Avai0CRB AL1

HT 0–1Tue 11 Aug 2026, 22:30 Predictions graded

Predictions4–736%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 50%–50%ShotsShots 23–18On targetOn target 9–3CornersCorners 14–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Aug 2026, 23:49 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Draw or CRB AL (double chance) at 1.45 for a high-confidence edge, and consider over 2.5 goals at 2.00 and over 9.5 corners at 1.85 for medium-confidence value.

The cards over 4.5 at 6.50 offers a huge edge but carries referee risk. Avoid match winner and first-half markets due to thin margins.

Context

CRB AL last 5 league results: WWWDL, with wins over Vila Nova, Ceara, and Nautico Recife.
- They scored 2 goals in each of those three wins, showing consistent attacking output.
- Avai have lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWDWL), including a 3-1 defeat at Botafogo SP.
Avai home record this season: 4W-3D-3L, a 40% win rate.
- In their last 4 home league matches, Avai have 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses.
- They failed to score in two of those four home games, including a 2-0 loss to Goias.
CRB AL away matches: 13 goals scored, 18 conceded in 10 games (3.1 total goals per match).
- Both teams scored in 7 of CRB AL's 10 away matches (70%).
- Avai home matches: both teams scored in 6 of 10 (60%), with 2.2 total goals per match on average.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CRB AL's stronger overall season performance (9th vs 18th) and solid away form give them a slight edge, though Avai's home resilience keeps it close.
- CRB AL away record: 4W-3D-3L, 13 goals scored, 18 conceded in 10 away matches this season.
- Avai home record: 4W-3D-3L, 12 goals scored, 10 conceded in 10 home matches.
- CRB AL recent form (last 5): WWWDL, 8 goals scored, 8 conceded.
- Avai recent form (last 5): LWDWL, 6 goals scored, 6 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCRB ALEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Avai's low home win rate and CRB AL's ability to avoid defeat in 70% of away matches make a double chance for the away side highly probable.
- Avai home win rate: 40% (4/10).
- CRB AL away loss rate: 30% (3/10).
- H2H last 5: Avai 2 wins, CRB AL 3 wins, 0 draws.
- Avai points gap to relegation: 0 (home gap to relegation line).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or CRB ALEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CRB AL's strong first-half record and Avai's tendency to fall behind early give the away side a slight edge, but the low probability reflects Avai's home resilience.
- CRB AL leading at half-time in 53% of matches this season.
- Avai trailing at half-time in 40% of matches.
- CRB AL first half goals per match: 1.0; Avai first half goals conceded: 0.7.
- H2H last 5: CRB AL led at half-time in 2 matches, Avai in 1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCRB ALEstimated chance35%

Goals0 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
CRB AL's away games are high-scoring, and recent form for both teams shows a trend towards over 2.5 goals, supported by CRB's attacking output.
- CRB AL away matches average 3.1 total goals (13 scored, 18 conceded in 10).
- Avai home matches average 2.2 total goals (12 scored, 10 conceded in 10).
- CRB AL last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Avai last 5 matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
High BTTS rates in both teams' respective home/away splits and recent H2H meetings indicate a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net.
- CRB AL away matches: both teams scored in 7 of 10 (70%).
- Avai home matches: both teams scored in 6 of 10 (60%).
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in 3 of 5 (60%).
- CRB AL last 5: both teams scored in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Avai's home scoring is inconsistent, but facing a CRB AL defense that concedes heavily on the road gives them a chance to exceed 1.5 goals, though confidence is low.
- Avai home goals per match: 1.2 (12 in 10).
- Avai last 5 home matches: scored 2, 2, 1, 3, 0 goals.
- CRB AL away conceded per match: 1.8 (18 in 10).
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAvai over 1.5Estimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
CRB AL's consistent away scoring, combined with Avai's occasional defensive lapses at home, supports a reasonable chance of the away side netting at least twice.
- CRB AL away goals per match: 1.3 (13 in 10).
- CRB AL last 5 away matches: scored 1, 0, 2, 2, 1 goals.
- Avai home conceded per match: 1.0 (10 in 10).
- CRB AL overall goals per match: 1.55 (31 in 20).
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostCRB AL over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined first-half scoring rates are just below the 1.5 threshold, but CRB AL's attacking intent could push it over, albeit with low confidence.
- CRB AL first half goals per match: 1.0; Avai first half goals conceded: 0.7.
- Avai first half goals per match: 0.5; CRB AL first half goals conceded: 0.7.
- Combined first half goal average: 1.45 per match.
- Last 5 H2H: first half goals: 0, 1, 0, 2, 1.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede more in the second half, and their combined second-half scoring rates suggest a high probability of at least two goals after the break.
- CRB AL second half goals per match: 0.7 (total 1.7 - 1.0 first half).
- Avai second half goals per match: 0.8 (total 1.3 - 0.5 first half).
- CRB AL away matches: 13 of 18 goals conceded came in second half (72%).
- Avai home matches: 7 of 10 goals conceded came in second half (70%).
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
CRB AL's matches average 11 corners, and even Avai's low corner count is offset by opponents earning many corners against them, making over 9.5 corners likely.
- CRB AL average corners per match: 5.5; opponent corners: 5.5 (total 11.0).
- Avai average corners per match: 2.4; opponent corners: 6.5 (total 8.9).
- CRB AL last 5 matches: total corners 11, 8, 7, 7, 13 (avg 9.2).
- Avai last 5 matches: total corners 6, 6, 11, 11, 8 (avg 8.4).
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 4 cards per match, and with the competitive nature of this fixture, the total is likely to exceed 4.5 cards.
- Avai average yellow cards per match: 1.8; CRB AL: 2.2 (combined 4.0).
- Avai opponents average yellow cards: 2.1; CRB AL opponents: 2.0 (combined 4.1).
- Total cards average in Avai matches: 3.9; CRB AL matches: 4.2.
- Last 5 H2H: total cards 3, 4, 5, 4, 3 (avg 3.8).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%