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Standard LiegeKortrijk

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 17:1531 Oct, 17:15

7Probabilities7Priced7Edges87%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

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Context last updated 30 Oct 2026, 06:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Standard host Kortrijk with the visitors yet to score away in the league this season and Standard on four straight league defeats.

The likely shape is a tight, low-scoring game controlled by the home side, with Standard fancied to take at least a point. The 1.2 on Standard or draw asks too much; the prices that hold up are Under 2.5 goals at 2.1, both teams to score — no at 2.1, and Kortrijk under 4.5 corners at 1.7.

Context

Kortrijk's away goal drought and Standard's four-match league slide leave the result genuinely open, while the low-scoring head-to-head series and Kortrijk's low away corner output shape how the match is likely to be played.

Kortrijk travel to Sclessin without an away league goal this season.
Kortrijk have lost all four away league games in 2026, scoring none and conceding ten, including 0-3 at Genk on 10 October and 0-3 at RAAL La Louvière on 13 September. Away from home they average 8.25 shots and 1.75 on target across those four matches. Standard's home league record of two wins, one draw and one loss offers a platform, though Standard have scored just five goals in those four games.
- Kortrijk away league record 2026: 4 played, 0 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, 0 goals for, 10 against.
- 10 October 2026: Genk 3-0 Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League.
- 13 September 2026: RAAL La Louvière 3-0 Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League.
Recent meetings between these clubs have been decided by narrow margins and few goals.
Standard won the most recent meeting 1-0 at Sclessin on 10 January 2025, while Kortrijk won the two before that at the same venue, 1-0 in January 2024 and 2-0 in February 2023. Only one of the five games saw both teams score, a 1-1 draw in Kortrijk in August 2023. The series supports a low-scoring read, though five matches is a small sample and those sides are not these sides.
- 10 January 2025: Standard Liège 1-0 Kortrijk, Jupiler Pro League.
- 20 January 2024: Standard Liège 0-1 Kortrijk; 12 February 2023: Standard Liège 0-2 Kortrijk.
- Five meetings from 12 February 2023 to 10 January 2025 produced 7 goals in total, with every match under 2.5 goals.
Standard's league form has collapsed even as their home results stay broadly positive.
The run spans Westerlo (2-4 away, 12 September), Gent (1-2 away, 18 September), Charleroi (0-1 at home, 11 October) and Genk (1-2 away, 25 October). At home in the league Standard have won two, drawn one and lost one, scoring five and conceding three. They have also scored in nine of ten competitive matches and kept three clean sheets, so the slide has not come with a blank attack.
- Standard league record 2026: 9 played, 3 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses; the four most recent league results were defeats.
- Standard home league record: 4 played, 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 5 goals for, 3 against.
- Standard scored in 9 of 10 competitive matches and kept 3 clean sheets.
The fixture is set for an 18:15 local kick-off at Sclessin on 31 October. That fixes the match’s home venue and early-evening scheduling context. It does not establish an unusual preparation, travel, selection, or tactical condition for either side.
- The fixture is scheduled for Saturday 31 October at 18:15 local time.
- Standard Liège host Kortrijk at Sclessin in matchday 10 of the Jupiler Pro League.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 06:42 · Europe/BucharestStandard de Liègestandard.be · 29 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Kortrijk have not avoided defeat away in the league and have not scored on the road, so Standard are well placed to take at least a point at home.
- Kortrijk away league record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses, 0 goals scored, 10 conceded.
- Standard home league record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss; home split shows 3 clean sheets in 5.
- Kortrijk have 1 win and 7 losses in 8 league matches and rank 17th.
BetBugs · Double ChanceStandard Liege or DrawMarket price1.20Estimated chance76%

Goals4 outcomes · top 87%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Kortrijk's away games lack goals and recent meetings have been low-scoring, pointing to a controlled rather than open match.
- Last five head-to-heads all finished under 2.5 goals.
- Standard home league games average 2.0 total goals: 5 for and 3 against in 4.
- Kortrijk away league games average 2.5 total goals: 0 for and 10 against in 4.
- Kortrijk have scored only 2 goals in 8 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5Market price2.10Estimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Kortrijk's away scoring record is very poor and Standard's home matches have rarely seen both sides score.
- Kortrijk have scored in only 2 of 8 competitive matches and have 0 goals in 4 away league games.
- Standard home split: both teams scored in only 1 of 5.
- Last five head-to-heads produced both teams scoring only once.
- Standard have conceded in 7 of 10 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreNoMarket price2.10Estimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13
The read
Standard have scored in nine of ten competitive matches and Kortrijk have conceded in every away league game.
- Standard scored in 9 of 10 competitive matches and in 4 of 5 home matches.
- Kortrijk conceded in 7 of 8 competitive matches and in all 4 away league games.
- Kortrijk away league goals against: 10 in 4.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalStandard Liege over 0.5Market price1.13Estimated chance87%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring numbers, and Kortrijk have not scored before half-time away from home.
- Standard home first-half goals: 0.4 for and 0.2 against per match.
- Kortrijk overall first-half goals: 0.125 for and 1.0 against per match.
- Kortrijk away first-half scoring: 0 goals in 4 away league games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.48Estimated chance64%

Match stats2 outcomes · top 67%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Standard generate most of their corners at home while Kortrijk's away matches still allow a reasonable supply.
- Standard average 5.7 corners overall and 7.75 in home matches.
- Kortrijk concede 5.5 corners overall and 4.75 away.
- Standard had 13 corners at home to Antwerp and 6 at home to Charleroi.
BetBugs · Home CornersStandard Liege over 4.5Market price1.45Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Kortrijk's away corner output is low and they are likely to spend long spells without the ball at Sclessin.
- Kortrijk average 3.5 corners overall and 2.75 in away league games.
- Kortrijk took 4, 4 and 2 corners in their three listed away league matches.
- Standard's opponents average 5.8 corners overall.
BetBugs · Away CornersKortrijk under 4.5Market price1.70Estimated chance61%