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Moez Echargui #348Tunisia2Benjamin Hassan #4970

Sets 6-2 · 6-4Mon 26 Oct 2026, 12:15Q3I.hard

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageMoez Echargui · 149 places

Moez Echargui

Tunisia

Age 33 with a career-high ranking of No. 134 on 29 December 2025. ITF lists sand/clay as his preferred surface, while ATP describes him as a counterpuncher.

Current ranking: #348
Peak ranking: #134 · 2025
Current age: 33
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 175 cm

Benjamin Hassan

Lebanese player born 4 February 1995. Reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 143 in June 2024; his recorded career match volume is strongest on clay.

Current ranking: #497
Peak ranking: #143 · 2024
Current age: 31
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: 183 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:29 · Europe/Bucharest

Final-round qualifying at Brest: Echargui's 348 ranking and 15 hard-court matches against Hassan's three make him the narrow favourite, but Hassan's 8-5 run and a 6-3 6-0 win on 25 October keep it close.

Hassan at 2.4 is the one price with a small edge; Echargui at 1.5 asks for more than his record justifies.

Context

A reported retirement for Hassan shortly before Brest leaves his condition uncertain; the cause and his current status are not established, so it stays a watch item rather than a confirmed absence.

Hassan stopped at 7-6(5), 2-0 in a recent Lisbon Challenger round-of-16 match. That interruption falls immediately before Brest and makes his current physical status relevant to this indoor qualifying match. The reason for the retirement and whether it remains an issue are not established.
- Hassan's Lisbon match against Nagal ended with a retirement at 7-6(5), 2-0.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 22:27 · Europe/BucharestCourt Value Tenniscourtvaluetennis.com · 25 Oct 2026
Hassan arrives in Brest off a short, cleanly won match on the same indoor hard surface.
The scoreline is emphatic, but Peniston is ranked 882, so it says more about sharpness than about the level Hassan will meet in Brest. It is also his only indoor hard-court match in the record, so it should not be read as a trend.
- 25 October 2026: Hassan beat Ryan Peniston 6-3 6-0 on indoor hard court.
- Hassan won 12 games to 3 across the two sets.
Echargui's hard-court sample is the largest either player brings into this match.
Nine of 15 first sets is a mild edge rather than a guarantee: those sets averaged 10.0 total games and two went to tiebreaks. Hassan's hard-court first-set sample is only three matches (2-1), so the two records are not weighted equally.
- 15 hard-court matches tracked, 21 August to 25 October 2026.
- First sets: 9 wins, 6 losses; 5.0 games won and 5.0 games lost per set, 10.0 total games on average.
- Two first-set tiebreaks in those 15 matches.
Hassan's hard-court set sample covers two 2-0 wins and one 0-2 loss.
Echargui's 15 hard-court matches average 23.5 total games, so the two records point different ways on match length. Three matches is a tiny base, and two retirements were removed from the set sample, so the straight-set pattern is a hint rather than a settled level.
- 3 hard-court matches tracked, 6 September to 25 October 2026: two 2-0 wins and one 0-2 loss.
- Total games average 17.3 across those three matches; total sets average 2.0.
- Two retirements excluded from the set sample.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Echargui has more hard-court evidence and the higher ranking, so he holds a narrow advantage.
- Echargui is ranked 348; Hassan is ranked 497.
- Echargui has 15 hard-court matches tracked at 8-7 with 52.8% sets won.
- Hassan has only 3 hard-court matches tracked in setEvidence.
- Echargui's hard-court total points won is 49.4%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerMoez EcharguiEstimated chance56%

Games0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Echargui's hard-court matches often run long, and a competitive match should push total games past 20.5.
- Echargui's hard-court matches average 23.5 total games.
- Echargui has six three-set matches in 15 hard-court matches.
- Hassan's hard-court matches average 17.3 total games over only 3 matches.
- Echargui's second sets average 9.4 total games.
BetBugs · Total GamesOver 20.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' tracked first sets average 10 games, putting the threshold near an even split.
- Echargui's first sets average 10.0 total games on hard.
- Hassan's first sets average 10.0 total games on hard.
- Echargui has two first-set tiebreaks in 15 hard-court matches.
- Hassan has one first-set tiebreak in 3 hard-court matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GamesOver 9.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassan's short second sets and Echargui's modest total make under 9.5 more likely.
- Hassan's second sets average 7.3 total games on hard.
- Hassan's latest hard-court second set was 6-0.
- Echargui's second sets average 9.4 total games on hard.
- Echargui has one second-set tiebreak in 15 hard-court matches.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance54%

