SpainVillena - SpainFinished

Predictions graded

Sergi Fita Juan #1026Spain0Georgii Kravchenko #388Ukraine2

Sets 4-6 · 2-6Sun 4 Oct 2026, 09:19 Predictions gradedQ1Hard

Predictions1–0100%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageGeorgii Kravchenko · 638 places

Sergi Fita Juan

Spain

Nineteen-year-old Spanish right-hander. His ATP career-high singles ranking was No. 624 in September 2025; no consistent published preferred-surface designation was found.

Current ranking: #1026
Peak ranking: #624 · 2025
Current age: 19
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

Ukrainian right-hander born 28 July 2000. Public player pages list a career-best singles ranking of No. 371; no current injury, withdrawal, retirement, or medical-timeout report was found in the specified searches.

Current ranking: #388
Peak ranking: #371
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 4 Oct 2026, 15:12 · Europe/Bucharest

Two players short on hard-court evidence meet in Villena qualifying: Kravchenko is the higher-ranked man but has lost all three of his completed hard-court matches in 2026, while Fita Juan is 4-9 across 13 tracked matches and has no completed hard-court matches on record.

Kravchenko is the likelier winner on overall results. No price was supplied for this match, so there is no quoted number to weigh either way.

Context

Kravchenko arrives as the higher-ranked player in this qualifier but without a hard-court win on record in 2026.
The favoured player here has not won a completed hard-court match in this window, and the second set went against him in all three, with no tiebreaks played and 22 games per match on average. Three matches is a small sample, so the record is a caution rather than proof he cannot play the surface. It does mean the ranking gap and his overall 8-7 record, not his hard-court form, are carrying his case.
- Three completed hard-court matches tracked between 8 and 27 September 2026, all lost (scorelines 1-2, 0-2, 0-2).
- One set won from seven on the surface; the second set lost in all three matches.
- Average of 22 games per match in the sample, with no tiebreaks.
The losing record gives the underdog no base of results to lean on going into a hard-court qualifier, and the absent serve and return splits mean his game has no measurable anchor in the supplied data. The window is small and its missing metrics cannot be read as weak or strong. It supports Kravchenko as favourite without making him a strong one.
- 4 wins and 9 losses in 13 matches tracked over the last-15 window.
- No first-serve, second-serve, return or total-points metrics recorded for Fita Juan in that sample.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kravchenko is higher-ranked and has better overall recent results, while Fita Juan lacks hard-court evidence and is on a long losing run.
- Ranked 309; opponent has no ranking listed.
- 8-7 in last 15 overall, with 51.2% total points won.
- 0-3 on hard in 2026, winning 1 of 7 sets and 27 of 66 games.
- Recent hard losses to players ranked 464, 652 and 696.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGeorgii KravchenkoEstimated chance68%

Sergi Fita Juan

5W 10L

6-4 6-2#533Pedro Vives Marcos

6-3 6-1#672John Sperle

6-3 6-1#328Carlos Sanchez Jover

6-2 6-2#630Pedro Rodenas

6-1 7-5#786Carles Cordoba

7-6(3) 6-1#584Alejandro Juan Mano

4-6 6-3 7-5#533Pedro Vives Marcos

2-6 6-2 6-3—Jordi Garcia Mestre

6-3 6-1#630Pedro Rodenas

6-4 2-0 ret.—Bernardo Munk Mesa

6-3 6-2#630Pedro Rodenas

5-7 6-2 4-0 ret.#396Eric Vanshelboim

2-6 6-3 6-4#372Andrey Chepelev

6-1 6-3—Adam Lynch

6-4 6-7(3) 7-6(1)#659Ignacio Parisca

Georgii Kravchenko

8W 7L

2-6 6-3 6-4#652Goncalo Marques

6-3 6-2#696Giorgio Tabacco

6-4 7-5#464Radu Albot

6-0 6-2#611Yanaki Milev

2-6 6-2 6-3#455Dusan Obradovic

6-3 6-3#615Oleksandr Ovcharenko

6-0 7-6(3)#369Ognjen Milic

7-6(2) 3-6 7-6(10)#511Daniel Siniakov

5-7 7-5 6-3#849Dominik Recek

6-4 6-3#808Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg

6-4 6-4#220Alex Barrena

6-2 7-6(3)#720Stefano D'Agostino

6-2 6-3—Giammarco Gandolfi

6-4 6-1#772Jakub Nicod

3-6 6-3 6-4#706Leo Raquillet

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

SJSergi Fita JuanJuan

Last 15

1–7

9 core stats · 1 even

Georgii KravchenkoKravchenkoGK

Georgii Kravchenko carries the stronger recent form — Sergi Fita Juan's route runs through serve.

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

1st Serve In71.0%+11.3pp59.7%

1st Serve Won57.5%+12.1pp69.6%

2nd Serve Won43.6%+5.7pp49.3%

Aces / Match0.7+2.22.9

Double Faults / Match2.5—2.3

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won41.0%+0.8pp41.8%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted37.7%+1.5pp39.2%

Break Pts Saved51.5%+7.2pp58.7%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won47.2%+4.0pp51.2%

Serve · 1–3 · 1 even

71.0%1st Serve In+11.3pp59.7%

57.5%1st Serve Won+12.1pp69.6%

43.6%2nd Serve Won+5.7pp49.3%

0.7Aces / Match+2.22.9

2.5Double Faults / Match—2.3

Return · 0–1

41.0%Return Pts Won+0.8pp41.8%

Pressure · 0–2

37.7%Break Pts Converted+1.5pp39.2%

51.5%Break Pts Saved+7.2pp58.7%

Points · 0–1

47.2%Total Pts Won+4.0pp51.2%