Daniil Medvedev #5Russia22 – 0Dalibor Svrcina #126Czechia0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.12

The read

Medvedev's ranking, serve numbers and prior dominance over Svrcina point to a clear win.

• Medvedev is ranked No. 5; Svrcina is No. 126.
• Medvedev has won both prior meetings, including 6-1 6-1 in Shanghai in 2025.
• Medvedev is 11-4 on hard in his last 15, winning 70.3% of sets.
• Svrcina has played four Shanghai matches including qualifying and three went to a deciding set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Svrcina is likely to stay within seven games unless Medvedev repeats his 2025 6-1 6-1 win.

• Svrcina has won nine of 14 matches and three of four Shanghai matches went to a deciding set.
• Medvedev's recent hard-court wins have margins of +3, +4, +5, +6 and +4 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Svrcina is unlikely to lose by seven games or more given his current form and Medvedev's recent margins.

• Svrcina has won nine of 14 matches and reached a career-best Masters third round.
• Medvedev's recent hard-court wins mostly came by three to six games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Medvedev is likely to win by at least four games if he plays close to his recent hard-court level.

• Medvedev's recent hard-court wins include margins of +3, +4, +5, +6 and +4 games.
• He beat Svrcina 6-1 6-1 in Shanghai in 2025.
• Medvedev has won 55.4% of games on hard in his last 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' first sets usually reach at least ten games on hard.

• Medvedev's first sets on hard average 11.4 total games in best-of-3.
• Svrcina's first sets on hard average 10.5 total games in best-of-3.
• Three of Medvedev's ten and three of Svrcina's twelve first sets had tiebreaks.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Svrcina has shown he can stay within five games against higher-ranked players.

• Svrcina has won nine of 14 matches and three of four Shanghai matches went to a deciding set.
• Medvedev's last three wins before Djokovic had margins of +3, +4 and +5 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets are often close for both players, which can push the total past 9.5 games.

• Medvedev's second sets on hard average 10.0 total games in best-of-3.
• Svrcina's second sets on hard average 9.5 total games in best-of-3.
• Medvedev and Svrcina each had a tiebreak in four of their hard-court best-of-3 matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Both players' recent hard-court matches often last more than 21.5 games, and Svrcina has been playing long matches.

• Medvedev's hard-court matches average 23.9 total games in best-of-3.
• Svrcina's hard-court matches average 25.2 total games in best-of-3.
• Svrcina's last three Shanghai wins all went to a deciding set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

A five-game margin is not guaranteed against a player who has been competitive in Shanghai.

• Svrcina has won nine of 14 matches and three of four Shanghai matches went to a deciding set.
• Medvedev's recent hard-court wins often came by three to six games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18

The read

Medvedev starts strongly on hard and has had the better of Svrcina in prior meetings.

• Medvedev has won eight of ten first sets on hard in best-of-3.
• Svrcina has won eight of twelve first sets on hard in best-of-3.
• Medvedev won the first set 6-1 in their 2025 Shanghai meeting.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Medvedev's straight-set record and prior wins over Svrcina favor a two-set match.

• Medvedev has won six of ten hard-court best-of-3 matches in straight sets.
• He beat Svrcina 6-1 6-1 and 7-6 6-4 in their two meetings.
• Svrcina has played a long three-set match in Shanghai and may be tired.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18

The read

Medvedev's overall set record is strong and he often maintains his level after the first set.

• Medvedev has won seven of ten second sets on hard in best-of-3.
• He has won 70.3% of sets on hard in his last 15.
• Medvedev beat Svrcina 6-1 6-1 in 2025.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Medvedev's straight-set rate and prior wins over Svrcina support a 2-0 win.

• Medvedev has won six of ten hard-court best-of-3 matches in straight sets.
• He beat Svrcina 6-1 6-1 and 7-6 6-4 in their two meetings.
• Medvedev is 11-4 on hard in his last 15.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Many of Medvedev's wins come without a tiebreak, including his 2025 match against Svrcina.

• Medvedev has won six of ten hard-court best-of-3 matches in straight sets.
• Svrcina has won four of twelve hard-court best-of-3 matches in straight sets.
• Medvedev beat Svrcina 6-1 6-1 in Shanghai in 2025.