Bournemouth over 0.5
Market 77.5% · BetBugs 80%
Bournemouth have found the net in every away match in the sample, while United have usually conceded at home.
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Predictions gradedPre-match view
Manchester United, missing five players and with two more facing late checks, host a Bournemouth side that has won its last two games without conceding but has taken one point from three away league trips.
Goals look likelier than a clean sheet at either end. Bournemouth to score at 1.29 and Manchester United to score two or more at 1.88 hold up; the shorter goal and card lines ask for more than the record shows.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Bournemouth over 0.5Market 77.5% · BetBugs 80%
Bournemouth have found the net in every away match in the sample, while United have usually conceded at home.
Manchester Utd over 1.5Market 53.2% · BetBugs 58%
United's home scoring rate and Bournemouth's away concession rate support at least two home goals.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 64% · Market 65.4%
Both sides have shown they can score and concede, and the away split points to Bournemouth contributing.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
5 of 7 comparable goals projections involving Manchester Utd matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10-10 | 7 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9-13 | 6 |

