Bravo Ljubljana2Radomlje2

HT 1–1Sat 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges2–167%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Oct 2026, 23:37 · Europe/Bucharest

Bravo, third, host bottom club Radomlje, who have one league win in ten and a new coach.

Bravo have won the last three meetings and are the likeliest winners, though they arrive off a 1-0 loss at Nafta and the game has moved to Grosuplje. Bravo to win at 1.8 needs more than the record supports, and the reviewed prices for both teams to score (1.62) and a first-half goal (1.25) are shorter still, so none is worth taking.

Context

Radomlje changed head coach during the October international break, replacing Ivan Vukomanović after nine league games produced one win, two draws and six defeats. Radostin Aleksandrov, 34, arrives from the start-of-season role at second-tier Rudar Velenje and is tasked with reviving a side that has conceded heavily. The trip to Bravo is an early gauge of whether he can reorganise the defence that shipped three in the 3-3 draw with Koper. Managerial changes rarely deliver an instant fix, so the effect may be gradual rather than dramatic.
- Radostin Aleksandrov, a 34-year-old Bulgarian, takes charge of Radomlje for the rest of the season.
- He arrives after leading second-tier Rudar Velenje at the start of the current campaign.
- Ivan Vukomanović left after nine 1. SNL games with one win, two draws and six defeats.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:35 · Europe/Bucharest
Bravo's Saturday home fixture against Radomlje moves to Športni park Brinje in Grosuplje rather than Stožice, with the 15:00 kick-off unchanged. A switch away from the larger Stožice venue changes the pitch, surroundings and expected crowd for a game Bravo would otherwise host in Ljubljana. The smaller Grosuplje ground can dilute the atmosphere advantage a home side might expect, though both teams must adapt to the unfamiliar surface. The reason for the relocation is not stated, so its practical effect on the match remains uncertain.
- Bravo's home fixture against Radomlje will be played at Športni park Brinje Grosuplje instead of Stožice.
- The kick-off stays at 15:00.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:35 · Europe/BucharestNK Bravowww.nk-bravo.si · 12 Oct 2026
Radomlje's points have come on the road, where they have scored seven times in four league games. Bravo sit third with a home record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so the visitors travel better than their league position suggests. That is a caution against treating this as a formality.
- After 10 league games Radomlje have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats, sitting 10th.
- At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from six games, scoring 5 and conceding 13.
- Away they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats from four games, scoring 7 and conceding 8.
Bravo's 1-0 defeat at Nafta was their first league loss in five matches and snapped their strongest run of the autumn. The turning point was a saved Sandi Nuhanović penalty with the score goalless, denying Bravo the lead in a game they went on to lose. Nafta scored through Amadej Maroša in the 35th minute and protected the advantage. The result is a form note rather than a tactical one, and the question for the Radomlje fixture is whether the missed penalty was an isolated moment or a sign of faltering sharpness.
- Bravo lost 1-0 away to Nafta in round 11, Amadej Maroša scoring in the 35th minute.
- Nafta goalkeeper Lucas Erjavšek saved Sandi Nuhanović's penalty at the opening score.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 23:35 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 80%

−10.0ppshort

At least one first-half goal is likely given both sides' first-half scoring and Radomlje's open recent games.

Both Teams to ScorewonUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.62fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 61.7%

−3.7ppshort

Both sides score and concede regularly, and Radomlje have found the net in every away match in their split.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Bravo Ljubljana

