Lui Maxted vs Anton Shepp: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Maxted's slightly stronger recent hard-court form and direct H2H win give him a modest edge over Shepp.
- Maxted has won 8 of his last 13 hard-court matches (61.5%) in the last 15-match window.
- Shepp has won 7 of his last 12 hard-court matches (58.3%) in the same window.
- Maxted won the only previous H2H meeting 6-4 3-6 6-1 on hard in October 2025.
- Maxted's recent opponents include higher-ranked players (e.g., #286, #289) while Shepp's recent losses include a 6-1 6-3 defeat to Mark Ceban.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLui MaxtedEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent hard-court match lengths and their H2H suggest a match likely to exceed 21.5 games.
- Maxted's last 15 hard-court matches averaged 24.8 games per match (323 games / 13 matches).
- Shepp's last 12 hard-court matches averaged 20.7 games per match (248 games / 12 matches).
- Their H2H match had 26 games (6-4 3-6 6-1).
- Maxted's recent matches have been competitive, with 7 of his last 10 going to at least 22 games.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Shepp's ability to keep matches close, especially in losses, makes +3.5 games a solid handicap for him.
- Maxted's average games won margin in his last 15 matches is +0.8 games per match.
- Shepp's average games won margin in his last 15 matches is +0.3 games per match.
- In their H2H, Maxted won by 4 games (16-12), but Shepp won a set.
- Shepp's recent losses have been by 8, 3, 8, 3, and 8 games, but his wins have been by 3, 1, 0, 9, 5, 9, 6 games.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonAnton Shepp +3.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players tend to produce competitive first sets, making over 9.5 games likely.
- Maxted's last 10 first sets have averaged 9.8 games.
- Shepp's last 10 first sets have averaged 9.2 games.
- In their H2H, the first set had 10 games (6-4).
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been similarly competitive, with a slight lean toward over 9.5 games.
- Maxted's last 10 second sets have averaged 9.6 games.
- Shepp's last 10 second sets have averaged 9.4 games.
- In their H2H, the second set had 9 games (3-6).
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Maxted's strong first-set record and Shepp's recent slow starts support a Maxted first-set win.
- Maxted's first-set win conversion is 92% career, and he has won the first set in 6 of his last 10 matches.
- Shepp has lost the first set in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- In their H2H, Maxted won the first set 6-4.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonLui MaxtedEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Shepp's high ace rate and Maxted's steady contribution make over 8.5 total aces probable.
- Shepp averages 6.1 aces per match on hard in his last 12 matches.
- Maxted averages 3.1 aces per match on hard in his last 13 matches.
- Combined, their recent hard-court ace averages total 9.2 per match.
- In their H2H, Shepp hit 10 aces and Maxted hit 4, totaling 14 aces.
BetBugs · Total Acesnot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Their combined double fault rates hover around the 5.5 line, with Maxted's higher rate pushing the total over.
- Maxted averages 3.2 double faults per match on hard in his last 13 matches.
- Shepp averages 2.3 double faults per match on hard in his last 12 matches.
- Combined, their recent hard-court double fault averages total 5.5 per match.
- In their H2H, both players had 2 double faults each, totaling 4.
BetBugs · Total Double Faultsnot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Lui Maxted #403United Kingdom2Anton Shepp #498New Zealand0

Player Profiles

Lui Maxted

Anton Shepp

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Lui Maxted

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

Lui Maxted

Anton Shepp

Stat Battle