Andrej Nedic #246Bosnia & Herzegovina11 – 2Carlos Taberner #409Spain2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Nedic holds a slight edge in recent form and ranking, with better break point conversion, though both have similar clay win rates in last 15; no H2H data available.

• Nedic last15 overall record 8-7 (53.3%), Taberner 7-8 (46.7%)
• Nedic clay last15 record 8-7 (53.3%), Taberner clay last15 7-6 (53.8%)
• Nedic ranking 246 vs Taberner 409, Nedic has beaten higher-ranked opponents recently (e.g., Nagal #235, Mayot #255)
• Taberner break point conversion last15 only 39.6%, Nedic 50.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players are evenly matched on clay with similar win rates, and their recent matches average over 21.5 games, making a longer match likely.

• Nedic last15 average games per match 21.7 (326 games/15 matches)
• Taberner last15 average games per match 23.1 (347 games/15 matches)
• Both players have 53%+ clay win rates, suggesting competitive matches
• Taberner last15 clay matches average 23.5 games (305 games/13 matches)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Taberner's recent clay performance shows he wins more games on average, and the match is expected to be close, making +3.5 games a likely cover.

• Nedic last15 average games won per match 11.2, Taberner 11.9
• Taberner last15 clay games won per match 12.8
• Nedic last15 games won minus lost: +0.4 per match, Taberner +0.7

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Both players average over 9.5 games in set 1 in recent matches, indicating a tight opening set is probable.

• Nedic last15 set1 average games 9.7 (145 games/15 sets)
• Taberner last15 set1 average games 9.9 (148 games/15 sets)
• Taberner last15 clay set1 average 10.2 (133 games/13 sets)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Set 2 averages are slightly lower but still near 9.5; competitive match dynamics support a close second set.

• Nedic last15 set2 average games 9.3 (140 games/15 sets)
• Taberner last15 set2 average games 9.7 (145 games/15 sets)
• Taberner last15 clay set2 average 9.8 (127 games/13 sets)

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Over half of Taberner's recent matches and nearly half of Nedic's went to a deciding set, indicating a high likelihood of three sets.

• Nedic last15 deciding set win rate 61% career, Taberner 53% career
• Nedic last15 matches: 7 of 15 went to deciding set (46.7%)
• Taberner last15 matches: 8 of 15 went to deciding set (53.3%)
• Both players have similar overall win rates, suggesting a close match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Nedic's strong career first-set conversion and slightly better recent break point conversion give him a marginal edge in set 1, though Taberner's serve stats are slightly superior.

• Nedic first set win conversion career 89%, Taberner 87%
• Nedic last15 first serve points won 63.3%, Taberner 67.2%
• Taberner last15 return points won 42.8%, Nedic 40.4%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Taberner averages over 4 double faults per match, and with Nedic contributing, the total is likely to exceed 6.5, especially if the match goes three sets.

• Nedic last15 double faults per match 1.5, Taberner 4.7
• Taberner last15 clay double faults per match 4.3
• Combined average 6.2, but Taberner's high rate in longer matches pushes total over

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Taberner's higher ace count on clay, combined with Nedic's modest ace numbers, makes over 5.5 total aces plausible in a potentially long match.

• Nedic last15 aces per match 1.5, Taberner 2.5
• Taberner last15 clay aces per match 2.7
• Combined average aces per match 4.0, but Taberner's higher ace rate on clay pushes total up