Sho Shimabukuro #109Japan00 – 2Chak Lam Coleman Wong #92Hong Kong SAR China2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45

The read

Wong has been the far more effective server and has won regularly at this level in Seoul, while Shimabukuro has mostly beaten lower-ranked opponents and lost to anyone near the top 100.

• Wong 11-4 in last 15 on hard; Shimabukuro 6-9
• Wong total points won 52.5% vs Shimabukuro 46.9%
• Wong first-serve points won 78.6% with 14.2 aces per match; Shimabukuro 65.8%
• Set evidence on hard best-of-3: Wong 11-3 in first sets, Shimabukuro 4-10

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Shimabukuro's matches tend to be short and lopsided, which pulls the expected game count below the line even with Wong's longer sets.

• Shimabukuro's hard best-of-3 matches average 20.4 games
• Wong's hard best-of-3 matches average 23.6 games
• Shimabukuro's set-two average is 8.4 games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Wong's first sets routinely reach 6-4 or a tiebreak, which clears the 9.5 line.

• Wong's first sets average 10.3 games
• Shimabukuro's first sets average 9.8 games
• 3 tiebreaks in Wong's 14 first sets, 2 in Shimabukuro's

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Wong has started matches strongly and broken early regularly, while Shimabukuro has lost the opening set in most of his recent hard-court matches.

• Wong won the first set in 11 of 14 tracked hard best-of-3 matches
• Shimabukuro won the first set in 4 of 14
• Wong's first-set average is 5.7 games won to 4.6 lost

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Wong's second-set record is nearly as strong as his first, and Shimabukuro has been inconsistent in the middle set.

• Wong won the second set in 10 of 14 tracked hard best-of-3 matches
• Shimabukuro split second sets 7-7
• Wong's second-set average is 5.8 games to 4.2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players finish hard-court matches in straight sets more often than not, and Shimabukuro has frequently gone down in two.

• Wong's hard best-of-3 matches average 2.36 sets; 8 of 14 finished 2-0
• Shimabukuro's hard best-of-3 matches average 2.21 sets
• Shimabukuro has been beaten 0-2 in 7 of 14 tracked hard matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Neither player's serve is error-prone enough for the combined count to routinely pass five and a half.

• Wong has 30 double faults in 15 matches, 2.0 per match
• Shimabukuro has 39 in 13 matches, 3.0 per match
• Combined average of 5.0 is below the line

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Shimabukuro's serve produces few free points, so Wong must carry nearly the whole total himself.

• Shimabukuro's 4.3 aces per match limits the combined total
• Wong's 14.2 aces per match came largely against lower-ranked returners
• Combined average sits right on the line