1.80fair 1.85

BetBugs 54% · Market 55.6%

−1.6ppshort

Bravo sit higher, have won the recent meetings and face a side with one league win and a defence conceding twice a game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Bravo sit higher, have won the recent meetings and face a side with one league win and a defence conceding twice a game.
- Bravo are 3rd with 5 wins in 11 league games; Radomlje are 10th with 1 win in 10
- Bravo have won the last three head-to-head meetings
- Bravo home record: 3W 1D 1L from 5
- Radomlje have conceded 21 goals in 10 league games
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBravo LjubljanaEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both sides score little before the break, so a level first half is the most likely single result.
- Bravo average about 0.5 first-half goals
- Radomlje average about 0.75 first-half goals
- Radomlje's away first halves included 1-0 and 2-2
- First halves often finish level
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Bravo are stronger after the break at home while Radomlje concede heavily in second halves.
- Bravo score about 1.0 second-half goals at home
- Radomlje concede about 1.8 second-half goals away
- Bravo concede about 0.33 second-half goals at home
- Radomlje concede about 1.2 second-half goals overall
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostBravo LjubljanaEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bravo sit higher, have won the recent meetings and face a side with one league win and a defence conceding twice a game. Both teams have drawn around a third of their league games and their recent meetings have been close.
- Bravo are 3rd with 5 wins in 11 league games; Radomlje are 10th with 1 win in 10
- Bravo have won the last three head-to-head meetings
- Bravo have drawn 3 of 11 league games
- Radomlje have drawn 3 of 10
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBravo Ljubljana or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bravo hold a modest home edge, giving them the better chance of leading at the break. Both sides score little before the break, so a level first half is the most likely single result.
- Bravo average about 0.5 first-half goals
- Radomlje concede about 0.9 first-half goals per game
- Radomlje average about 0.75 first-half goals
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonBravo Ljubljana or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals7 of 10 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's weak defence has pushed their matches to higher totals, raising the chance of three or more goals.
- Radomlje's league games average about 3.4 goals combined
- Bravo's league games average about 2.3 goals combined
- Radomlje have conceded 21 in 10 league games
- Radomlje drew 3-3 in round 11
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both sides score and concede regularly, and Radomlje have found the net in every away match in their split.
- Radomlje have both scored and conceded in 9 of 12 league games
- Bravo have both scored and conceded in 7 of 13
- Radomlje's away matches have all featured goals for both teams
- Radomlje scored 3 in their last match
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje concede heavily and Bravo have scored twice in each of their recent home wins.
- Bravo scored 2 in each of their last three home matches
- Radomlje have conceded 21 in 10 league games
- Radomlje away record: 8 conceded in 4
- Bravo average around 1.2 goals per league game
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonBravo Ljubljana over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's scoring rate is modest and Bravo's defence has been reasonably tight, favouring one goal or fewer.
- Radomlje average about 1.3 goals per league game
- Bravo concede about 1.1 goals per game
- Radomlje failed to score in 2 of their last 6
- Radomlje have 1 win in 10 league games
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostRadomlje under 1.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje have found the net in every away match in their split, making a Bravo shut-out unlikely.
- Radomlje have scored in every away game in their away split
- Radomlje scored 3 in their last match
- Bravo kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 home games
- Radomlje average about 1.3 goals per game
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonRadomlje to scoreEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's defence concedes regularly and Bravo usually score, so a Radomlje shut-out is unlikely.
- Radomlje kept 1 clean sheet in 12 league games
- Radomlje concede about 2.1 goals per league game
- Bravo have scored in 9 of 13 league games
- Bravo scored 2 in each of their last three home games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBravo Ljubljana to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's habit of scoring means Bravo winning without conceding is a minority path.
- Radomlje have scored in every away game in their split
- Radomlje scored 3 in their last match
- Bravo kept only 1 clean sheet in 6 home games
- Bravo have conceded in 9 of 13 league games
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
At least one first-half goal is likely given both sides' first-half scoring and Radomlje's open recent games.
- Bravo average about 1.1 total first-half goals per game
- Radomlje average about 1.7 total first-half goals per game
- Radomlje's last match had four first-half goals
- Only two of Bravo's last six first halves were 0-0
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring is limited for both sides, so at least one team usually fails to score before the break.
- Both teams score before half-time rarely
- Bravo average about 0.5 first-half goals
- Radomlje's away first halves: 0.8 scored, 0.2 conceded
- Most recent first halves for both teams had at most one team scoring
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Bravo's second halves at home have been contained, keeping the total at one goal or fewer within reach.
- Bravo average about 1.2 total second-half goals per game
- Bravo concede about 0.33 second-half goals at home
- Bravo's last match had no second-half goals
- Radomlje average about 0.6 second-half goals per game
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance53%