EFL CupFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Sunderland's home games have been tight — six matches, four clean sheets, no first-half goals — but Brentford have scored in seven of eight away games and lost once on the road.
The likeliest shape is a low-scoring tie that Brentford share or edge. Of the quoted prices, only Sunderland to win at least five corners at 1.8 holds up; Brentford to score at 1.17 and the draw-or-Brentford 1.3 ask for more than the record justifies.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Sunderland over 4.5Market 55.6% · BetBugs 66%
Sunderland win plenty of corners at the Stadium of Light and face a Brentford side that gives up a high corner count.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Brentford over 0.5BetBugs 80% · Market 85.5%
Brentford have found the net in almost every away game this season and carry a steady scoring rate into a cup tie.
BetBugs 67% · Market 69%
Both teams' matches routinely produce around ten corners, with Brentford in particular conceding a lot from wide areas.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.