Eyupspor0Goztepe4

HT 0–1Mon 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–473%

Edges3–175%

PossPossession 53%–47%ShotsShots 7–19On targetOn target 4–7CornersCorners 3–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Oct 2026, 17:48 · Europe/Bucharest

Two sides on three points from six meet with relegation pressure on both: Eyüpspor have one win and two league goals, while winless Göztepe carry the better attack.

Göztepe look the marginally likelier winners, though the last three meetings produced two goals in total. No quoted price is worth taking: at least one first-half goal at 1.25, nine or more corners at 1.57, three or more goals at 1.67 and both teams scoring at 1.62 all fall short.

Context

Eyüpspor enter the Göztepe fixture under a head coach appointed during the 19-day international break, so Monday is the first game in which Dalcı controls selection and shape. He inherits a side with one win and five defeats from six league matches, including an 8-0 loss at Fenerbahçe, and has spoken of escaping the relegation zone while calling Göztepe's dip an opportunity. The counterpoint is that Dalcı has had no competitive warm-up and the squad was assembled on a limited budget, so the change could unsettle as much as improve Eyüpspor.
- Mustafa Dalcı is Eyüpspor's new head coach, appointed during the international break.
- Özhan Pulat resigned on 20 September after Eyüpspor's 8-0 league defeat at Fenerbahçe.
- Dalcı said the club is looking for ways out of the relegation zone and described Göztepe's current slump as an advantage.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 17:44 · Europe/Bucharest
Göztepe have conceded two or more goals in each of their last four league games and Stoilov has been fielding defenders out of position. Recalling Sonko Sundberg and Allan Godoi would give the team a natural centre-back pairing and a more settled defensive unit. The projection comes from one secondary outlet citing an unnamed daily and Stoilov has not named a team, so the change may be less complete than suggested; both players are also returning from injury and may be short of match sharpness.
- Stoilov said after the Rizespor draw that Sonko Sundberg, Allan Godoi and Novatus Miroshi would be available again after the international break.
- Reporting on 9 October projected Sundberg and Godoi to start against Eyüpspor, with Taha Altıkardeş and Ege Yıldırım dropping to the bench.
ReportedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 17:44 · Europe/Bucharest
Göztepe have scored in all three of their away league games this season but have not won any of them, taking two points and conceding eight. That profile fits a meeting between two of the division's weakest defences and shapes how Eyüpspor must approach it. If the visitors score again, the home side need a response from a team with two league goals in six matches.
- Süper Lig standings (fetched 9 October 2026): Göztepe have played three away games, with no wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring seven and conceding eight
- Their overall league record is six games, no wins, three draws and three defeats, 11 scored and 15 conceded, 17th on three points
The pricing row dominated the build-up in Izmir and shapes how many Göztepe supporters make the long trip to Istanbul. Cutting the away ticket from 4,000 to 1,500 lira makes a sizeable visiting following more likely, which matters in a modest stadium where away support can be heard. The reduction does not guarantee attendance and the final away allocation has not been published, so the practical effect on atmosphere remains uncertain.
- Eyüpspor set the away-section ticket for the Göztepe match at 4,000 TL, the same as home-section seats.
- Göztepe's management asked Eyüpspor to lower the price and publicly called for a reasonable figure.
- The away ticket was reduced to 1,500 TL on 9 October after reactions from both sets of supporters.
ReportedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 17:44 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.30

BetBugs 77% · Market 80%

−3.0ppshort

Most recent first halves involving these teams produced at least one goal.

Corners Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 8.5

1.57fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 63.7%

−5.7ppshort

Both teams' recent matches have usually produced enough corners to clear this line.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.67fair 1.85

