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Predictions gradedPre-match view
Beroe arrive fifth with a point more than their hosts but without a win in six league away games, and Lokomotiv have lost once at home this season, so the shape is a tight, low-scoring home night.
Lokomotiv are the likelier winners, with the draw the obvious counterweight. The 2.2 on the home win offers no clear advantage, and the short prices on Under 2.5 (1.57), both teams to score No (1.73) and a first-half under 1.5 (1.3) do not tempt either.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Lokomotiv Gorna OryahovitsaMarket 45.5% · BetBugs 46%
The home side's defensive solidity against a team that has lost four of six away games points to a narrow home win.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 57% · Market 63.7%
Both sides' season-long scoring rates point to a game short of three goals.
BetBugs 56% · Market 57.8%
Lokomotiv's defence has been the base of their season and Beroe are a low-volume scoring side away from home.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11-10 | 20 |
| 5 |  Beroe Stara Zagora | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21-16 | 21 |