Amedspor1Konyaspor0

HT 0–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 13–4On targetOn target 4–1CornersCorners 7–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Oct 2026, 18:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Amedspor have won all four home league games and score 3.1 goals a game at home, while Konyaspor have one win in ten and travel without both centre-backs who started their last match.

The likely outcome is a home win, though Konyaspor's two recent 0-0 draws and Amedspor's habit of drawing keep a stalemate live. Three quoted prices carry value: Amedspor to win at 1.91, Amedspor to win or draw at 1.25, and Over 2.5 goals at 1.8.

Context

Konyaspor's captain and first-choice centre-back was hurt in the 11 October home draw with Başakşehir, and local reporting says he tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee and will have surgery. Head coach İlhan Palut has said Demirbağ will not be involved in the next match, so Konyaspor must rebuild the centre of their defence for the trip to Diyarbakır. No club medical bulletin has been published, leaving the season-ending timescale to local coverage rather than an official confirmation.
- Demirbağ was injured in Konyaspor's 0-0 home draw with Başakşehir on 11 October.
- Local reporting on 12 October said he tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee and would have surgery, ending his season.
- Head coach İlhan Palut said on 11 October that Demirbağ would not be part of the next matchday squad.
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 18:48 · Europe/Bucharest
Yazğılı started alongside Demirbağ in the 0-0 draw with Başakşehir, and Palut said both players would be absent from the next matchday squad. That removes the centre-back pairing used in Konyaspor's most recent fixture, forcing at least one fresh combination in Diyarbakır. Reporting says Yazğılı's issue is not serious, so his absence may be short, but the fixture is still affected because the back line must be reshuffled.
- Yazğılı started in central defence in Konyaspor's 0-0 draw with Başakşehir on 11 October.
- Head coach İlhan Palut said on 11 October that Yazğılı and Demirbağ would not be part of the next matchday squad.
- Reporting on 12 October said Yazğılı's problem was not serious but that he would still miss the Amedspor match.
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 18:48 · Europe/Bucharest
Dellova started Amedspor's 10 October draw at Gençlerbirliği and was substituted late before the club issued a statement on his injury. Local reports put the lay-off at four weeks or more, with no fixed return date, so he will not feature against Konyaspor. His absence removes a regular member of the defence on which Amedspor's strong home record has been built. The conflicting recovery estimates mean the exact length of the absence remains unconfirmed.
- Dellova started and was substituted in the 84th minute of Amedspor's 2-2 draw at Gençlerbirliği on 10 October.
- Amedspor issued a statement about his injury on 12 October; reports the same day put the absence at four weeks or more, with estimates ranging higher.
- A Kurdish-language report said the date of his return was still unclear.
- L. Dellova started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups, totalling 444 minutes across 5 appearances.
ReportedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 18:48 · Europe/Bucharest
Speaking after Konyaspor's 0-0 home draw with Başakşehir on 11 October, Palut described Amedspor as one of the league's in-form teams with several qualities to respect, while noting that every side has weaknesses. He said his staff would prepare and choose the most suitable XI for a difficult away match. The comments frame Konyaspor's approach as cautious rather than dismissive. They are a coach's pre-match assessment rather than a selection decision, so their tactical meaning stays limited until the lineup is known.
- Speaking after the 11 October draw with Başakşehir, Palut said Amedspor were 'one of the flash teams of the league' with several aspects to be wary of.
- He said Konyaspor would prepare and go out with the most suitable squad for a difficult away match.
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 18:48 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Amedspor's strong home scoring meets a Konyaspor side with one league win and a patched-up defence.
- Amedspor have won 5 and drawn 2 of 7 home matches, scoring 3.1 goals per home game.
- Konyaspor have 1 win in 10 league matches and are without both centre-backs who started their last game.
- Konyaspor's away league record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses with 2 goals scored.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAmedsporEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.20
The read
A level first half remains a common outcome even though Amedspor often lead.
- Amedspor average 1.1 first-half goals per home game.
- Konyaspor average 0.2 first-half goals and concede 1.0 per away game.
- Only one of Amedspor's last six matches was level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Amedspor score heavily after the break at home while Konyaspor fade late away.
- Amedspor average 2.0 second-half goals at home.
- Konyaspor average 0.6 second-half goals away and concede 0.8.
- Amedspor won the second half in 3 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonAmedsporEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Amedspor's strong home scoring meets a Konyaspor side with one league win and a patched-up defence. Amedspor's habit of drawing and Konyaspor's recent goalless matches keep the stalemate realistic.
- Amedspor have won 5 and drawn 2 of 7 home matches, scoring 3.1 goals per home game.
- Konyaspor have 1 win in 10 league matches and are without both centre-backs who started their last game.
- Amedspor have drawn 6 of 14 competitive matches.
- Two of Konyaspor's last three league matches finished 0-0.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAmedspor or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Amedspor score early at home while Konyaspor rarely lead at the break away. A level first half remains a common outcome even though Amedspor often lead.
- Amedspor average 1.1 first-half goals at home and conceded 0.3.
- Konyaspor average 0.2 first-half goals away and conceded 1.0.
- Amedspor average 1.1 first-half goals per home game.
- Konyaspor average 0.2 first-half goals and concede 1.0 per away game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonAmedspor or DrawEstimated chance83%