BetBugs 54% · Market 59.9%

−5.9ppshort

Göztepe's matches have been high-scoring and their defence has conceded regularly.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Göztepe carry the greater scoring threat and have avoided defeat in each away game this season.
- Göztepe have scored 2 or more in five of their last six league matches
- Göztepe scored 2, 2 and 3 in their three away league games
- Eyüpspor have conceded 16 goals in six league games
- Göztepe's away record is 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGoztepeEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First halves in these teams' matches are often tight and low-scoring.
- Both teams average below one first-half goal per game
- Both were level at half-time in two of their last six matches
- The last three meetings produced two goals in total
- The most recent meeting finished 0-0
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Göztepe have finished recent matches more strongly than Eyüpspor.
- Göztepe won two of their last six second halves
- Göztepe average 0.89 second-half goals scored
- Eyüpspor average 1.15 second-half goals conceded
- Eyüpspor failed to score after the break in five of their last six matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonGoztepeEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eyüpspor are at home and recent meetings with Göztepe have been tight and low-scoring. Göztepe carry the greater scoring threat and have avoided defeat in each away game this season.
- Eyüpspor have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last six league matches
- Eyüpspor's home league record is 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats with 2 goals scored
- Göztepe have scored 2 or more in five of their last six league matches
- Göztepe scored 2, 2 and 3 in their three away league games
BetBugs · Double ChancewonEyupspor or GoztepeEstimated chance69%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves in these teams' matches are often tight and low-scoring. Göztepe have started better than Eyüpspor in recent matches.
- Both teams average below one first-half goal per game
- Both were level at half-time in two of their last six matches
- Göztepe scored in four of their last six first halves
- Göztepe led at half-time in two of their last six matches
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or GoztepeEstimated chance72%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Göztepe's matches have been high-scoring and their defence has conceded regularly.
- Göztepe's last six league matches produced 4, 4, 6, 5, 1 and 6 goals
- Göztepe have scored 11 and conceded 15 in six league games
- Three of Eyüpspor's last six matches went over 2.5 goals
- Göztepe have both scored and conceded in seven of nine competitive matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Göztepe score regularly but concede almost every game, and Eyüpspor play at home.
- Göztepe have both scored and conceded in 7 of 9 competitive matches
- Göztepe kept no clean sheet in 9 competitive matches
- Eyüpspor kept no clean sheet in their last six league matches
- Göztepe scored in all three away league games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Most recent first halves involving these teams produced at least one goal.
- Only one of Eyüpspor's last six first halves was goalless
- Only one of Göztepe's last six first halves was goalless
- Eyüpspor average 0.77 first-half goals for and 0.85 against
- Göztepe average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.89 against
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Göztepe's matches keep producing second-half goals.
- Göztepe's last six second halves produced 3, 3, 2, 3, 1 and 3 goals
- Göztepe average 0.89 second-half goals scored and 1.33 conceded
- Eyüpspor average 1.15 second-half goals conceded
- Göztepe's recent matches produced second-half goals in five of six
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eyüpspor's scoring record makes two goals unlikely.
- Eyüpspor failed to score in five of their last six league matches
- Eyüpspor have 2 goals in six league games
- Eyüpspor scored at most once in five of their six league games
- Göztepe kept no clean sheet in nine competitive matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonEyupspor under 1.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Göztepe's recent scoring run may not continue against a home side that has conceded less at home.
- Göztepe failed to reach 2 goals in one of their last six league matches
- Göztepe average 1.6 goals across their away split
- The last three meetings produced two goals in total
- Göztepe have 11 goals in six league games
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostGoztepe under 1.5Estimated chance51%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both teams' recent matches have usually produced enough corners to clear this line.
- Eyüpspor's recent matches produced 14, 10, 11, 3, 6 and 10 corners
- Göztepe's recent matches produced 7, 12, 11, 8, 11 and 12 corners
- Eyüpspor average 3.6 corners for and 5.9 against
- Göztepe average 5.1 corners for and 4.6 against
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Göztepe's matches are busy in front of goal and lift the combined shot count.
- Göztepe's recent matches produced 36, 34, 32, 43, 26 and 41 shots
- Eyüpspor's recent matches produced 41, 35, 27, 18, 21 and 23 shots
- Göztepe average 18 shots for and 16.3 against
- Eyüpspor average 11 shots for and 15.2 against
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 29.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Göztepe's matches regularly generate enough shots on target.
- Göztepe's recent matches produced 14, 8, 10, 15, 8 and 10 shots on target
- Göztepe average 10.3 combined shots on target per match
- Eyüpspor's recent matches produced 19, 9 and 13 shots on target
- Four of Göztepe's last six matches went over 8.5 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent matches have generally stayed below this card line.
- Only three of the two teams' last twelve matches produced more than 5.5 cards
- Göztepe's recent card totals were 6, 4, 6, 4, 3 and 5
- Eyüpspor's recent card totals were 2, 3, 3, 4, 1 and 6
- Both teams average under three yellow cards per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 5.5Estimated chance56%