FranceRennes - FranceFinished

Predictions graded

Finn Bass #1532United Kingdom2Kenny de Schepper #850France1

Sets 7-6 · 3-6 · 6-3Mon 14 Sept 2026, 11:20 Predictions gradedQ3I.hard

Predictions4–450%

Edges0–10%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageKenny De Schepper · 682 places

Finn Bass

United Kingdom

British right-hander, born 9 October 1999; ITF lists grass as his preferred surface. His career-high singles ranking was No. 756 in September 2018.

Current ranking: #1532
Peak ranking: #756 · 2018
Current age: 26
Preferred surface: Grass
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Kenny De Schepper

France

De Schepper, 39, is the left-hander in this matchup. He reached a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 62 in April 2014; hard courts have been listed as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #850
Peak ranking: #62 · 2014
Current age: 39
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Left handed
Height: 203 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Sep 2026, 22:28 · Europe/Bucharest

Kenny de Schepper's superior return game and experience give him the edge over Finn Bass, but the moneyline odds offer no value.

Expect a competitive match with over 22.5 total games and a likely tiebreak.

Context

De Schepper, 39, is a left-handed veteran with a big serve and extensive Challenger experience. Bass, 26, is a right-hander ranked outside the top 1500.
De Schepper's recent record and return numbers are clearly better than Bass's. He wins 38.6% of return points and converts 48.9% of break points, while Bass wins only 33.3% of return points and converts 36.1%. This suggests De Schepper can pressure Bass's serve more effectively.
- De Schepper last 15: 7-8 record, 38.6% return points won, 48.9% break points converted.
- Bass last 15: 5-10 record, 33.3% return points won, 36.1% break points converted.
Bass's career first-serve percentage is 59%, but his recent indoor hard sample shows a drop to 55.4%.
In his last six indoor hard matches, Bass has made only 55.4% of first serves and averaged 5.3 double faults per match. De Schepper's return numbers are solid, so Bass may face pressure on his second serve.
- Bass indoor hard last 6: 55.4% first serve in, 5.3 double faults per match.
- De Schepper overall last 15: 38.6% return points won.
De Schepper has played most of his recent matches on clay, with 10 of his last 15 on that surface.
His indoor hard sample is just two matches, with a 1-1 record and a poor 23.5% return points won. That is too small to draw conclusions, so his overall form is a better guide than his indoor hard numbers.
- De Schepper indoor hard last 2: 1-1 record, 23.5% return points won.
- De Schepper clay last 10: 5-5 record, 41.8% return points won.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Kenny de Schepper

1.29fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 77.5%

0.0ppshort

de Schepper's superior recent return and break-point efficiency, combined with his vast experience, gives him the edge in this Bo3 indoor hard match.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.29
The read
de Schepper's superior recent return and break-point efficiency, combined with his vast experience, gives him the edge in this Bo3 indoor hard match.
- Kenny de Schepper last 15 overall record 7-8 (46.7%) vs Finn Bass 5-10 (33.3%)
- de Schepper return points won 38.6% vs Bass 33.3% in last 15
- de Schepper break point conversion 48.9% vs Bass 36.1% in last 15
- de Schepper career win pct 53% and 561 wins vs Bass 52.7% and 149 wins
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKenny de SchepperEstimated chance58%

