TürkiyeWTA SamsunFinished

Settling…

Lola Radivojevic #178Serbia0Oksana Selekhmeteva #101Spain2

Sets 5-7 · 6-7Tue 6 Oct 2026, 11:06 Settling…First RoundHard

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageOksana Selekhmeteva · 77 places

Lola Radivojevic

Serbia

Reliable public profile information beyond the supplied current ranking and handedness was limited in this search.

Current ranking: #178
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: Clay
Hand: Right handed
Height: —

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Spain

Reached a career-high singles ranking of No. 71 in 2026. A left-shoulder injury caused a seven-month absence in 2023; no current source found indicating it remains active.

Current ranking: #101
Peak ranking: #71
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Left handed
Height: 172 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Oct 2026, 02:31 · Europe/Bucharest

Selekhmeteva is the higher-ranked fifth seed and has beaten Radivojevic before, but she has dropped the opening set in seven of eight hard-court matches and averages 10.1 double faults.

She should still edge through, probably over three sets, though 1.44 to win asks more than the form supports. The prices that hold up are the match going the distance at 2.4 and Radivojevic with a 3.5-game start at 1.95.

Context

No injury or availability question has been reported for either player, and the three hard-court matches in Radivojevic's and the eight in Selekhmeteva's samples were all completed without retirements. Their hard-court evidence is thin or mixed: Radivojevic is 1-2 in three matches, Selekhmeteva 4-4 in eight while averaging 10.1 double faults, so nothing in the conditions clearly swings the matchup.

Tolentino was Selekhmeteva's latest completed tournament before Samsun, and the run supplied three wins in late September. Those matches provide the most recent documented block of competitive play entering this first round. The event was played on clay and ended with a straight-set semifinal defeat, so it gives current context rather than a direct measure of her performance in Samsun.
- Selekhmeteva beat Samira De Stefano 5-7, 6-1, 6-2 in Tolentino.
- She beat Ekaterine Gorgodze 6-1, 2-6, 6-2 to reach the semifinals.
- Grabher beat Selekhmeteva 7-6(5), 6-1 in the semifinal.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 02:29 · Europe/Bucharest
Radivojevic arrives in Samsun as the lower-ranked player at No. 178, and this was the last completed result in her record.
A straight-sets defeat to an opponent ranked outside the top 600 is the sharpest recent evidence against her, and it fits a hard-court window in which she has won 29 games and lost 36. It is a single match, though, and it says more about the risk in her game than about any settled level, since a three-match sample cannot establish one. What it does show is that she has been vulnerable to opponents she would be expected to beat.
- Radivojevic lost 2-6, 2-6 to Melisa Ercan (ranked No. 655) on 29 September 2026 on hard court, winning four games and losing twelve.
- It is the most recent completed match in the supplied record.
Selekhmeteva, the No. 101 and fifth seed, has started slowly on hard courts in this window while staying much stronger in the second set.
That split means an early Radivojevic lead would sit comfortably inside the recent pattern rather than count as a surprise, and it is the main reason a long match looks plausible. Three of those second sets reached a tiebreak and five of the eight matches went to a deciding set, so the recoveries have not been tidy. The eight-match sample comes from a single hard-court block ending on 2 September, so it describes recent habit rather than a fixed trait.
- Selekhmeteva went 1-7 in first sets across eight hard-court matches between 1 August and 2 September 2026.
- Her second-set record over the same eight matches was 6-2, with three second-set tiebreaks.
- Five of those eight matches went to a third set.
Selekhmeteva is the higher-ranked player here at No. 101, but her serving numbers in this 15-match window are unusually lopsided.
A fault load that heavy keeps return games in play for an opponent and helps explain why she has won 163 of 353 games, or 46.2%, across the same span. It also makes clean, quick sets less likely, which is why a deciding set is a reasonable expectation. The 15 matches are an aggregate rather than a single tournament, so treat it as a steady pattern across the window rather than one bad fortnight.
- Selekhmeteva has 153 double faults and 13 aces across her last 15 matches (10.2 double faults and 0.9 aces per match).
- She has won 163 of 353 games (46.2%) over the same 15 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerUncertainty band: Lean

