Nikola Slavic #792Sweden11 – 2Yanis Ghazouani Durand #584France2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Ghazouani Durand's stronger recent return game and break conversion give him a clear edge in a Bo3 indoor hard match.

• Last 15 overall record: Ghazouani Durand 10-5 (66.7%) vs Slavic 8-7 (53.3%)
• Last 15 return points won: Ghazouani Durand 44.2% vs Slavic 37.0%
• Last 15 break points converted: Ghazouani Durand 47.1% vs Slavic 36.7%
• Career win percentage: Ghazouani Durand 60.7% vs Slavic 55.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent matches average over 21 games, and Slavic's tendency toward tiebreaks increases the likelihood of a longer match.

• Slavic last 15 average games per match: 22.0 (329 games / 15 matches)
• Ghazouani Durand last 15 average games per match: 21.3 (320 games / 15 matches)
• Slavic last 15 tiebreak win percentage: 45% career, recent matches include multiple tiebreaks
• Both players have similar games won percentages around 50%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' first sets average over 9.5 games, and Slavic's tiebreak frequency supports a longer opening set.

• Slavic last 15 first set average games: 9.6 (144 games / 15 sets)
• Ghazouani Durand last 15 first set average games: 9.3 (139 games / 15 sets)
• Slavic has played 5 tiebreaks in last 15 matches
• Ghazouani Durand has played 2 tiebreaks in last 15 matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Ghazouani Durand's superior return game and break conversion should allow him to cover a -1.5 game handicap.

• Ghazouani Durand last 15 games won percentage: 53.4%
• Slavic last 15 games won percentage: 48.3%
• Ghazouani Durand last 15 return points won: 44.2% vs Slavic 37.0%
• Ghazouani Durand has higher break point conversion rate

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Ghazouani Durand's high double fault rate, especially on hard courts, makes over 7.5 double faults likely.

• Slavic last 15 double faults per match: 3.2
• Ghazouani Durand last 15 double faults per match: 5.2
• Combined average double faults per match: 8.4
• Ghazouani Durand has high double fault rate on hard courts (5.8 per match)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined ace averages are close to the line, and indoor hard conditions may push the total over 7.5.

• Slavic last 15 aces per match: 4.3
• Ghazouani Durand last 15 aces per match: 2.7
• Combined average aces per match: 7.0
• Indoor hard surface typically increases ace counts