw or away win, driven by Structural Home/Away Edge and Injuries/Suspensions Impact (no key absences).
- CA Los Andes are unbeaten away this season: 3 wins, 3 draws in 6 away matches, conceding only 1 goal.
- CA Mitre have won only 3 of 7 home matches, losing 3 and drawing 1.
- CA Los Andes have the best defensive record in the league: only 4 goals conceded in 16 matches.
- CA Mitre have failed to win any of their last 5 home matches against top-half teams (based on available data).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or CA Los AndesEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The high frequency of halftime draws for both teams, combined with low first-half scoring, makes a draw at the break the most probable outcome, supported by Tactical Matchup Edge and Motivation/Stakes.
- CA Mitre have drawn at halftime in 40% of their matches (6 of 15), with only 3 first-half leads.
- CA Los Andes have drawn at halftime in 60% of their matches (9 of 15), with only 5 first-half leads.
- In the last 5 matches, CA Mitre have drawn at halftime 3 times, while CA Los Andes have drawn 4 times.
- Both teams have a low first-half goal rate, increasing the likelihood of a level halftime score.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a full draw is plausible given both teams' tendencies, the specific HT/FT draw combination is less frequent; still, it's a reasonable low-confidence pick based on Motivation/Stakes and Tactical Matchup Edge favoring a cautious, even match.
- CA Mitre have drawn at halftime and fulltime in 3 of 15 matches (20%).
- CA Los Andes have drawn at halftime and fulltime in 5 of 15 matches (33%).
- In the last 5 matches, CA Mitre have had 1 HT/FT draw, while CA Los Andes have had 2.
- Both teams have a high overall draw rate (50% each), increasing the chance of a stalemate throughout.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' league-best defense (0.25 goals conceded per game) and Mitre's moderate scoring at home strongly point to a low-scoring affair, with Tactical Matchup Edge favoring defensive solidity over attacking risks.
- CA Los Andes have seen under 2.5 goals in 14 of their 16 league matches (87.5%), with only 4 goals conceded all season.
- CA Mitre's home matches average 2.57 total goals, but 4 of 7 home games have had under 2.5 goals.
- In the last 5 matches, CA Mitre have had under 2.5 goals in 3 games, while CA Los Andes have had under 2.5 in all 5.
- H2H: both previous meetings had over 2.5 goals, but current defensive form of Los Andes overrides historical trends.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' defensive resilience away from home and Mitre's recent scoring struggles at home make it likely that at least one team fails to score, driven by Structural Home/Away Edge and Tactical Matchup Edge.
- CA Los Andes have kept a clean sheet in 12 of 16 league matches (75%), including 5 of 6 away matches.
- CA Mitre have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in only 1 of CA Mitre's games and 0 of CA Los Andes' games.
- CA Los Andes have conceded only 1 goal in 6 away matches this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Los Andes' exceptional away defensive record and Mitre's home scoring woes suggest a high chance of an away clean sheet, supported by Structural Home/Away Edge and Injuries/Suspensions Impact (no key absences).
- CA Los Andes have kept a clean sheet in 5 of 6 away matches this season (83%).
- CA Mitre have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- CA Los Andes have the best defensive record in the league, conceding only 4 goals in 16 matches.
- In the last 5 matches, CA Los Andes have kept 4 clean sheets.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCA Mitre not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with low first-half scoring averages and a pattern of goalless first halves, driven by Tactical Matchup Edge and Motivation/Stakes encouraging a careful opening.
- CA Mitre average 0.2 first-half goals per game, conceding 0.5; 40% of their matches have been goalless at halftime.
- CA Los Andes average 0.3 first-half goals per game, conceding 0.1; 60% of their matches have been goalless at halftime.
- In the last 5 matches, CA Mitre have had 0 first-half goals in 3 games, while CA Los Andes have had 0 in 4 games.
- Both teams have a high frequency of 0-0 halftime scores in recent form.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
In the absence of specific corner data, the low-scoring, defensive nature of this matchup suggests a lower corner count, driven by Tactical Matchup Edge and Structural Home/Away Edge, though confidence is low due to missing stats.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided dataset, so this is based on league averages and match context.
- Primera Nacional matches typically average around 8-9 corners per game, but low-scoring, defensive games tend to have fewer corners.
- CA Los Andes' defensive style and low goal involvement suggest fewer attacking corners for both sides.
- CA Mitre's home matches may see slightly more corners, but the overall pattern points to a low total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 0D · 2W

L2-1Atletico MitrevLos AndesApr 7, 2019PRI

L2-1Atletico MitrevLos AndesApr 30, 2018PRI

3 goals/game avg

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	CA Mitre	16	3	8	5	17-17	17
4	CA Los Andes Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)	16	6	8	2	12-4	26

9pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CA Mitre

L1-2Godoy CruzJun 7PRI

L1-3Deportivo MoronMay 31PRI

D1-1Colon Santa FeMay 24PRI

W4-0San MiguelMay 17PRI

D0-0San TelmoMay 9PRI

W2-0AcassusoMay 3PRI

D1-1Chaco For EverApr 26PRI

L0-1Ferro Carril OesteApr 19PRI

D1-1Central NorteApr 12PRI

L1-3Deportivo MadrynApr 5PRI

D2-2Club Atlético GüemesMar 29PRI

D0-0Defensores De BelgranoMar 21PRI

D1-1Ciudad de BolívarMar 15PRI

D0-0Racing CordobaMar 1PRI

W1-0CA EstudiantesFeb 23PRI

CA Los Andes

D0-0CA EstudiantesJun 6PRI

D0-0All BoysMay 30PRI

W2-0Racing CordobaMay 23PRI

W1-0Godoy CruzMay 16PRI

D0-0Deportivo MoronMay 9PRI

D1-1Colon Santa FeMay 2PRI

W2-0San MiguelApr 25PRI

D0-0San TelmoApr 18PRI

W1-0AcassusoApr 12PRI

W2-0Chaco For EverApr 5PRI

L0-1TemperleyMar 29PRI

W2-0Ferro Carril OesteMar 21PRI

D0-0Central NorteMar 14PRI

L0-1Defensores De BelgranoFeb 28PRI

D1-1Ciudad de BolívarFeb 22PRI

Squad & Injuries

CA Mitre

30 available

Attackers8

Midfielders7

Defenders12

Goalkeeper3

CA Los Andes

27 available

Attackers8

Midfielders6

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw or CA Los Andes

Draw

Under 0.5

Under 2.5

No

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

CA Mitre

CA Mitre not to score

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CA Mitre

CA Los Andes

Squad & Injuries

CA Mitre

CA Los Andes