Oksana Selekhmeteva

1.44fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 69.4%

−9.4ppshort

Selekhmeteva is the higher-ranked, seeded player, has beaten Radivojevic before, and Radivojevic has been losing to much lower-ranked opponents on this surface.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Selekhmeteva is the higher-ranked, seeded player, has beaten Radivojevic before, and Radivojevic has been losing to much lower-ranked opponents on this surface.
- Selekhmeteva is ranked No.101 and seeded fifth; Radivojevic is No.178.
- On hard courts this window Selekhmeteva is 4-4 (96 games won, 105 lost) and Radivojevic 1-2 (29-36).
- Selekhmeteva won the pair's most recent meeting 7-6 6-4 in San Sebastian in 2025.
- Selekhmeteva reached a late-September WTA 125 semifinal in Tolentino.
BetBugs · Match WinnerOksana SelekhmetevaMarket price1.44Estimated chance60%

Games0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Neither player has been winning games convincingly on hard, and Selekhmeteva's three-set matches rarely produce a four-game winning margin.
- Selekhmeteva's hard-court game record this window is 96 won and 105 lost.
- Radivojevic's hard-court record is 29 won and 36 lost.
- Five of Selekhmeteva's eight hard matches went to a third set, limiting margins.
BetBugs · Game HandicapLola Radivojevic +3.5Market price1.95Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Selekhmeteva's hard-court matches tend to run long, and her unreliable serve keeps sets close.
- Selekhmeteva's eight hard matches average 25.1 games.
- Radivojevic's three hard matches average 21.7 games.
- Selekhmeteva's average hard match lasts about 123 minutes.
BetBugs · Total GamesOver 22.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been longer than first sets for both players, with tiebreaks common in Selekhmeteva's hard matches.
- Selekhmeteva's hard second sets average 10.8 games.
- Radivojevic's hard second sets average 9.7 games.
- Three of Selekhmeteva's eight hard second sets went to a tiebreak.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GamesOver 9.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' opening sets on hard have averaged below this line and break-heavy tennis tends to shorten sets.
- Radivojevic's hard first sets average 8.7 games.
- Selekhmeteva's hard first sets average 8.8 games.
- Only one of Selekhmeteva's eight hard first sets reached a tiebreak.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GamesUnder 9.5Estimated chance56%

Sets0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.40
The read
Both players have long, error-heavy matches, and Selekhmeteva's slow starts point to deciders rather than quick finishes.
- Five of Selekhmeteva's eight hard matches went to a third set.
- Her hard matches average 2.6 sets; Radivojevic's average 2.3.
- Selekhmeteva's scorelines on hard include three 2-1 wins and two 1-2 losses.
BetBugs · Total SetsOver 2.5Market price2.40Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Selekhmeteva has been much stronger in second sets than first sets on this surface, and she is the higher-ranked player.
- Selekhmeteva's second-set record on hard this window is 6-2.
- Radivojevic's second-set record on hard is 2-1.
- Selekhmeteva had three second-set tiebreaks in eight hard matches.
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerOksana SelekhmetevaEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Selekhmeteva has a clear habit of dropping the opening set, which gives Radivojevic the better chance in set one.
- Selekhmeteva won only one of eight first sets on hard in this window.
- Radivojevic won one of three first sets on hard.
- Selekhmeteva lost the first set 6-7 and 2-6 in her most recent completed match.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerLola RadivojevicEstimated chance52%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both players serving inconsistently, most sets are likely to be decided by breaks rather than a tiebreak.
- Radivojevic's three hard matches this window had no tiebreaks.
- Only four of Selekhmeteva's eight hard matches had one.
- Both players break and get broken often, which tends to settle sets before 6-6.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player serves many aces, and Selekhmeteva's low ace rate keeps the combined total modest.
- Radivojevic averages 3.3 aces per hard match and Selekhmeteva 0.9.
- Selekhmeteva has 13 aces in her last 15 matches overall.
- Radivojevic's hard-court first-serve rate is 53.2%.
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The pair's combined double-fault rate sits right at the line, and a three-set match would push it over.
- Selekhmeteva averages 10.1 double faults per hard match and Radivojevic 4.0.
- Selekhmeteva has 153 double faults in her last 15 matches.
- Both players' hard-court matches run past two sets on average.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 14.5Estimated chance52%

Prediction history

Oksana Selekhmeteva: 1/5 recent winner projections matched

1 of 5 comparable winner projections favouring Oksana Selekhmeteva matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for Oksana Selekhmeteva5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

