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Predictions graded

Clement Tabur #163France1Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #332France2

Sets 6-2 · 3-6 · 4-6Fri 2 Oct 2026, 13:40 Predictions gradedQuarter-FinalI.hard

Predictions5–456%

Edges2–167%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageClement Tabur · 169 places

Clement Tabur

France

Reliable current profile detail beyond the supplied ranking and playing style was limited. Use structured recent-form and hard-court data as the main context.

Current ranking: #163
Peak ranking: —
Current age: —
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 173 cm

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

Reached a career-high No. 193 on 17 November 2025. Profile listings identify hard courts as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #332
Peak ranking: #193 · 2025
Current age: 23
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 191 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Oct 2026, 03:26 · Europe/Bucharest

Tabur is the higher-ranked fourth seed; Gueymard Wayenburg arrives with seven straight indoor wins — that is the tension in this quarter-final at Mouilleron-le-Captif.

Gueymard Wayenburg looks the likelier winner, and the prices that carry a case are his: 1.7 to win the match, 1.73 to take the first set and 1.73 for the second. Tabur at 2.05 and 2.0 in the first two sets is one to leave.

Context

Tabur needed about three hours and a 0-3 recovery in the deciding set to get through his opening match, a result that stopped a five-match slide but was expensive on an indoor hard court where long rallies are hard to shorten. That first-round load is a genuine recovery item against an opponent who has been winning quickly this week. The counterweight is his next match: he closed out Thomas Faurel 6-1 6-4, which limits how heavily the long opener should be weighted.
- Tabur trailed 0-3 in the third set before winning 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-3 against Matteo Martineau
- The first-round match lasted roughly three hours and finished around 00:30
- The result ended a run of five straight defeats for Tabur
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 03:24 · Europe/Bucharest
The Rennes title is the strongest form marker either player brings into this fixture, and it began a seven-match indoor hard-court sequence that now includes his first two rounds here. Indoor conditions match the surface profile that has produced his best recent results, so continuity matters more than the ranking gap suggests. Six of those seven wins came against opponents ranked outside the top 150, which is the main reason the run should be read as form rather than proof against higher-ranked opposition.
- Gueymard Wayenburg beat Harold Mayot in three sets to win the Rennes Challenger 100 in September 2026
- The title was his second on the Challenger circuit and returned him to the Top 220
- He has won seven straight matches on indoor hard courts, spanning Rennes and two wins at Mouilleron-le-Captif
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 03:24 · Europe/Bucharest
Tabur, the fourth seed, has had to work hard for early leads on this surface in the current stretch.
First sets have been the tightest part of Tabur's recent hard-court record, which is why the start of this quarter-final looks closer than the overall match. Gueymard Wayenburg has taken nine of his 12 opening sets on the same surface, so the early exchanges are where the two records differ most.
- Five completed hard-court matches tracked between 25 August and 30 September 2026
- Tabur won 2 of 5 first sets, with three tiebreaks in those five matches
- He averaged 5.8 games won and 5.4 lost per first set (11.2 total games)
The 2025 Quimper title was his first indoor hard-court trophy and came at Herbert's expense, and he repeated the result against the same opponent in the opening round here. It is the most specific illustration that his results travel onto indoor hard courts rather than being tied to one event. The limitation is scope: a title from a previous season and a first-round win are not a direct measure of how he handles a quarter-final opponent of a different profile.
- Gueymard Wayenburg won the 2025 Quimper Challenger on indoor hard courts
- He beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in a three-set final at Quimper in 2025
- He beat Herbert 6-4 7-5 in the Mouilleron-le-Captif first round as a wild card
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 03:24 · Europe/BucharestTennis Actuwww.tennisactu.net · 25 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg is the player in form, backing up a Challenger title with two straight-set wins this week, and he holds the stronger serve and return numbers on this surface.
- 10-2 on hard in his last 12 completed matches on the surface, winning 58.1% of games
- Seven consecutive indoor hard-court wins, including the Rennes Challenger 100 title in September
- Won 9 of 12 first sets and 10 of 12 second sets on hard
- Tabur is 2-3 on hard in this window with 46.2% of sets and 52.2% of games won
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSascha Gueymard WayenburgEstimated chance70%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg wins sets efficiently with a strong serve, keeping many of his matches short, and his record carries more weight given the larger surface sample.
- Gueymard Wayenburg's hard-court matches average 22.7 total games
- Tabur's hard-court matches average 27.2 total games
- Gueymard Wayenburg''s 12-match hard-court games-won share is 58.1%
BetBugs · Total GameslostUnder 24.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg's first sets are commonly decided around the 6-3 or 6-4 mark, which keeps the total close to the line.
- Gueymard Wayenburg's first sets on hard average 9.17 total games
- He has lost only 3.67 games per first set on the surface
- Tabur's first sets on hard average 11.2 total games
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg's second sets are typically controlled and only slightly above the line, so a nine-game set is common.
- Gueymard Wayenburg's second sets on hard average 9.42 total games
- He has lost only 3.83 games per second set on the surface
- He won the second set 6-4 in both of his completed matches this week
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonUnder 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg starts sets strongly on this surface, and his serving edge should let him take the early initiative.
- Won 9 of 12 opening sets on hard in this best-of-3 sample
- Averages 5.5 games won and 3.67 lost per first set on the surface
- Tabur has won only 2 of 5 first sets on hard
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostSascha Gueymard WayenburgEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Second sets have been Gueymard Wayenburg's strongest phase on this surface, and he is used to closing matches in straight sets.
- Won 10 of 12 second sets on hard
- Averages 5.58 games won and 3.83 lost per second set
- Won 6-4 in the second set of his 6-1 6-4 second-round win over Gauthier Onclin
BetBugs · Set 2 WinnerwonSascha Gueymard WayenburgEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg has usually closed matches in two sets, so a straight-sets finish is the single most likely shape of this match.
- Gueymard Wayenburg's 12 hard-court matches average 2.42 sets
- Tabur's 5 hard-court matches average 2.6 sets
- Straight-set finishes account for 9 of the 17 combined hard-court matches
BetBugs · Total SetslostUnder 2.5Estimated chance54%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg's sets are usually settled by a break rather than a tiebreak, and his serving edge reduces the chance of a level set.
- Gueymard Wayenburg has played tiebreaks in only 2 of 12 hard-court matches
- Tabur has played tiebreaks in 3 of 5 hard-court matches
- Gueymard Wayenburg's hard-court sets average 9.2 and 9.4 games in the first two sets
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gueymard Wayenburg's matches are short and Tabur is not a heavy ace server, so the combined total usually stays below the line.
- Gueymard Wayenburg's hard-court matches last about 97 minutes on average
- Tabur averages 4 aces per match on hard, well below his opponent
- Gueymard Wayenburg's hard-court matches average 2.42 sets
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableUnder 12.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player is especially tidy on second serve, and their combined hard-court rate is slightly above the line.
- Tabur averages 3 double faults per match on hard
- Gueymard Wayenburg averages 2.7 double faults per match on hard
- Gueymard Wayenburg averaged 3.4 double faults across 15 matches overall
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance52%

