AustriaTulln - AustriaFinished

Predictions graded

Henri Squire #211Germany0Filip Misolic #530Austria2

Sets 4-6 · 0-6Tue 8 Sept 2026, 09:40 Predictions gradedFirst RoundClay

Predictions0–70%

Edges0–20%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageHenri Squire · 319 places

Henri Squire

Germany

German right-hander whose highest singles ranking is No. 169, reached in July 2024. The ITF lists carpet as his preferred surface.

Current ranking: #211
Peak ranking: #169 · 2024
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: Carpet
Hand: Right handed
Height: 196 cm

Filip Misolic

Austria

Reached a career-high No. 76 in February 2026. A right-foot plantar-fascia rupture interrupted his 2026 season; in mid-June he was still building toward a return.

Current ranking: #530
Peak ranking: #76 · 2026
Current age: 25
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 180 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Sep 2026, 03:32 · Europe/Bucharest

Henri Squire holds a significant edge over Filip Misolic based on recent form, clay-court activity, and ranking.

Misolic's 4-11 record and absence from clay make him vulnerable despite a 2-0 head-to-head lead from years ago. The best betting value is on Squire to win the match and the first set at odds around 2.20.

Context

Squire, ranked 215, is a clay-court specialist with a 57.1% win rate on clay in his last 14 matches. Misolic, ranked 537, has struggled recently, losing his last five matches across all surfaces.
Squire's recent clay form gives him a clear edge in this matchup. Misolic's last clay match was in 2025, and his current form is poor, making it difficult for him to compete at the same level.
- Squire's last 14 clay matches: 8 wins, 6 losses (57.1% win rate).
- Misolic's last 15 matches overall: 4 wins, 11 losses (26.7% win rate).
- Misolic has not played a clay match in 2026; his last clay match was in 2025.
Misolic has a 2-0 head-to-head record against Squire, with both victories on clay. The most recent meeting was in 2023.
Despite his current poor form, Misolic's past success against Squire on clay could give him confidence. However, those wins came when Misolic was ranked higher and in better form, so their relevance is limited.
- 2023: Misolic won 6-3 6-4 on clay.
- 2021: Misolic won 7-5 6-3 on clay.
Squire retired from his last match against Filip Cristian Jianu on September 1, 2026, after losing the first set 6-4 and trailing 2-1 in the second.
The retirement is a slight concern, but there is no current information suggesting an ongoing injury. Squire has had a week to recover, so it is unlikely to significantly affect his performance.
- Squire retired from his match on 2026-09-01 against Filip Cristian Jianu.
- No current injury reports are available.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20
The read
Squire's stronger recent form and clay activity give him the edge over Misolic, who has struggled on hard courts and lacks recent clay evidence.
- Henri Squire last 15 overall record 8-7 (53.3%), Filip Misolic 4-11 (26.7%)
- Squire clay last 14 record 8-6 (57.1%), Misolic has no clay matches in last 15 window
- Squire ranking 215 vs Misolic 537
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHenri SquireEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given both players' recent match lengths and competitive clay dynamics, a total above 21.5 games is plausible.
- Squire last 15 average 21.3 games per match, Misolic 23.5
- Squire clay average 20.7 games, Misolic no clay sample
- Both players have moderate serve hold rates
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first set lengths for both players hover around 10 games, supporting an over 9.5 line.
- Squire last 15 first set average 9.7 games
- Misolic last 15 first set average 9.9 games
- Both players have similar first set game counts
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20
The read
Squire's superior recent set win rate and clay serve performance make him likely to take the opening set.
- Squire first set win conversion career 87%, Misolic 90%
- Squire last 15 sets won 54.5%, Misolic 28.6%
- Squire clay first serve points won 67.5%
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostHenri SquireEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined ace averages of both players suggest a total around 8, making over 7.5 a near coin flip.
- Squire averages 4.3 aces per match last 15, Misolic 3.6
- Combined average 7.9 aces per match
- Clay surface may reduce ace counts slightly
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 7.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Misolic's poor recent form and lack of clay matches make the favorite price a trap.

Head-to-Head

0-2 (2 meetings)

L6-3 6-4Henri Squire#215vFilip Misolic#537Nov 27, 2023

L7-5 6-3Henri Squire#215vFilip Misolic#537Sep 26, 2021

2 total meetings

Previous match context available

Henri Squire

8W 7L

6-4 2-1 ret.#269Filip Cristian Jianu

6-2 2-6 7-6(2)#192David Jorda Sanchis

6-3 7-6(5)#145Tom Gentzsch

6-4 6-1#235Alex Barrena

6-2 7-5#169Federico Agustin Gomez

6-2 7-6(5)#260Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

4-6 6-4 6-4#159Clement Tabur

5-2 ret.#109Otto Virtanen

6-3 6-3#271Franco Roncadelli

6-2 7-6(3)#432Mika Petkovic

6-3 6-1#186Jan Kumstat

6-4 3-6 6-3#254Matej Dodig

6-2 6-3#191Lukas Neumayer

5-7 6-4 7-5#207Francesco Passaro

7-6(5) 7-6(5)#285Alvaro Guillen Meza

Filip Misolic

4W 11L

6-4 6-3 7-5#25Francisco Cerundolo

6-1 1-1 ret.#65Martin Landaluce

7-6(5) 7-6(4)#201Lorenzo Giustino

6-2 6-3 6-3#27Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

7-5 6-3#98Alexander Shevchenko

7-5 6-4—Daniel Jovanovski

6-3 6-3#85Rinky Hijikata

6-1 6-3#6Flavio Cobolli

6-3 6-7(3) 6-1#86Alex Molcan

1-6 7-6(4) 6-4#221Chun Hsin Tseng

6-4 6-4#7Alex De Minaur

7-5 7-6(6)#77Camilo Ugo Carabelli

6-2 6-2#73Kamil Majchrzak

6-3 3-6 7-6(4)#447Viktor Durasovic

6-7(4) 6-4 6-4#879William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

Stat Battle

Last 15 match performance, compared side by side.

HSHenri SquireSquire

Last 15

7–2

9 core stats · 0 even

Filip MisolicMisolicFM

Henri Squire carries the stronger recent form — Filip Misolic's route runs through pressure.

Serve · 4–1

1st Serve In15/15 · 14/1566.8%+5.6pp61.2%

1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/1568.1%+1.3pp66.8%

2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/1547.9%+2.1pp45.8%

Aces / Match15/15 · 14/154.3+0.73.6

Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/156.02.5 fewer3.5

Return · 1–0

Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/1540.2%+4.5pp35.7%

Pressure · 1–1

Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/1538.3%+10.9pp27.4%

Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/1548.7%+8.8pp57.5%

Points · 1–0

Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/1550.5%+3.1pp47.4%

Serve · 4–1

66.8%1st Serve In15/15 · 14/15+5.6pp61.2%

68.1%1st Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+1.3pp66.8%

47.9%2nd Serve Won15/15 · 14/15+2.1pp45.8%

4.3Aces / Match15/15 · 14/15+0.73.6

6.0Double Faults / Match15/15 · 14/152.5 fewer3.5

Return · 1–0

40.2%Return Pts Won15/15 · 14/15+4.5pp35.7%

Pressure · 1–1

38.3%Break Pts Converted15/15 · 14/15+10.9pp27.4%

48.7%Break Pts Saved15/15 · 14/15+8.8pp57.5%

Points · 1–0

50.5%Total Pts Won15/15 · 14/15+3.1pp47.4%