1 Aug·WTA Toronto

#97Oksana Selekhmeteva1-2#235Aoi Ito

BetBugsOksana Selekhmeteva to win·58%

Missed

1 Aug 2026

WTA Toronto

#97Oksana Selekhmeteva1-2#235Aoi Ito

Oksana Selekhmeteva to win

58%probability

Aoi Ito won

Missed

13 Jul·WTA Rome

#88Oksana Selekhmeteva0-2#196Elizara Yaneva

BetBugsOksana Selekhmeteva to win·78%

Missed

13 Jul 2026

WTA Rome

#88Oksana Selekhmeteva0-2#196Elizara Yaneva

Oksana Selekhmeteva to win

78%probability

Elizara Yaneva won

Missed

9 Jul·WTA Contrexeville

#161Jeline Vandromme2-0#91Oksana Selekhmeteva

BetBugsOksana Selekhmeteva to win·58%

Missed

9 Jul 2026

WTA Contrexeville

#161Jeline Vandromme2-0#91Oksana Selekhmeteva

Oksana Selekhmeteva to win

58%probability

Jeline Vandromme won

Missed

7 Jul·WTA Contrexeville

#451Yelyzaveta Kotliar0-2#91Oksana Selekhmeteva

BetBugsOksana Selekhmeteva to win·78%

Matched

7 Jul 2026

WTA Contrexeville

#451Yelyzaveta Kotliar0-2#91Oksana Selekhmeteva

Oksana Selekhmeteva to win

78%probability

Oksana Selekhmeteva won

Matched

6 May·WTA Rome

#84Oksana Selekhmeteva1-2#160Rebeka Masarova

BetBugsOksana Selekhmeteva to win·55%

Missed

6 May 2026

WTA Rome

#84Oksana Selekhmeteva1-2#160Rebeka Masarova

Oksana Selekhmeteva to win

55%probability

Rebeka Masarova won

Missed

Lola Radivojevic

5W 10L

6-2 6-2#655Melisa Ercan

7-6(7) 6-4#243Noemi Basiletti

7-6(4) 6-1#185Lucie Havlickova

6-2 5-7 6-4#119Kristina Liutova

6-4 6-3#252Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

0-6 6-3 7-6(4)#364Margaux Rouvroy

7-5 4-6 6-4#235Jennifer Ruggeri

6-1 3-6 6-1#281Sofya Lansere

6-2 6-2#338Deborah Chiesa

6-4 6-0#295Yufei Ren

6-4 7-5#82Yulia Putintseva

6-4 6-2#186Mona Barthel

6-7(10) 6-2 7-6(7)#131Marina Bassols Ribera

7-5 6-3#236Francesca Curmi

6-3 6-2#465Isabella Maria Serban

Oksana Selekhmeteva

7W 8L

7-6(5) 6-1#99Julia Grabher

6-1 2-6 6-2#151Ekaterine Gorgodze

5-7 6-1 6-2#190Samira De Stefano

7-5 0-6 7-5#267Federica Urgesi

7-5 6-4#301Nastasja Mariana Schunk

6-3 6-0#76Kamilla Rakhimova

6-2 6-4#361Aoi Ito

6-3 7-6(6)#74Katie Volynets

4-6 7-6(4) 6-3#725Capucine Jauffret

3-6 6-3 6-1#91Taylah Preston

6-0 5-7 6-4#115Mary Stoiana

6-7(6) 6-4 6-3#174Elizabeth Mandlik

6-0 6-7(8) 6-4#361Aoi Ito

6-3 6-2#149Elizara Yaneva

6-0 6-1#128Jeline Vandromme

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

LRLola RadivojevicRadivojevic

Last 15

5–3

9 core stats · 1 even

Oksana SelekhmetevaSelekhmetevaOS

Lola Radivojevic carries the stronger recent form — Oksana Selekhmeteva's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In55.6%+3.3pp58.9%

1st Serve Won67.6%+5.0pp62.6%

2nd Serve Won42.7%+4.2pp38.5%

Aces / Match3.8+2.90.9

Double Faults / Match4.26.0 fewer10.2

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won42.0%+2.5pp44.5%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted40.0%+7.3pp47.3%

Break Pts Saved60.0%+4.5pp55.5%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

Total Pts Won49.3%—48.7%

Serve · 4–1

55.6%1st Serve In+3.3pp58.9%

67.6%1st Serve Won+5.0pp62.6%

42.7%2nd Serve Won+4.2pp38.5%

3.8Aces / Match+2.90.9

4.2Double Faults / Match6.0 fewer10.2

Return · 0–1

42.0%Return Pts Won+2.5pp44.5%

Pressure · 1–1

40.0%Break Pts Converted+7.3pp47.3%

60.0%Break Pts Saved+4.5pp55.5%

Points · 0–0 · 1 even

49.3%Total Pts Won—48.7%

Lola Radivojevic

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Lola Radivojevic +3.5

Over 2.5

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Result0 of 0 landed

Games0 of 0 landed

Sets0 of 0 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Lola Radivojevic

Oksana Selekhmeteva

Stat Battle