Sets0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Most tracked hard-court matches for both players have finished in straight sets.
- Hassan's three hard-court matches all finished in straight sets.
- Echargui has nine straight-set matches in 15 hard-court matches.
- Echargui's hard-court total sets average is 2.4.
- Hassan's hard-court total sets average is 2.0.
BetBugs · Total SetsUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Echargui has the stronger first-set record over a much larger hard-court sample.
- Echargui's hard-court first sets are 9 wins and 6 losses.
- Echargui's first sets average 5-5 games.
- Hassan's hard-court first sets are 2 wins and 1 loss in 3 matches.
- Echargui is ranked 348; Hassan is ranked 497.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerMoez EcharguiEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Echargui remains the narrower match favorite, but his second-set record is close to even.
- Echargui's hard-court second sets are 7 wins and 8 losses.
- Echargui's hard-court first sets are 9 wins and 6 losses.
- Hassan's hard-court second sets are 2 wins and 1 loss.
- Echargui's hard-court sets won is 52.8%.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerMoez EcharguiEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
No tiebreak is more common in both players' hard-court samples.
- Echargui has 10 hard-court matches without a tiebreak in 15.
- Hassan has 2 hard-court matches without a tiebreak in 3.
- Echargui has two first-set tiebreaks in 15 hard-court matches.
- Hassan has no second-set tiebreaks in 3 hard-court matches.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchNoEstimated chance57%

Previous match context available

Moez Echargui

8W 7L

6-3 6-2—Mickael Kaouk

6-2 6-1#156Daniil Glinka

7-5 6-4#230Raul Brancaccio

6-1 7-5#209Edas Butvilas

7-5 6-0#83Damir Dzumhur

6-1 4-6 6-4#367Daniel Masur

6-4 7-6(8)#452Karl Poling

6-7(3) 6-4 6-3#559Luca Potenza

6-7(2) 7-5 6-1#187Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

7-5 1-6 7-6(2)#249Billy Harris

6-4 6-2#318Lucas Poullain

2-6 6-4 6-4#191Jack Pinnington Jones

6-4 6-4#118Hugo Dellien

6-3 6-4#30Hubert Hurkacz

6-4 2-6 7-6(5)#194Moise Kouame

Benjamin Hassan

8W 7L

6-3 6-0#882Ryan Peniston

7-6(5) 2-0 ret.#281Sumit Nagal

6-3 1-6 6-3#154Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo

6-4 7-6(2)#623Pedro Rodenas

6-4 6-4#893Szymon Kielan

6-3 6-2#103Zsombor Piros

5-7 7-6(5) 7-5#383Ryan Nijboer

7-6(4) 6-3#447Carlos Taberner

6-3 6-3#383Ryan Nijboer

6-3 6-1#768Rafael Izquierdo Luque

7-6(1) 6-3#103Zsombor Piros

1-6 6-4 6-1#211Pol Martin Tiffon

7-6(0) 6-2#723Samir Hamza Reguig

6-2 6-2#877Marsel Ilhan

7-5 6-7(4) ret.#329Francesco Forti

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

MEMoez EcharguiEchargui

Last 15

1–5

9 core stats · 3 even

Benjamin HassanHassanBH

Benjamin Hassan carries the stronger recent form — Moez Echargui's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–2 · 2 even

1st Serve In57.3%—57.7%

1st Serve Won67.9%+2.2pp70.1%

2nd Serve Won48.1%+1.0pp49.1%

Aces / Match5.1+0.64.5

Double Faults / Match2.6—2.6

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

Return Pts Won39.5%—38.8%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted38.8%+0.8pp39.6%

Break Pts Saved56.4%+6.9pp63.3%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won49.4%+0.8pp50.2%

Serve · 1–2 · 2 even

57.3%1st Serve In—57.7%

67.9%1st Serve Won+2.2pp70.1%

48.1%2nd Serve Won+1.0pp49.1%

5.1Aces / Match+0.64.5

2.6Double Faults / Match—2.6

Return · 0–0 · 1 even

39.5%Return Pts Won—38.8%

Pressure · 0–2

38.8%Break Pts Converted+0.8pp39.6%

56.4%Break Pts Saved+6.9pp63.3%

Points · 0–1

49.4%Total Pts Won+0.8pp50.2%