Zemplin Michalovce1FC Kosice1

HT 1–1Sun 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–555%

Edges3–443%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Oct 2026, 00:35 · Europe/Bucharest

Two mid-table sides on 13 points meet with Kosice holding the stronger attack and the last three meetings, but Michalovce's home record keeps this close.

Kosice are the likelier winners, yet 1.95 demands too much for a side that concedes as freely as it scores, and Over 2.5 at 1.43 is no better. Four quotes do offer something: both teams to score — No at 2.63, a level first half at 2.4, Michalovce to win or draw at 1.78, and under 0.5 first-half goals at 3.6.

Context

Kosice completed the signing of Wollacott on 8 October 2026, after their most recent league match and only days before visiting Michalovce. Goalkeeping was already a thin area: the club's listed first-team squad contains just two senior keepers, Filip Kalanin and Matej Kira, so a 30-year-old with senior international experience arriving mid-season could reshuffle the depth chart. Whether he is ready to start this fixture is unclear, because the deal was finalised so close to kickoff and there is no evidence yet of the intended pecking order. The signing therefore adds uncertainty to Kosice's goalkeeping selection rather than a settled change.
- FC Kosice signed 30-year-old Ghana goalkeeper Joseph Wollacott on 8 October 2026.
- The short-term deal runs to the end of 2026 with an option to extend into 2027.
- Wollacott had been a free agent since leaving Crawley Town in July 2026, ending a 13-year career in English football.
- He has played senior international football for Ghana.
ConfirmedSources checked 15 Oct 2026, 00:33 · Europe/Bucharest
The three Košice wins in this sequence came by 3-2, 3-2 and 0-2, so the fixture has stayed close while one side has taken the points. The most recent meeting, at Michalovce in February 2026, was settled by goals in the third and 21st minutes. The head-to-head record is a real counterweight to Michalovce's better home form, though five meetings across two seasons is a small sample.
- Košice won 0-2 at Michalovce on 28 February 2026 in the Super Liga.
- Košice won 3-2 at home to Michalovce on 19 October 2025.
- Košice won 3-2 at home to Michalovce on 1 March 2025.
- Michalovce won the previous league meeting 3-2 at home on 19 October 2024.
Kosice's four league away matches have averaged 6.25 goals in total, the sharpest split in the two records, while Michalovce's six home league games have produced 13 goals. That contrast sets up an open away side against a home one that keeps games tight. The sample is four away games, so the figure is a guide to the pattern rather than a settled rate.
- Standings on 14 October 2026: Kosice have 1W-2D-1L away in the league, scoring 12 and conceding 13 in four matches.
- Michalovce's league home record is 3W-1D-2L, scoring seven and conceding six in six matches.
- Both clubs have 13 points, from 10 league games for Michalovce and nine for Kosice.
The 10 October 2026 defeat was the heaviest in Michalovce's tracked window, and the shot count — 5 to 25, with 3 to 12 on target — shows how little they created at home. It followed a 1-0 home win over Dukla Banská Bystrica on 19 September 2026, so their home form has swung. The result argues against treating Michalovce's home record as a reliable floor.
- Michalovce lost 0-3 at home to Dunajská Streda on 10 October 2026 in the Super Liga.
- They were outshot 25-5 overall and 12-3 on target, and lost the corner count 10-2.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.95
The read
Kosice's heavy scoring and recent head-to-head record give them the upper hand.
- Kosice scored 12 and conceded 13 in 4 league away matches
- Kosice won the last meeting 0-2 at Michalovce
- Kosice average 3.0 goals per competitive match
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFC KosiceEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Both sides score sparingly enough in the first half for the break to be level.
- Michalovce average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against at home
- Kosice average 0.5 first-half goals conceded overall
- Several of Kosice's recent league first halves finished level
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is balanced enough for a level closing period.
- Michalovce average 0.77 scored and 0.62 conceded in second halves
- Kosice average 1.08 scored and 1.08 conceded in second halves
- Second-half totals are split evenly for both sides
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and a solid home record keep Michalovce in the tie. Kosice's heavy scoring and recent head-to-head record give them the upper hand.
- Michalovce league home record: 3W-1D-2L, 7 scored and 6 conceded in 6 matches
- Kosice have won the last three competitive meetings, including 0-2 at Michalovce
- Kosice scored 12 and conceded 13 in 4 league away matches
- Kosice won the last meeting 0-2 at Michalovce
BetBugs · Double ChancelostZemplin Michalovce or FC KosiceEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both sides score sparingly enough in the first half for the break to be level. Kosice's strong first-half scoring makes them the likelier early leader.
- Michalovce average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against at home
- Kosice average 0.5 first-half goals conceded overall
- Kosice average 1.92 first-half goals overall
- Michalovce conceded 0.33 first-half goals per home match
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or FC KosiceEstimated chance78%

Goals3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Kosice's away games have been high-scoring and Michalovce's home matches add to the total.
- Kosice's 4 league away matches averaged 6.25 total goals
- Kosice average 3.0 scored and 1.58 conceded per competitive match
- Michalovce home matches average 2.17 total goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides find the net often enough for the away defence to be tested.
- Michalovce scored in 8 of 13 competitive matches
- Kosice conceded in 7 of 12 competitive matches
- Kosice scored in every tracked competitive match
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have scored before the break often enough for at least one first-half goal.
- Kosice average 1.92 first-half goals overall
- Michalovce average 0.5 first-half goals at home
- Both sides have first-half goals in several recent matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined second-half scoring points to at least two goals after the break.
- Michalovce second halves combine for 1.39 goals per match
- Kosice second halves combine for 2.16 goals per match
- Several recent matches produced two or more second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Michalovce rarely score more than once at home.
- Michalovce average 1.17 goals per home match
- Michalovce were shut out in 5 of 13 competitive matches
- Kosice kept 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonZemplin Michalovce under 1.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Kosice's scoring rate makes two or more goals likely.
- Kosice average 3.0 goals per competitive match
- Kosice scored 12 in 4 league away matches
- Kosice scored at least twice in five of their last six matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostFC Kosice over 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The single tracked game for each side both produced around twelve corners.
- In Michalovce's tracked match total corners were 12
- In Kosice's tracked match total corners were 12
- Michalovce conceded 10 corners in that match
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The single tracked game for each side cleared the line comfortably.
- Michalovce's tracked match had 30 total shots
- Kosice's tracked match had 30 total shots
- Kosice recorded 18 shots in their tracked match
BetBugs · Shots Over/Undernot gradableOver 23.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both tracked matches cleared the line for shots on target.
- Michalovce's tracked match had 15 shots on target combined
- Kosice's tracked match had 11 shots on target combined
- Kosice recorded 6 shots on target in their tracked match
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance58%