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Predictions graded

ESS1CR Temouchent2

HT 0–1Sat 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–109%

Edges1–233%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 14:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Both clubs sit on five points, and Sétif's strong home record against Témouchent's two away league defeats without scoring makes a home win the natural read.

The 1.43 on Sétif still asks more than one win in five league games supports. Two prices hold: under 2.5 goals at 1.57 and Témouchent at 8.0; both teams to score "no" at 1.43 sits just the wrong side.

Context

CR Témouchent arrive in Sétif with a solid overall record but a poor travelling one.
Témouchent's fifteen competitive matches from 14 March to 18 October 2026 include eight wins, three draws and four defeats with seven clean sheets, at 0.73 goals conceded per game. Their away form is much weaker: two wins, one draw and three defeats in six tracked away matches, at 0.50 goals scored per game. The overall record explains why they cannot be dismissed on Saturday, while the away split explains why a home win remains the likelier result.
- CR Témouchent's fifteen competitive matches between 14 March and 18 October 2026 produced eight wins, three draws and four defeats, with seven clean sheets.
- They conceded 0.73 goals and scored 1.07 goals per match across that window.
The round-seven listing places this match at 18:00 GMT on Saturday 24 October, the last of the day's five kick-offs, and Sétif's Stade du 8 Mai 1945 home is confirmed again by the round-nine programme. It ends a fortnight without a home league match for Sétif, whose only outing since the 14 October 1-1 draw with JS Kabylie was the goalless trip to MC Oran. Témouchent bring the opposite away profile: both league trips this season, to MC Oran and MC Alger, ended in defeat without a goal. Sétif have collected four of their five points at home, though that rests on a single home win over CS Constantine, so the ground is a soft rather than decisive factor.
- Round seven lists Setif v Temouchent for Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 GMT.
- The same listing shows this as the last of five league kick-offs that Saturday, with Biskra v MC Alger moved to Tuesday 27 October.
- ES Sétif's home ground is the Stade du 8 Mai 1945, which is also named as their venue for the round-nine fixture.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 · Europe/Bucharest
Témouchent's only goal across their last two league matches came from a 2006-born loanee borrowed from MC Alger, the clearest current evidence of where their attacking output originates. That 53rd-minute strike was cancelled out by Diakité's 69th-minute equaliser, so the return from a home game was one point rather than three. The loan arrangement rests on a single club-following account while two match accounts corroborate the goal, so his involvement in Sétif is likely but not settled. Témouchent have scored in only three of six league games, which caps how much weight one goal can carry.
- Hedroug Mehdi, born 2006, is on loan at CR Témouchent from MC Alger.
- He scored on 53 minutes to put Témouchent 1-0 up against ASO Chlef on 18 October.
- The match finished 1-1 after Diakité equalised on 69 minutes.
- Haidar Hedroug Mehdi started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 · Europe/Bucharest
The round-seven schedule was redrawn after the second preliminary round of the CAF Confederation Cup was not played, which is why this game stands alone in the Saturday 18:00 GMT slot while Constantine v USM Alger and Biskra v MC Alger were pushed later. The consequence for these clubs is preparation time: Sétif travel to ASO Chlef on Wednesday 30 October, six days on, while Témouchent host US Biskra on Saturday 2 November. It only becomes a playing condition if Sétif rotate for that trip, and no team news on rotation emerged beforehand. The round-eight dates are themselves still being adjusted, so the gap is background rather than a settled edge.
- The professional league amended the round-seven programme because the CAF Confederation Cup second preliminary round was not played.
- That amendment moved Constantine v USM Alger to Saturday 31 October at 17:00.
- Round eight sends ES Sétif to ASO Chlef on Wednesday 30 October and gives CR Témouchent a home game with US Biskra on Saturday 2 November.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 1

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams to ScorelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.43fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 69.9%

