Coquimbo Unido11 – 0San Marcos de Arica0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's strong H2H dominance, superior defensive record, and home advantage, combined with San Marcos' poor away form and lack of motivation as bottom of the group, make a home win highly likely.

• Coquimbo Unido are unbeaten in last 5 H2H (3W 2D), including 1-0 and 3-0 wins in 2026 and 2025 Copa Chile meetings.
• Coquimbo Unido average 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over last 15 matches; San Marcos de Arica average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.
• Coquimbo Unido have won 4 of last 5 home matches across all competitions, keeping 3 clean sheets.
• San Marcos de Arica have lost 3 of last 5 away matches, failing to score in 2 of those.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCoquimbo UnidoEstimated chance65%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Given Coquimbo Unido's strong overall form and H2H record, and San Marcos' struggles on the road, the probability of Coquimbo Unido avoiding defeat is very high.

• Coquimbo Unido have lost only 1 of last 15 matches (to Palestino away).
• San Marcos de Arica have won only 1 of last 5 away matches.
• H2H: Coquimbo Unido unbeaten in last 5 meetings (3W 2D).
• Coquimbo Unido's home form: 4W 1D in last 5 home games.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonCoquimbo Unido or DrawEstimated chance85%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's tendency to start strong at home, combined with San Marcos' low first-half scoring output, suggests the hosts are likely to lead at the break.

• Coquimbo Unido led at half-time in 47% of last 15 matches; San Marcos trailed at half-time in only 13%.
• Coquimbo Unido average 0.7 first-half goals, concede 0.3; San Marcos average 0.5 scored, 0.3 conceded in first half.
• H2H last meeting: Coquimbo Unido led 1-0 at half-time (away).
• Coquimbo Unido have scored first-half goals in 3 of last 5 home matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCoquimbo UnidoEstimated chance50%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's pattern of starting well at home and converting leads into wins, against a San Marcos side that rarely leads at half-time, supports a home HT/FT double.

• Coquimbo Unido led at half-time in 47% of matches and won 60% overall.
• San Marcos de Arica trailed at half-time in only 13% but lost 33% overall.
• Coquimbo Unido won last H2H 1-0, leading at half-time.
• Coquimbo Unido have won 4 of last 5 home matches, leading at half-time in 3 of those.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonCoquimbo Unido / Coquimbo UnidoEstimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Recent form and H2H suggest a low-scoring affair, with Coquimbo Unido's solid defense (0.7 goals conceded average) likely to limit San Marcos, who have failed to score in 2 of last 3 H2H.

• Coquimbo Unido's last 5 matches: 4 had under 2.5 goals.
• San Marcos de Arica's last 5 matches: 3 had under 2.5 goals.
• H2H last 3 meetings: 1-0, 3-0, 2-2 (2 of 3 under 2.5).
• Coquimbo Unido average 1.5 goals scored, San Marcos 1.4; combined average 2.9 but recent trend lower.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's defensive solidity at home and San Marcos' scoring struggles in recent H2H encounters point to at least one team failing to score.

• Coquimbo Unido kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 home matches.
• San Marcos de Arica failed to score in 2 of last 3 H2H meetings.
• San Marcos de Arica failed to score in 2 of last 5 away matches.
• Coquimbo Unido's goals conceded average: 0.7 per game.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's strong home defensive record and San Marcos' historical difficulty scoring against them make a home clean sheet a reasonable expectation.

• Coquimbo Unido kept clean sheets in 3 of last 5 home matches.
• San Marcos de Arica failed to score in 2 of last 3 H2H meetings.
• Coquimbo Unido's goals conceded average: 0.7 overall, 0.3 in first half.
• San Marcos de Arica average 1.1 goals conceded, but only 1.4 scored.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSan Marcos de Arica not to scoreEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and recent matches consistently feature fewer than 1.5 goals before the break, making this a high-probability outcome.

• Coquimbo Unido's last 5 matches: all had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• San Marcos de Arica's last 5 matches: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• Coquimbo Unido average 0.7 first-half goals, concede 0.3; San Marcos average 0.5 scored, 0.3 conceded.
• H2H last 3 meetings: first-half goals were 1, 1, 1 (all under 1.5).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Based on Coquimbo Unido's corner statistics, their matches tend to produce over 8.5 corners, though San Marcos' data is missing, reducing confidence.

• Coquimbo Unido average 5.9 corners per game; opponents average 3.7 against them (combined 9.6).
• San Marcos de Arica corner data unavailable, but Coquimbo Unido's matches average 9.6 total corners.
• Coquimbo Unido's last 5 matches with corner data: 10, 9, 10, 12, 11 total corners (all over 8.5).
• Coquimbo Unido's home matches with corner data: 9, 10, 11 total corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's matches often see around 8-9 shots on target, and with San Marcos likely to concede chances, over 8.5 is plausible but uncertain due to missing away data.

• Coquimbo Unido average 5.4 shots on target per game; opponents average 2.7 against them (combined 8.1).
• San Marcos de Arica shots data unavailable, but Coquimbo Unido's matches average 8.1 shots on target.
• Coquimbo Unido's last 5 matches with shot data: 8, 7, 8, 12, 8 total shots on target (3 of 5 over 8.5).
• Coquimbo Unido's home matches with shot data: 7, 8, 8 total shots on target.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Coquimbo Unido's matches tend to produce around 5 cards, and with a cup tie potentially adding intensity, over 4.5 cards is a reasonable low-confidence pick.

• Coquimbo Unido average 2.7 yellow cards and 0.4 red cards per game; opponents average 2.1 yellows against them (combined 4.8).
• San Marcos de Arica card data unavailable, but Coquimbo Unido's matches average 4.8 cards.
• Coquimbo Unido's last 5 matches with card data: 6, 3, 5, 5, 4 total cards (4 of 5 over 4.5).
• Referee Nicolas Millas Lopez: no specific card data available.