Previous match context available

Clement Tabur

7W 8L

6-1 6-4#325Thomas Faurel 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-3#267Matteo Martineau 7-6(6) 4-6 6-3#268Murphy Cassone

7-6(5) 1-6 6-4#191Harold Mayot

6-4 7-5#207Braden Shick

4-6 6-4 6-4#242Henri Squire

7-5 6-3#898Orlando Luz

1-6 7-6(5) 6-4#203Edas Butvilas

6-7(9) 7-6(5) 7-5#33Arthur Rinderknech

4-6 7-5 6-4#140Jurij Rodionov

6-4 7-6(3)#271Marc-Andrea Huesler

6-3 6-4#1046Hendrik Jebens

6-1 3-6 6-4#186Diego Dedura

1-6 7-5 2-6 6-3 6-1#120Shintaro Mochizuki

5-7 7-6(4) 6-4#104Bu Yunchaokete

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

11W 4L

6-1 6-4#169Gauthier Onclin 6-4 7-5#292Pierre-Hugues Herbert

4-6 6-3 7-5#191Harold Mayot

4-6 7-6(8) 6-3#72Titouan Droguet 6-0 6-3#168Francesco Maestrelli

6-4 6-4#311Ugo Blanchet

6-4 6-3#633Maxime Janvier

6-7(3) 6-3 6-4#147Mark Lajal

6-0 6-1#800Mae Malige

3-6 6-2 6-2#277Michele Ribecai

6-4 6-1#513Sergio Callejon Hernando

3-6 6-4 6-4#422Izan Almazan Valiente

6-4 6-4#239Guido Ivan Justo

6-7(5) 7-6(2) 6-2#269Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

7-6(4) 6-3#154Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

CTClement TaburTabur

Last 15

2–6

9 core stats · 1 even

Sascha Gueymard WayenburgWayenburgSW

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg carries the stronger recent form — Clement Tabur's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

1st Serve In60.3%—59.9%

1st Serve Won71.3%+2.9pp74.2%

2nd Serve Won55.9%+5.4pp50.5%

Aces / Match5.5+1.97.4

Double Faults / Match2.21.2 fewer3.4

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won36.4%+2.3pp38.7%

Pressure · 0–2

Break Pts Converted37.0%+11.9pp48.9%

Break Pts Saved53.8%+13.2pp67.0%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won50.5%+1.7pp52.2%

Serve · 2–2 · 1 even

60.3%1st Serve In—59.9%

71.3%1st Serve Won+2.9pp74.2%

55.9%2nd Serve Won+5.4pp50.5%

5.5Aces / Match+1.97.4

2.2Double Faults / Match1.2 fewer3.4

Return · 0–1

36.4%Return Pts Won+2.3pp38.7%

Pressure · 0–2

37.0%Break Pts Converted+11.9pp48.9%

53.8%Break Pts Saved+13.2pp67.0%

Points · 0–1

50.5%Total Pts Won+1.7pp52.2%