−1.9ppshort

Témouchent's away scoring rate and Sétif's home clean sheets point to at least one side being kept out.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Sétif's strong home scoring and Témouchent's low away output make a home win the most likely result.
- ESS are 5W-2D-1L in home league matches in the tracked window, averaging 2.13 goals for and 0.63 against.
- CR Témouchent are 2W-1D-3L away, averaging 0.50 goals for and 0.83 against.
- Témouchent's current away league record is 0W-0D-2L with no goals scored.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostESSEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Témouchent's quiet away first halves make a level score at the break the most likely outcome.
- Sétif average 1.00 first-half goal at home; Témouchent average 0.17 away.
- Témouchent average 0.17 first-half goals against away.
- Sétif's last six first halves produced three goals; Témouchent's last six produced one.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sétif's strong second-half home record makes them clear favourites for the half.
- Sétif average 1.13 second-half goals at home and concede 0.13.
- Témouchent average 0.33 second-half goals away and concede 0.67.
- Sétif conceded one second-half goal in eight home matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostESSEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sétif's strong home scoring and Témouchent's low away output make a home win the most likely result. Both sides have drawn three times in the tracked window and Témouchent's low away scoring keeps a share plausible.
- ESS are 5W-2D-1L in home league matches in the tracked window, averaging 2.13 goals for and 0.63 against.
- CR Témouchent are 2W-1D-3L away, averaging 0.50 goals for and 0.83 against.
- ESS have drawn 3 of 15 tracked matches; Témouchent have drawn 3 of 15.
- ESS have drawn 2 of 8 home matches; Témouchent have drawn 1 of 6 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostESS or DrawEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Sétif's greater first-half home threat gives them the advantage, but Témouchent's away first halves are very low-scoring. Témouchent's quiet away first halves make a level score at the break the most likely outcome.
- Sétif average 1.00 first-half goal at home and concede 0.50.
- Témouchent average 0.17 first-half goals away and concede 0.17.
- Sétif average 1.00 first-half goal at home; Témouchent average 0.17 away.
- Témouchent average 0.17 first-half goals against away.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostESS or DrawEstimated chance83%

Goals1 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Témouchent's low-scoring away profile makes under 2.5 more likely than an open game.
- Sétif home matches average 2.75 total goals; Témouchent away matches average 1.33.
- Témouchent's last six matches all finished under 2.5 goals.
- Sétif's current home league games produced totals of 2, 6 and 1.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Témouchent's away scoring rate and Sétif's home clean sheets point to at least one side being kept out.
- Sétif scored in 7 of 8 home matches; Témouchent scored in 2 of 6 away matches.
- Témouchent's current away league record is 0 goals in 2 games.
- Sétif kept 3 clean sheets in 8 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sétif's home scoring rate makes two or more goals more likely than not, but Témouchent's away defence is compact.
- Sétif average 2.13 goals in home matches and scored in 7 of 8.
- Témouchent concede 0.83 per away match.
- Sétif scored six goals across their three current home league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostESS over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Témouchent's away scoring is very low, so under 1.5 away goals is strongly favoured.
- Témouchent average 0.50 goals in away matches and have scored none in two current away league games.
- They scored in only 2 of 6 away tracked matches.
- Sétif concede 0.63 per home match.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostCR Temouchent under 1.5Estimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Sétif's home first-half scoring makes at least one goal more likely than not.
- Sétif home first-half average is 1.00; Témouchent away first-half average is 0.17.
- Témouchent's away first-half concession average is 0.17.
- Sétif's last six first halves had three goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Témouchent's low away second-half output makes under 1.5 more likely than over.
- Sétif home second-half average is 1.13 for and 0.13 against; Témouchent away second-half average is 0.33 for and 0.67 against.
- Sétif's home second halves produced one conceded goal in eight.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance68%

League Table

Ligue 1 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	ESS	5	1	2	2	6-4	5	DDWLL
13	CR Temouchent	6	1	2	3	3-7	5	DLLWL

Recent Form

ESS

D1-1JS KabylieOct 14L1

D0-0MC OranOct 8L1

W5-1CS ConstantineSep 19L1

L0-1CR BelouizdadSep 11L1

L0-1Ben AknounSep 3L1

W2-0Paradou ACJun 5L1

W1-0MC AlgerMay 20L1

W3-1CR BelouizdadMay 16L1

L1-5JS KabylieMay 8L1

W3-0MC OranApr 17L1

L0-1Olympique AkbouApr 11L1

D1-1Ben AknounApr 5L1

L0-2USM AlgerMar 18L1

L0-1ASO ChlefMar 6L1

W3-0MostaganemFeb 28L1

CR Temouchent

D1-1ASO ChlefOct 18L1

L0-2MB RouissetOct 14L1

L0-1MC AlgerOct 9L1

W1-0JS KabylieSep 17L1

L0-2MC OranSep 11L1

D1-1CS ConstantineSep 5L1

W1-0US ChaouiaMay 20LIG

W2-0WA TlemcenMay 8LIG

W1-0TiaretMay 1LIG

W1-0RC ArbaApr 25LIG

W2-1Hussein DeyApr 18LIG

W3-2JS TixeraineApr 10LIG

L0-1JS El BiarApr 4LIG

W3-0Béchar DjedidMar 27LIG

D0-0KoléaMar 14LIG

Squad & Injuries

ESS

27 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

CR Temouchent

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders10

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

CR Temouchent

No

Result0 of 5 landed

Goals1 of 6 landed

League Table

Recent Form

ESS

CR Temouchent

Squad & Injuries

ESS

CR Temouchent