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Dunfermline Athletic0Livingston0

HT 0–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Oct 2026, 23:46 · Europe/Bucharest

Dunfermline, unbeaten in three league games at East End Park, host a Livingston side level on 13 points that won the August meeting 2-0 but has lost its last two home league games.

Dunfermline to win or draw at 1.53 is the one quoted price with an edge; a straight home win at 2.5 offers nothing extra. Livingston at 2.4, the draw at 3.3, Livingston to win or draw at 1.43 and either team to win at 1.3 all ask for more than the form supports.

Context

Livingston arrive on back-to-back home league defeats with David Martindale back in the dugout after a September coaching change, while Dunfermline are unbeaten in three league home games and are working through a congested October; Allan Oyirwoth's possible concussion leaves a regular starter's availability unresolved.

Oyirwoth was withdrawn during Dunfermline's 1-1 draw at Ayr United on 10 October and is being assessed for a possible concussion. Losing him would remove a midfielder who has been starting regularly and force a reshuffle in the middle for a home game where Dunfermline are likely to see plenty of the ball. Head injuries are assessed case by case, and a clear follow-up could still make him available, so the situation can change before kick-off. Dunfermline's squad contains several other central midfielders, which would soften the effect of a single absence.
- Dunfermline are assessing Allan Oyirwoth after he suffered a possible concussion, leaving the midfielder's fitness in doubt for the Livingston match.
- Oyirwoth was withdrawn in the 1-1 Championship draw at Ayr United on 10 October 2026.
- Allan Oyirwoth started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:44 · Europe/Bucharest
Livingston's season has been reshaped by a dugout change: Glenn Whelan was sacked as head coach in September 2026 after nine games and only two wins, and David Martindale is back in the dugout. A mid-season reset can unsettle selection and shape, and Livingston arrive at East End Park having lost their last two home league matches, to Ayr United and Partick Thistle. The available evidence does not set out Martindale's exact remit or whether he is a permanent appointment. That leaves Livingston's likely setup less predictable than their squad list alone suggests.
- Livingston sacked Glenn Whelan as head coach in September 2026 after nine games and two wins.
- David Martindale is back in the Livingston dugout, and the club published his post-match verdict after the 1-2 home defeat by Partick Thistle on 10 October 2026.
ReportedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:44 · Europe/Bucharest
Muirhead took the Championship's September player of the month award after a run of goals and also collected his club's player-of-the-month prize for a second month running. League statistics to 13 October 2026 show him leading the Championship scoring charts with seven goals. That output gives Livingston a recognised focal point in attack, and he scored in the 2-0 win over Dunfermline on 22 August. Award form reflects one month rather than a guarantee of the same output at East End Park.
- Robbie Muirhead was named the Scottish Championship player of the month for September 2026.
- Muirhead led the 2026-27 Scottish Championship scoring charts with seven goals, with league statistics correct as of 13 October 2026.
- R. Muirhead started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:44 · Europe/Bucharest2026-27 Scottish Championshipen.wikipedia.org · 13 Oct 2026
Livingston won the only meeting between the clubs this season, 2-0 on 22 August 2026, with Bradly van Hoeven scoring in first-half stoppage time and Robbie Muirhead adding a second on 90 minutes; Scott Pittman and Stevie May supplied the assists. It is the clearest recent reference point for the fixture. The match was played at Livingston's ground, however, so it offers limited guidance about how the return at East End Park will unfold. It remains the only completed meeting between the sides in 2026-27.
- Livingston defeated Dunfermline 2-0 at the Home of the Set Fare Arena on 22 August 2026.
- Bradly van Hoeven scored in first-half stoppage time and Robbie Muirhead added a second on 90 minutes, with Scott Pittman and Stevie May providing the assists.
- The match drew an attendance of 2,957, with Kevin Clancy as referee.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:44 · Europe/BucharestBBC Sportwww.bbc.com · 22 Aug 2026Transfermarktwww.transfermarkt.co.uk · 22 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Dunfermline are unbeaten at home and in better recent form, so they take the largest share of the win probability.
- Dunfermline home split: 4W-1D-1L, 6 scored and 3 conceded in 6 matches
- League form DWWDW; home league record 2W-1D-0L with 4 scored and 1 conceded
- Livingston away league record 2W-0D-2L, 6 scored and 4 conceded
BetBugs · Match WinnerDunfermline AthleticMarket price2.50Estimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both sides' first halves have often stayed level, so the draw holds the biggest share.
- Dunfermline's last six competitive matches produced first-half goals in only one
- Dunfermline conceded 3 first-half goals in 13 competitive matches
- Livingston conceded 0.5 first-half goals per competitive match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have more room for Dunfermline's home pressure, giving them the largest share with the draw close.
- Dunfermline scored 0.77 second-half goals per competitive match
- Livingston conceded 0.71 second-half goals per competitive match
- Dunfermline's home split shows 1.0 second-half goals for and 0.5 against
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerDunfermline AthleticEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunfermline are unbeaten at home and in better recent form, so they take the largest share of the win probability. Livingston have strong away scoring and already beat Dunfermline this season, so they take a competitive share.
- Dunfermline home split: 4W-1D-1L, 6 scored and 3 conceded in 6 matches
- League form DWWDW; home league record 2W-1D-0L with 4 scored and 1 conceded
- Livingston won the 22 August meeting 2-0
- Away league record: 2W-0D-2L with 6 scored and 4 conceded
BetBugs · Double ChanceDunfermline Athletic or LivingstonEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunfermline's strong first-half defence at home gives them the largest first-half share, with the draw close behind. Both sides' first halves have often stayed level, so the draw holds the biggest share.
- Dunfermline scored 2 first-half goals in their 2-0 home win over Queen's Park
- Dunfermline conceded 0.23 first-half goals per competitive match
- Dunfermline's last six competitive matches produced first-half goals in only one
- Dunfermline conceded 3 first-half goals in 13 competitive matches
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDunfermline Athletic or DrawEstimated chance75%

