Flavio Cobolli #6Italy22 – 0Stan Wawrinka #140Switzerland0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20

The read

Recent hard-court matches for both players have tended to run long.

• Cobolli's hard-court set evidence averages 25.9 total games.
• Wawrinka's hard-court set evidence averages 28.3 total games.
• Both head-to-head matches went three sets with tiebreaks.
• Wawrinka's latest match lasted 35 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Wawrinka's serve and the close head-to-head point to a small final margin.

• Wawrinka's current hard-court games margin is -9 over five matches, an average of -1.8 per match.
• Cobolli's current hard-court games margin is -18 over 12 matches, an average of -1.5.
• Head-to-head game margins were +2 and +3 for Cobolli.
• Wawrinka's first-serve points won 75.5% on hard in this window.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' first sets have often reached at least ten games.

• Cobolli's set1 average total games is 9.4 in hard-court BO3.
• Wawrinka's set1 average total games is 10.3 in hard-court BO3.
• The 2026 head-to-head first set had 10 games.
• The 2024 head-to-head first set had 13 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40

The read

Both players have recently needed a deciding set, and their head-to-head has gone the distance.

• Cobolli has four 2-1 wins and one 1-2 loss in eight hard-court BO3 scorelines.
• Wawrinka has one 2-1 win and one 1-2 loss in four hard-court BO3 scorelines.
• Both head-to-head meetings were three sets.
• Cobolli's set1 record is 2-6 in hard-court BO3.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Wawrinka has started sets well recently, while Cobolli has often begun slowly.

• Wawrinka's set1 record is 3-1 in hard-court BO3 matches.
• Wawrinka won the first set 6-3 against Landaluce on 21 October.
• Cobolli's set1 record is 2-6 in hard-court BO3 matches.
• Cobolli lost the first set in the 2024 head-to-head meeting.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent matches have featured tiebreaks, and their head-to-head did too.

• Cobolli has two tiebreaks in eight hard-court BO3 matches.
• Wawrinka has three tiebreaks in four hard-court BO3 matches.
• Both head-to-head matches included tiebreaks.
• Wawrinka's latest match had two tiebreaks.