Chun Hsin Tseng #220Taiwan00 – 1Nicolas Mejia #129Colombia1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Tseng's stronger recent hard-court set and match record offsets Mejia's higher ranking.

• Tseng is 5-2 on hard in current-surface matches, with set1 6-1 and set2 5-2.
• Mejia is 4-6 on hard in current-surface matches, with set1 3-7 and set2 2-8.
• Tseng's hard scorelines include five 2-0 wins in seven matches.
• Mejia has lost five of ten hard matches in straight sets.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Mejia's recent margins often stay within four games, and his stronger opposition suggests a close match.

• Mejia's recent hard margins are -6, -3, -4, -7, +3, +4.
• Mejia covered +4.5 in four of six recent hard matches.
• Tseng's recent hard margins are +7, +9, -2, -4, +6, +5.
• Mejia has faced higher-ranked opponents recently.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Mejia has often kept matches within three games, supporting a +3.5 cover.

• Mejia's recent hard margins include +3 and +4.
• Mejia lost two recent hard matches by three and four games.
• Mejia has faced higher-ranked opponents in recent losses.
• Tseng's recent losses were by two and four games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mejia's longer first sets and tiebreak frequency push the opening set toward nine or more games.

• Mejia's first sets average 11.2 games on hard.
• Mejia has three first-set tiebreaks in ten hard matches.
• Tseng's first sets average 9.29 games on hard.
• Tseng has no first-set tiebreaks in seven hard matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mejia's relatively tight margins and longer matches make a +2.5 cover plausible.

• Mejia's recent hard margins include +3 and +4.
• Mejia lost two recent hard matches by only three and four games.
• Tseng's recent losses were by two and four games.
• Mejia's hard matches average 24.8 games, often close.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Tseng's better hard-court form makes him more likely to win the match outright by at least one game.

• Tseng is 5-2 on hard in current-surface matches.
• Tseng's recent hard margins are +7, +9, -2, -4, +6, +5.
• Mejia is 4-6 on hard in current-surface matches.
• Tseng's set1 record is 6-1 on hard.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Mejia's longer matches and frequent deciding sets make a higher total games count likely.

• Mejia's hard-court matches average 24.8 total games.
• Tseng's hard-court matches average 19.86 total games.
• Mejia played five three-set matches in ten hard outings.
• Mejia's matches with a deciding set often exceed 22.5 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' second sets average close to nine and a half games, with tiebreaks possible.

• Tseng's second sets average 9.43 games on hard.
• Mejia's second sets average 9.3 games on hard.
• Tseng has two second-set tiebreaks in seven hard matches.
• Mejia has one second-set tiebreak in ten hard matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Mejia's competitive margins and stronger opposition suggest he can stay within one game or win.

• Mejia's recent hard margins include +3 and +4.
• Mejia lost two recent hard matches by only three and four games.
• Tseng lost two recent hard matches, one by two games.
• Mejia has faced higher-ranked opponents recently.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Tseng's second-set record is much stronger than Mejia's, who often fades in the second set.

• Tseng won set2 in five of seven hard-court matches.
• Mejia lost set2 in eight of ten hard-court matches.
• Tseng's set2 games average is 6.0 won to 3.43 lost.
• Mejia's set2 games average is 3.5 won to 5.8 lost.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Mejia's frequent three-set matches raise the chance of a deciding set.

• Mejia's hard-court matches average 2.5 sets.
• Mejia played five three-set matches in ten hard-court outings.
• Tseng's hard-court matches average 2.14 sets.
• Tseng has one 2-1 scoreline in seven hard matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Clear-margin sets from both players make a tiebreak-free match possible.

• Tseng had tiebreaks in two of seven hard-court matches.
• Mejia had tiebreaks in four of ten hard-court matches.
• Tseng won set1 6-1 and 6-3 in recent matches.
• Mejia lost set1 6-2 and 6-4 in recent matches.