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Predictions graded

Resistencia5Benjamin Aceval2

HT 1–0Mon 26 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–0100%

Edges2–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 13:18 · Europe/Bucharest

Two mid-table sides three points apart, and the sharper question is how quickly the game opens up.

Resistencia and Benjamín Aceval have both been producing roughly a goal per first half, so fewer than two goals before the break is the likelier outcome — and at 1.53 that is the one price worth backing. Both teams to score at 1.62 is about right rather than generous.

Context

The tracked window is the sharper picture of current form, and it sits awkwardly beside a league away record of six wins in 14. Benjamín were involved in 11 both-teams-scoring games across these 15 matches, so they can find the net without turning results around. That combination keeps them live in the game while leaving their overall run poor.
- 15 competitive matches tracked between 27 July and 18 October 2026: 3 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses.
- No clean sheets in those 15 matches; both teams scored in 11 of them.
- The league table shows a longer sample: 12W-6D-11L in 29 games, with an away record of 6W-2D-6L in 14.
Resistencia's most recent outing showed they can overturn a half-time deficit, and their goals have leaned late: 0.8 per game after the break against 0.4 before it across 15 tracked matches. One comeback is not a pattern, but the timing fits a home side that tends to finish stronger than it starts. That matters against opponents whose away second halves have been their weakest stretch.
- 16 October 2026, Division Intermedia: Sportivo Carapeguá 1-2 Resistencia.
- Resistencia trailed 0-1 at half-time and scored both goals in the second half.
- It was their most recent competitive match before this fixture.
Six away matches is a small sample, so 1.5 second-half goals conceded per game is a lean rather than a fixed pattern. It does mean Resistencia's late scoring has something to attack. Benjamín's first halves on the road have been tighter at 0.5 conceded per game, which fits a game that stays compact before opening up.
- Away split: 6 competitive matches tracked, 31 July to 12 October 2026, 1 win and 5 losses.
- Second-half averages in those six away games: 0.5 scored, 1.5 conceded.
- First-half averages in the same six: 0.5 scored, 0.5 conceded.
The teams met as recently as 18 July, with Benjamín Aceval taking a 2-0 home win in Fecha 15. That result is useful recent head-to-head context before their next meeting. It does not establish a repeatable edge here, however, because this fixture is at Resistencia’s venue rather than the ground used in July.
- The 18 July División Intermedia Fecha 15 meeting between Benjamín Aceval and Resistencia SC ended 2-0.
- S. López scored Benjamín Aceval’s opening goal from a penalty in the 52nd minute.
- Emmanuel Morales scored Benjamín Aceval’s second goal in the 89th minute.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 13:15 · Europe/BucharestAPF fixture listingwww.apf.org.py · 18 Jul 2026Match recordwww.kovascore.com · 18 Jul 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Resistencia's home results and recent form give them a good chance to avoid defeat, while Benjamin's away record is mixed.
- Resistencia home record: 6W-4D-4L, 20 GF, 17 GA in 14 league home games.
- Benjamin Aceval away record: 6W-2D-6L, 23 GF, 21 GA in 14 away games.
- Resistencia recent form W-D-W-L-L; Benjamin recent form L-L-L-L-W.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonResistencia or DrawEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
At home Resistencia are unlikely to trail at half-time given Benjamin's low early scoring rate.
- Resistencia home first-half averages: 0.57 scored, 0.43 conceded.
- Benjamin away first-half averages: 0.5 scored, 0.5 conceded.
- Benjamin overall first-half scoring average is only 0.25.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonResistencia or DrawEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Resistencia's second-half scoring edge against Benjamin's away second-half leakage makes a home second-half win plausible.
- Resistencia second-half averages: 0.8 scored, 0.4 conceded.
- Benjamin away second-half averages: 0.5 scored, 1.5 conceded.
- Resistencia scored both second-half goals in the recent 2-1 win at Sportivo Carapeguá.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonResistenciaEstimated chance37%

Goals3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring and conceding averages, pointing to fewer than two goals before the break.
- Resistencia first-half averages: 0.4 scored, 0.6 conceded (1.0 total).
- Benjamin Aceval first-half averages: 0.25 scored, 0.75 conceded (1.0 total).
- At home/away the first-half totals are also 1.0 for both.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both sides concede regularly and have strong both-teams-scored records, so each should find the net.
- Resistencia had both teams scoring in 9 of 15 tracked matches, including 5 of 7 at home.
- Benjamin had both teams scoring in 11 of 15 tracked matches, including 4 of 6 away.
- Benjamin's last six matches produced both teams scoring in five.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The home/away goal totals point to a game with enough chances for three goals.
- Resistencia home matches average 2.64 total goals (20 GF, 17 GA in 14).
- Benjamin away matches average 3.14 total goals (23 GF, 21 GA in 14).
- Combined home/away average is 2.89 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

0W · 0D · 1W

L2-0Benjamín AcevalvResistenciaJul 18, 2026DIV

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Division Intermedia 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Resistencia	29	10	9	10	34-34	39	WDWLL
8	Benjamin Aceval	29	12	6	11	43-39	42	LLLLW

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Resistencia

Resistencia

W2-1Sportivo CarapeguáOct 16DIV

D1-112 de Junio VHOct 11DIV

W3-0EncarnaciónOct 2DIV

L1-2Deportivo SantaniSep 27DIV

L1-2Fernando De La MoraSep 19DIV

L1-23 de NoviembreSep 12DIV

L1-2General CaballeroSep 8DIV

W2-1Guairena FCSep 4DIV

L0-1Paraguari ACAug 31DIV

L0-1Cerro PortenoAug 27COP

D0-0SOL DE AmericaAug 21DIV

W1-0Deportivo CapiataAug 16DIV

D1-1Independiente F.b.c.Aug 7DIV

W3-1TacuaryAug 1DIV

W1-0Atlético TembetaryJul 28DIV

Benjamin Aceval

Benjamin Aceval

L0-1SOL DE AmericaOct 18DIV

L1-3Deportivo CapiataOct 12DIV

L2-3Independiente F.b.c.Oct 6DIV

L1-2TacuarySep 26DIV

W2-1Atlético TembetarySep 21DIV

L1-3Paraguari ACSep 14DIV

L0-2Sportivo CarapeguáSep 10DIV

D1-112 de Junio VHSep 6DIV

W3-1EncarnaciónAug 31DIV

L2-3Deportivo SantaniAug 23DIV

L0-2Nacional AsuncionAug 18COP

L1-2Fernando De La MoraAug 14DIV

W2-13 de NoviembreAug 9DIV

L0-2General CaballeroJul 31DIV

D1-1Guairena FCJul 27DIV

Squad & Injuries

Resistencia

45 available

Attackers11

Midfielders14

Defenders14

Goalkeeper6

Benjamin Aceval

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0