Goals2 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Amedspor's home games are high-scoring and Konyaspor concede regularly away.
- Amedspor home matches average 4.1 total goals (3.1 for, 1.0 against).
- Konyaspor away matches average 2.6 total goals (0.8 for, 1.8 against).
- Amedspor scored in all 7 home matches and conceded in 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Amedspor's home games often feature goals at both ends and Konyaspor have scored in most away games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Amedspor's 7 home matches.
- Konyaspor scored in 3 of their 5 away league matches.
- Amedspor conceded in 5 of 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Amedspor have conceded in most home matches, so a shutout is less likely.
- Amedspor conceded in 5 of 7 home matches.
- Amedspor conceded in 11 of 14 league matches overall.
- Konyaspor scored in 3 of 5 away league matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostKonyaspor to scoreEstimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Amedspor have scored in every home match and almost every league game.
- Amedspor scored in 12 of 14 league matches.
- Amedspor scored in all 7 home matches.
- Amedspor average 3.1 goals per home game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAmedspor to scoreEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Amedspor score regularly before half-time and Konyaspor concede early goals away.
- Amedspor average 1.1 first-half goals at home.
- Konyaspor average 0.2 first-half goals away and concede 1.0 per away game.
- Amedspor scored a first-half goal in 4 of their last 6 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Low first-half concession rates make it unlikely that both sides score before the break.
- Amedspor conceded 0.3 first-half goals per home game.
- Konyaspor average 0.2 first-half goals away.
- Amedspor kept 3 clean sheets in 14 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half numbers point to a decent chance of two or more goals after the break.
- Amedspor home second halves average 2.7 goals (2.0 for, 0.7 against).
- Konyaspor away second halves average 1.4 goals (0.6 for, 0.8 against).
- Amedspor scored 4 second-half goals in a recent home win.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance61%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Amedspor score at a high rate at home and rarely finish with fewer than two.
- Amedspor average 3.1 goals per home game.
- Amedspor scored in all 7 home matches.
- Amedspor's league home record is 4 wins with 13 goals in 4 games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAmedspor over 1.5Estimated chance78%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Amedspor's home games generate enough corners on their own to push the total near the line.
- Amedspor home matches average 11 total corners (6.0 for, 5.0 against).
- Konyaspor away matches average 8.5 total corners (3.3 for, 5.3 against).
- Amedspor's opponents average 4.0 corners overall.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' shots-on-target totals sit comfortably above the line.
- Amedspor home matches average 10.9 shots on target (7.4 for, 3.4 against).
- Konyaspor away matches average 10.3 shots on target (4.0 for, 6.3 against).
- Amedspor average 7.4 shots on target at home.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Amedspor's home matches average close to six cards with both sides contributing.
- Amedspor home matches average 5.6 total cards (3.0 for, 2.6 against).
- Konyaspor away matches average 4.3 total cards (3.3 for, 1.0 against).
- Amedspor's opponents received 2.6 cards per home game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 5.5Estimated chance54%