Kyrian Jacquet #121France22 – 0Tomas Martin Etcheverry #30Argentina0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Jacquet has kept the game count close in most of his hard-court matches, and Etcheverry has not been winning by wide margins in best-of-three play.

• Jacquet's six listed hard-court matches total 68 games won and 72 lost
• Etcheverry's three hard best-of-three matches this window were all straight-sets losses
• Etcheverry's average hard best-of-three match totals 19.7 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jacquet's hard-court game share is almost even, so keeping the final margin within two games is the more likely outcome.

• Etcheverry's last 15 matches produced 5 wins and 10 losses
• Jacquet has won 50.5% of hard-court games in this window
• Etcheverry's three hard best-of-three matches this window were all 0-2 losses

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets in Jacquet's hard-court sample have stayed just under ten games with no tiebreaks at all.

• Jacquet's set-2 average of 9.0 games covers nine hard matches
• None of those nine matches had a set-2 tiebreak
• Etcheverry lost set 2 in all three hard best-of-three matches this window

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

A favourite of Etcheverry's standing more often wins in straight sets, and his own best-of-three record here is short and one-sided.

• Etcheverry's three hard best-of-three matches this window were all 0-2
• His average hard-court match duration is 132.8 minutes, inflated by best-of-five US Open matches
• Jacquet's scoreline mix: 2-0 three times, 0-2 twice, 2-1 twice, 1-2 twice

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

A best-of-three match between one strong server and one with a low first-serve rate is likely to stay under twelve aces.

• Combined hard-court averages: Etcheverry 6.4, Jacquet 5.3 aces per match
• Etcheverry's figure includes best-of-five matches, not this best-of-three format
• Jacquet's first serve lands only 51.1% of the time on hard

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Jacquet's high double-fault rate plus Etcheverry's steady supply puts the combined total just above the line.

• Jacquet averages 3.9 double faults per hard-court match
• Etcheverry averages 2.1 double faults per hard-court match on hard (1.9 overall)
• Combined hard-court average is about 6.0 per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Tiebreaks have been uncommon in the available hard-court matches for both players.

• Only 3 of Jacquet's 9 hard best-of-three matches had a tiebreak
• Only 1 of Etcheverry's 3 hard best-of-three matches had a tiebreak
• Etcheverry's three hard best-of-three matches averaged 19.7 games