Draw
Market 31% · BetBugs 38%
Last two H2H meetings ended 1-1, Hegelmann have drawn 10 of 20 league matches, and FA Siauliai have drawn 7 of 20, making the draw undervalued at 3.25.
A LygaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Hegelmann’s heavy schedule and poor away record (W1 D3 L6) clash with a FA Siauliai side that has drawn both 2026 H2Hs 1-1.
The draw at 3.25 offers a 7-point edge over the implied probability, while the double chance home/draw at 1.83 is also value. Avoid over 2.5 goals and first-half over 1.5 goals, where the market overestimates scoring likelihood given recent low-output trends.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 31% · BetBugs 38%
Last two H2H meetings ended 1-1, Hegelmann have drawn 10 of 20 league matches, and FA Siauliai have drawn 7 of 20, making the draw undervalued at 3.25.
Market 55% · BetBugs 65%
Hegelmann have won only 1 of 10 away league matches and are winless in 5, while FA Siauliai avoid defeat in over a third of home games, making home-or-draw value at 1.83.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%
Both teams consistently score and concede, with 4 of last 5 H2H meetings seeing BTTS; odds are fair but offer slight value given the high probability.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FA SiauliaiTOPLYGA (Relegation) | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18-41 | 13 |
| 7 | Hegelmann | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 21-34 | 19 |

