Over 2.5
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 72%
H2H trend is strongly goal-heavy (5 of last 6 over 2.5) and both teams' defensive records support another high-scoring encounter.
A LygaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The strongest betting edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.57, with a 72% model probability against 63.7% implied.
First-half over 1.5 goals also offers value at 2.20. Avoid the match winner and double chance markets, as they are efficiently priced or negative value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 72%
H2H trend is strongly goal-heavy (5 of last 6 over 2.5) and both teams' defensive records support another high-scoring encounter.
Market 45.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to concede early (Siauliai 1.2 first-half goals against, Panevezys 0.9) and H2H history shows lively first halves.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
FK PanevezysBetBugs 45% · Market 45.5%
FA Siauliai have lost their last 5 league matches and have only 2 wins in 23 this season, while Panevezys won the most recent H2H 3-2.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 60% leaves no cushion vs our 45% away win estimate; the draw no bet price is too short given Panevezys' poor away record.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FA Siauliai | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 22-50 | 13 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21-38 | 23 |

