Second LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

Dobrudzha Dobrich2Beroe Stara Zagora2

HT 0–0Sun 6 Sept 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges6–367%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Sep 2026, 07:35 · Europe/Bucharest

Beroe Stara Zagora, under new coach Ahmed Hikmet, are slight favourites away to Dobrudzha despite a poor away record.

The best value is Beroe to win at 2.90 (model edge +11 points), while the first-half draw at 2.10 also offers value. Expect a low-scoring match, but avoid short-priced 'No' and under markets that offer no edge.

Context

Dobrudzha Dobrich are 17th in the Second League with five points from seven matches. They have one win, two draws, and four losses, and their goal difference is -3.
Their last five league results are LDLLL, including a 0-2 loss at Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on 3 September and a 0-1 home loss to Yantra 2019 on 16 August. This poor run leaves them only five points above the relegation line, so they need points to avoid dropping into the bottom spot. However, their home record is slightly better with one win, two draws, and one loss, so they may be more competitive in this match.
- Dobrudzha are 17th with 5 points from 7 matches (1W, 2D, 4L).
- Their last five league results are LDLLL.
- They lost 0-2 at Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa on 3 September 2026.
- They lost 0-1 at home to Yantra 2019 on 16 August 2026.
Beroe Stara Zagora are 6th in the Second League with 11 points from seven matches. They have three wins, two draws, and two losses, with a goal difference of +3.
Their home record is strong: three wins and one draw in four matches, scoring seven and conceding one. But away they have zero wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring two and conceding five. This split suggests Beroe are much less effective on the road, which could make this match closer than the standings suggest. However, their overall form is decent with three wins in the last five league games.
- Beroe are 6th with 11 points from 7 matches (3W, 2D, 2L).
- Home record: 3W, 1D, 0L (7 goals for, 1 against).
- Away record: 0W, 1D, 2L (2 goals for, 5 against).
- Last five league results: DDWLW.
Dobrudzha and Beroe have met three times in the First League since September 2025.
In the most recent match on 10 May 2026, Beroe won 1-0 at Dobrudzha. Before that, Dobrudzha won 1-0 at home on 8 March 2026, and Beroe won 1-0 at home on 29 September 2025. So Beroe have won two of the last three competitive meetings, but all matches were decided by a single goal, indicating tight contests.
- 10 May 2026: Dobrudzha 0-1 Beroe (First League).
- 8 March 2026: Dobrudzha 1-0 Beroe (First League).
- 29 September 2025: Beroe 1-0 Dobrudzha (First League).
Beroe head coach Ahmed Hikmet was appointed on 2 September 2026 and oversaw a 0-0 draw with Montana in his first competitive match.
Hikmet has had only one competitive fixture to implement his priorities, so selection, set-piece assignments, and in-match adjustments may still be settling. He said he saw no need for a radical change of playing style, which suggests continuity rather than a major tactical shift.
- Beroe officially announced Ahmed Hikmet as head coach on 2 September, replacing Vladimir Manchev.
- Hikmet’s first competitive match was Beroe’s 0-0 Second League draw with Montana on 3 September.
- After that draw, Hikmet said he did not see a need for a radical change of playing style and highlighted details in the training process.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Sep 2026, 07:33 · Europe/BucharestBNT: Beroe appoint Ahmed Hikmet as head coachbntnews.bg · 2 Sep 2026Palms Sport: Hikmet’s debut against Montanawww.palmssport.bg · 3 Sep 2026Palms Sport: Hikmet on Beroe’s approachwww.palmssport.bg · 4 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Beroe's superior league position and recent form outweigh Dobrudzha's home edge, but the away record is weak.
- Beroe away record this season: 0W 1D 2L, goals 2:5
- Dobrudzha home record: 1W 2D 1L, goals 5:2
- H2H last 5: Beroe 2W, Dobrudzha 2W, 1D
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBeroe Stara ZagoraEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dobrudzha's poor form and Beroe's overall quality make the away side or draw the safer double chance.
- Dobrudzha home win rate: 25% (1/4)
- Beroe away loss rate: 67% (2/3)
- Dobrudzha form: LDLLL
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Beroe Stara ZagoraEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half records and recent H2H first halves have often been level.
- Dobrudzha leading at half time: 27%, trailing 40%
- Beroe leading at half time: 33%, trailing 20%
- H2H last 5 half time results: 3 draws, 1 home win, 1 away win
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Beroe's stronger overall form may translate into a better second half, but the evidence is weak.
- Beroe second half goal difference: +0.1 per game
- Dobrudzha second half goal difference: -0.5 per game
- Beroe overall form: DDWLW
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostBeroe Stara ZagoraEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half time followed by a Beroe win is plausible but not strongly supported by the data.
- Dobrudzha home HT/FT: 1 draw/draw, 1 draw/loss, 1 win/win, 1 loss/loss
- Beroe away HT/FT: 1 draw/draw, 1 draw/loss, 1 loss/loss
- H2H last 5: no draw/Beroe outcome
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Beroe Stara ZagoraEstimated chance25%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither team has shown the dominance required to win both halves in their respective home/away splits.
- Dobrudzha home win both halves: 0/4
- Beroe away win both halves: 0/3
- H2H last 5: no team won both halves
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Beroe's first-half away record is decent and Dobrudzha rarely leads at home at the break.
- Dobrudzha first half home win rate: 25%
- Beroe first half away loss rate: 33%
- H2H last 5 first half results: 3 draws, 1 home win, 1 away win
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Beroe Stara ZagoraEstimated chance65%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring home/away splits and recent H2H meetings have been tight.
- Dobrudzha home goals per game: 1.25, conceded 0.5
- Beroe away goals per game: 0.67, conceded 1.67
- H2H last 5 total goals: 1,1,1,2
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Dobrudzha's solid home defense and Beroe's away scoring struggles suggest at least one side may blank.
- Dobrudzha home clean sheets: 2/4
- Beroe away failed to score: 1/3
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in 1/5
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, and recent H2H first halves have been goalless or low-scoring.
- Dobrudzha first half goals per game: 0.7, conceded 0.7
- Beroe first half goals per game: 0.5, conceded 0.3
- H2H last 5 first half total goals: 1,0,0,0,0
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have seen more goals in recent meetings, but the sample is small and confidence is low.
- Dobrudzha second half goals per game: 0.6, conceded 1.1
- Beroe second half goals per game: 0.7, conceded 0.8
- H2H last 5 second half total goals: 0,1,1,2
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves have been low-scoring and both teams rarely score before the break.
- Dobrudzha first half goals per game: 0.7, conceded 0.7
- Beroe first half goals per game: 0.5, conceded 0.3
- H2H last 5 first half both teams scored: 0/5
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance70%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 91% leaves no cushion vs our 85% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 2W