Games2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches have been competitive and lengthy, suggesting a total games line above 22.5 is likely.
- Bass last 15 average 102.5 minutes per match, de Schepper 109.5 minutes
- Bass last 15 games won 44.8%, de Schepper 49.9%
- Both players have played multiple three-set matches recently
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 22.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first sets for both players have averaged near 10 games, supporting an over on the set total.
- Bass last 15 first set average games: 9.7
- de Schepper last 15 first set average games: 9.8
- Both players have played tiebreaks in recent first sets
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameswonOver 9.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
de Schepper's better recent game-winning percentage and return stats support a narrow handicap cover.
- de Schepper last 15 games won 49.9% vs Bass 44.8%
- de Schepper return points won 38.6% vs Bass 33.3%
- de Schepper has won 7 of last 15 matches vs Bass 5 of 15
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostKenny de Schepper -1.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
de Schepper's higher first-serve percentage and strong first-set conversion rate make him a slight favorite to take the opener.
- de Schepper first set win conversion 86% career vs Bass 82%
- de Schepper last 15 first serve points won 66.8% vs Bass 76.6%
- Bass first serve points won higher but lower first serve in 56.2% vs de Schepper 69.8%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostKenny de SchepperEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive nature of this matchup and both players' recent three-set frequency support a three-set match.
- Bass last 15: 5 of 15 matches went to three sets (33%)
- de Schepper last 15: 6 of 15 matches went to three sets (40%)
- Both players have shown ability to win and lose deciding sets
BetBugs · Total SetswonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The closeness of the matchup and both players' recent tiebreak frequency make a tiebreak likely.
- Bass last 15: 4 of 15 matches featured a tiebreak (27%)
- de Schepper last 15: 5 of 15 matches featured a tiebreak (33%)
- Both players have played tiebreaks in recent indoor hard matches
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bass's high ace rate and de Schepper's solid serving suggest a combined ace total above 12.5.
- Bass last 15 aces per match 8.9
- de Schepper last 15 aces per match 4.5
- Combined average aces per match 13.4
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 12.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players average a combined 8.7 double faults per match, making over 7.5 a reasonable expectation.
- Bass last 15 double faults per match 5.1
- de Schepper last 15 double faults per match 3.6
- Combined average double faults per match 8.7
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance52%

Previous match context available

Finn Bass

5W 10L

4-6 7-6(1) 6-4#488Luca Potenza

6-1 6-4#719Herman Hoeyeraal

6-4 6-3#792Nikola Slavic

6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(1)#193Keegan Smith

6-2 7-5#441Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

6-2 6-2#309Stefan Dostanic

3-6 6-3 7-6(2)#765Matt Kuhar

6-2 7-5#762Ryan Fishback

2-6 6-1 6-1#444Denis Yevseyev

7-6(7) 6-4#656James Story

3-6 6-1 6-3#123Dane Sweeny

6-2 3-6 6-3#549Pavle Marinkov

1-6 6-3 6-4#694Shinji Hazawa

6-2 6-4#365Jake Delaney

6-3 6-2#449Emile Hudd

Kenny de Schepper

7W 8L

6-7(6) 7-6(4) 7-5#635Alberto Barroso Campos

6-3 6-2#185Clement Chidekh

6-4 7-6(1)#409Robin Bertrand

7-6(6) 6-3#847Stefan Seifert

6-2 6-4#429Maxime Chazal

7-5 6-2#600Pierre Delage

6-2 7-5—Lenny Couturier

5-7 7-5 6-3—Samuele Seghetti

7-5 6-3—Massimo Pizzigoni

2-6 6-4 7-6(4)#523Alexander Donski

7-5 6-3—Nicolas Ifi

6-3 6-2—Elijah Sanogo

5-7 6-4 6-4#444Denis Yevseyev

7-6(3) 6-4#573Kai Wehnelt

6-1 6-2#177Max Alcala Gurri

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

FBFinn BassBass

Last 15

3–6

9 core stats · 0 even

Kenny de SchepperSchepperKS

Kenny de Schepper carries the stronger recent form — Finn Bass's route runs through serve.

Serve · 2–3

1st Serve In56.2%+13.6pp69.8%

1st Serve Won76.6%+9.8pp66.8%

2nd Serve Won43.8%+2.5pp46.3%

Aces / Match8.9+4.44.5

Double Faults / Match5.11.5 fewer3.6

Return · 0–1

Return Pts Won33.3%+5.3pp38.6%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted36.1%+12.8pp48.9%

Break Pts Saved58.8%+9.4pp49.4%

Points · 0–1

Total Pts Won48.1%+1.5pp49.6%

Serve · 2–3

56.2%1st Serve In+13.6pp69.8%

76.6%1st Serve Won+9.8pp66.8%

43.8%2nd Serve Won+2.5pp46.3%

8.9Aces / Match+4.44.5

5.1Double Faults / Match1.5 fewer3.6

Return · 0–1

33.3%Return Pts Won+5.3pp38.6%

Pressure · 1–1

36.1%Break Pts Converted+12.8pp48.9%

58.8%Break Pts Saved+9.4pp49.4%

Points · 0–1

48.1%Total Pts Won+1.5pp49.6%