Goals0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides' counted totals and recent results lean toward a lower-scoring game.
- Dunfermline's last six competitive matches all finished under 2.5 goals
- Livingston have scored 9 goals in 12 competitive matches
- Dunfermline home matches produced 6 scored and 3 conceded
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences have posted clean sheets often, so a shutout at one end is slightly more likely than both scoring.
- Dunfermline kept 6 clean sheets in 13 competitive matches
- Livingston kept 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches
- Dunfermline conceded just 3 goals in 6 home matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Dunfermline have rarely scored twice in a game recently, favouring the under.
- Dunfermline scored 6 goals across 6 home matches
- Only one of Dunfermline's last six competitive matches featured two home goals
- Livingston kept 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalDunfermline Athletic under 1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Livingston's away output has been limited apart from two big wins, and Dunfermline defend well at home.
- Livingston scored 3 goals across 5 away split matches
- Dunfermline conceded just 3 goals in 6 home matches
- Livingston scored once or fewer in four of their last six competitive matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalLivingston under 1.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Livingston have enough away scoring to make a Dunfermline shutout the less likely result.
- Livingston scored in both of their recent away wins
- Dunfermline conceded in 7 of 13 competitive matches
- Livingston average 0.75 scored per competitive match
BetBugs · Team to ScoreLivingston to scoreEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunfermline's regular scoring makes it more likely than not that Livingston concede at least once.
- Dunfermline scored in 10 of 13 competitive matches
- Dunfermline scored in each of their last five competitive matches
- Livingston conceded 4 goals in 4 away league games
BetBugs · Team to ScoreDunfermline Athletic to scoreEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combined requirement of a home win and a clean sheet is unlikely given Livingston's away scoring.
- Livingston scored in both recent away wins
- Dunfermline drew or lost 7 of 13 competitive matches
- Livingston scored 9 goals in 12 competitive matches
BetBugs · Home Win to NilNoEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half records lean toward at least one goal, though Dunfermline's recent games have started quietly.
- Dunfermline home first-half average is 1.33 scored and 0.17 conceded
- Livingston scored first-half goals in four of their last six competitive matches
- Dunfermline's last six competitive matches produced a first-half goal in only one
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dunfermline's strong first-half defence makes two first-half scorers unlikely.
- Dunfermline conceded 3 first-half goals in 13 competitive matches
- Dunfermline kept first-half clean sheets in most of their recent matches
- Livingston's first-half scoring is concentrated in a few games
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined second-half scoring averages sit below the line, pointing slightly to the under.
- Dunfermline's second-half rate totals 1.39 goals per competitive match
- Livingston's second-half rate totals 1.28 goals per competitive match
- Three of Livingston's last six competitive matches stayed at or under 1.5 second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfUnder 1.5Estimated chance56%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L2-0LivingstonvDunfermlineAug 22, 2026CHA

L1-0DunfermlinevLivingstonApr 2, 2025CHA

D0-0LivingstonvDunfermlineFeb 15, 2025CHA

W0-2DunfermlinevLivingstonFeb 5, 2025CHA

L3-0DunfermlinevLivingstonOct 29, 2024CHA

Dunfermline Athletic: 2 clean sheetsLivingston: 4 clean sheets1.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Championship 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Dunfermline Athletic	8	3	4	1	7-5	13	DWWDW
4	Livingston Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter-finals)	10	4	1	5	14-11	13	LLWDW

Recent Form