W0-1DobrudzhavBeroeMay 10, 2026FIR

L1-0DobrudzhavBeroeMar 8, 2026FIR

L1-0BeroevDobrudzhaSep 29, 2025FIR

D1-1BeroevDobrudzhaJun 28, 2023FRI

Beroe Stara Zagora: 2 clean sheets1.3 goals/game avg

League Table

Second League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
17	Dobrudzha Dobrich	7	1	2	4	7-10	5	LDLLL
6	Beroe Stara Zagora	7	3	2	2	9-6	11	DDWLW

6pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Dobrudzha Dobrich

L0-2Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSep 3SEC

D0-0Rilski SportistAug 29SEC

L2-4MarekAug 23SEC

L0-1Yantra 2019Aug 16SEC

L0-2NesebarAug 10SEC

D0-0Sportist SvogeAug 2SEC

W5-1Pirin BlagoevgradJul 28SEC

L2-3Hapoel AfulaJul 18FRI

L3-7Spartak VarnaJul 11FRI

D2-2Cherno More VarnaJul 8FRI

D1-1Dunav RuseJul 1FRI

D1-1Septemvri SofiaMay 22FIR

L1-2Botev VratsaMay 18FIR

W2-0Slavia SofiaMay 13FIR

L0-1BeroeMay 10FIR

Beroe Stara Zagora

D0-0MontanaSep 3SEC

D2-2Etar Veliko TarnovoAug 29SEC

W3-0Spartak PlevenAug 25SEC

L0-2FratriaAug 14SEC

W2-0Ludogorets IIAug 10SEC

L0-1Chernomorets 1919 BurgasAug 1SEC

W2-1Hebar 1918Jul 24SEC

D0-0ZagoretsJul 18FRI

L1-2Maritsa MilevoJul 15FRI

L0-4Botev PlovdivJul 12FRI

W6-0Levski KarlovoJul 8FRI

L0-3Botev VratsaMay 22FIR

L0-1Septemvri SofiaMay 18FIR

D1-1Lokomotiv SofiaMay 14FIR

W1-0DobrudzhaMay 10FIR

Squad & Injuries

Dobrudzha Dobrich

24 available

Attackers5

Midfielders12

Defenders4

Goalkeeper3

Beroe Stara Zagora

22 available

Attackers4

Midfielders6

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Beroe Stara Zagora

Draw or Beroe Stara Zagora

Draw

Under 2.5

No

No

Draw or Beroe Stara Zagora

Under 1.5

No

Result4 of 7 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Markets to Avoid

No

Under 1.5

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Dobrudzha Dobrich

Beroe Stara Zagora

Squad & Injuries

Dobrudzha Dobrich

Beroe Stara Zagora