Hugo Grenier #258France00 – 2Georgii Kravchenko #388Ukraine2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Grenier has been the more reliable hard-court performer recently, while Kravchenko has lost three of four on this surface to lower-ranked opposition.

• Grenier hard-court window: 7-7 over 14 completed matches, 4-2 in his last six with wins over players ranked 290, 339 and 401
• Kravchenko hard-court window: 1-3 over 4 matches, losing to opponents ranked 464, 652 and 696
• Kravchenko hard-court sets won: 3 of 9, with 46.4% of games won
• Ranking gap is small (284 v 309), so the edge rests on current hard-court form rather than class

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Because most of these matches finish in two sets, the combined game count usually lands below the line.

• Grenier's straight-set hard matches totalled 19, 20, 21, 22, 18 and 20 games
• Kravchenko's hard straight-set matches totalled 18, 17 and 22 games
• Two of Kravchenko's four hard matches finished with 17 or 18 total games
• Grenier's average match on hard lasts 21.5 games including his longer outings

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Grenier's first sets average slightly more than ten games, which edges the opener past the line more often than not.

• Grenier's average first set on hard totals 10.21 games
• Kravchenko's average first set on hard totals 9.25 games
• Grenier's 14 hard-court first sets produced only 2 tiebreaks
• Kravchenko's first sets on hard have produced no tiebreaks

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The second-set totals sit almost exactly on the line, with Grenier's average just above and Kravchenko's just below.

• Grenier's average second set on hard totals 9.79 games
• Kravchenko's average second set on hard totals 9.25 games
• Grenier's 14 hard-court second sets produced 3 tiebreaks
• Kravchenko's four hard-court second sets produced no tiebreaks

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' hard-court matches overwhelmingly finish in two sets, and neither has converted a three-set match into a win recently.

• Grenier hard-court scorelines: 6 wins 2-0, 6 losses 0-2, only 2 matches went to three sets in 14
• Kravchenko hard-court scorelines: 3 of 4 matches ended in straight sets
• Average sets per match on hard: 2.14 for Grenier, 2.25 for Kravchenko
• Neither player has a three-set win on hard in this window

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The second set is where Kravchenko has struggled most on hard, losing three of four, while Grenier has been level there.

• Grenier's hard-court set-2 record is 7-7 with 5.14 games won per second set
• Kravchenko's hard-court set-2 record is 1-3 with only 4 games won per second set
• Kravchenko lost the second set 6-3 and 6-2 in his two 0-2 defeats
• Grenier has won 4 of his last 6 completed hard matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Grenier holds the form edge, and Kravchenko's hard-court set-1 record is only level despite a small sample.

• Grenier's hard-court set-1 record is 7-7 across 14 matches
• Kravchenko's hard-court set-1 record is 2-2
• Grenier's set-1 games average is 4.93 won against 5.29 lost
• Kravchenko has lost the opening set in 2 of his 4 hard matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Most of these matches end without a tiebreak, and Kravchenko's recent hard matches have contained none at all.

• 9 of Grenier's 14 hard-court matches had no tiebreak
• All 4 of Kravchenko's hard-court matches had no tiebreak
• Grenier's average hard-court first set is 10.21 games, rarely reaching 6-6
• Kravchenko's average hard-court second set is 9.25 games