Elmer Moller #18422 – 0Carlos Taberner #409Spain0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Moller's slight edge in return points won and break point conversion, combined with a prior H2H win on clay, gives him a moderate advantage in a close matchup.

• Elmer Moller won the only H2H meeting on clay in 2024 (6-4 4-6 6-4).
• Moller's last15 clay record is 8-7 (53.3%) with 51.4% games won; Taberner's last13 clay record is 7-6 (53.8%) with 54.1% games won.
• Moller's return points won on clay in last15 is 46% vs Taberner's 44.1%.
• Moller's break point conversion in last15 is 46.9% vs Taberner's 38.4%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent matches average over 21.5 games, and their close stats suggest a competitive match likely to exceed the total games line.

• Moller's last15 average games per match is 21.5 (323 games / 15 matches).
• Taberner's last15 average games per match is 22.1 (332 games / 15 matches).
• The H2H match had 30 games (6-4 4-6 6-4).
• Both players have similar games won percentages (~51%) in last15, indicating tight matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Both players' recent first sets average close to 9.5 games, and the H2H first set went over, suggesting a slight lean toward over 9.5.

• Moller's last15 set1 average games is 9.8 (based on 15 matches, 147 set1 games).
• Taberner's last15 set1 average games is 9.5 (based on 15 matches, 142 set1 games).
• The H2H first set had 10 games (6-4).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Moller's slight edge in games won margin and H2H victory by 2 games suggest a narrow cover of -1.5, but the margin is thin.

• Moller's last15 games won margin is +0.4 per match (166-160).
• Taberner's last15 games won margin is +0.2 per match (169-163).
• Moller won the H2H by 2 games (16-14).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Moller's strong first-set conversion rate and prior H2H first-set win suggest a slight edge, but Taberner's comparable serve stats keep confidence low.

• Moller won the first set in the H2H meeting 6-4.
• Moller's first set win conversion career is 88%, Taberner's is 87%.
• In last15, Moller's first serve points won is 64.4% vs Taberner's 65.5%.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have low ace counts, with a combined average of 4.0 per match, making under 5.5 aces highly probable.

• Moller averages 1.7 aces per match in last15.
• Taberner averages 2.3 aces per match in last15.
• Combined average aces per match is 4.0, well under 5.5.
• In the H2H, total aces were 3 (Moller 1, Taberner 2).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both players have high double fault rates, with a combined average exceeding 10 per match, making over 9.5 double faults likely.

• Moller averages 6.1 double faults per match in last15.
• Taberner averages 4.6 double faults per match in last15.
• Combined average double faults per match is 10.7, above 9.5.
• In the H2H, total double faults were 11 (Moller 5, Taberner 6).