Süper LigFull time

Predictions graded

Eyupspor0Rizespor2

HT 0–1Sat 12 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 50%–50%ShotsShots 26–9On targetOn target 5–4CornersCorners 8–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Sep 2026, 06:17 · Europe/Bucharest

Rizespor are slight favourites on form, but the market overprices their win and the double chance.

Avoid the main markets; the only potential value is Over 8.5 corners, but confidence is low.

Context

Eyüpspor are 16th in the Süper Lig with 3 points from 4 matches, sitting in the relegation zone.
Their recent form is poor: they lost 3-0 away to Çorum FK on 6 September and 1-0 at home to Gaziantep FK on 23 August. They have scored only 2 goals in 4 league games, the joint-lowest in the division. This match is an opportunity to gain points at home, but their attacking output has been weak.
- Eyüpspor are 16th with 3 points from 4 matches, level on points with the relegation line.
- They lost 3-0 away to Çorum FK on 6 September and 1-0 at home to Gaziantep FK on 23 August.
- They have scored only 2 goals in 4 league games, the joint-lowest in the division.
Rizespor are 9th with 6 points from 3 matches, having played one game fewer than most teams.
Their away record is perfect: they beat Gaziantep FK 2-1 on 29 August and Konyaspor 1-0 on 15 August. They have scored 3 goals and conceded only 1 in those away games. This suggests they are comfortable playing away from home and could trouble Eyüpspor.
- Rizespor have won both away matches this season: 2-1 at Gaziantep FK on 29 August and 1-0 at Konyaspor on 15 August.
- They have scored 3 goals and conceded only 1 in those away games.
The last meeting between these teams was on 9 May 2026 in the Süper Lig.
Eyüpspor won 4-0 at home, with three goals in the first half. However, that was last season, and both squads have changed. Rizespor have started this season well away from home, so that result may not be a reliable guide.
- Eyüpspor beat Rizespor 4-0 at home on 9 May 2026.
- Rizespor have won both away matches this season, suggesting improvement.
Eyüpspor's home record this season is 1 win and 1 loss from 2 matches.
They beat Alanyaspor 2-1 on 30 August but lost 1-0 to Gaziantep FK on 23 August. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 2 at home. Their overall shots on target average is 2.8 per game, which is low.
- Eyüpspor beat Alanyaspor 2-1 at home on 30 August.
- They lost 1-0 at home to Gaziantep FK on 23 August.
- Their average shots on target is 2.8 per game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Rizespor

2.05fair 2.38

BetBugs 42% · Market 48.8%

0.0ppshort

Rizespor's perfect away record and Eyupspor's relegation struggle give the visitors a slight edge, though H2H is balanced.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Rizespor

1.33fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

Eyupspor's poor form and Rizespor's solid away performances make the away side or draw the safer double chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.78fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 56.2%

0.0ppshort

Both teams average around 1.3-1.4 goals per game and recent H2H meetings have often produced goals.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 0.5

1.33fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 75.2%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to score in the first half, and recent H2H matches have seen early goals.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rizespor's perfect away record and Eyupspor's relegation struggle give the visitors a slight edge, though H2H is balanced.
- Rizespor away record this season: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 3 goals scored, 1 conceded
- Eyupspor home record this season: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss, 2 goals scored, 2 conceded
- H2H last 5: Eyupspor won 2, Rizespor won 2, 1 draw; but Rizespor won the most recent away meeting 2-1
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRizesporEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eyupspor's poor form and Rizespor's solid away performances make the away side or draw the safer double chance.
- Eyupspor have lost 3 of their last 4 league matches
- Rizespor have won 2 of their last 3 league matches
- Eyupspor average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or RizesporEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have identical first half leading/trailing percentages, suggesting a balanced first half with a draw likely.
- Eyupspor leading at half time in 33% of matches, trailing in 20%
- Rizespor leading at half time in 33% of matches, trailing in 20%
- Both teams have similar first half profiles
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half time followed by a Rizespor win is a plausible scenario given Rizespor's away form and Eyupspor's struggles.
- Rizespor have won 2 of their last 3 away matches
- Eyupspor have lost 3 of their last 4 matches
- H2H last 5: Rizespor won 2, Eyupspor won 2
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/RizesporEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rizespor could dominate, but winning both halves is a low probability event given the competitive nature of the league.
- Rizespor have won both halves in 1 of their last 5 matches
- Eyupspor have lost both halves in 1 of their last 5 matches
- Rizespor's away record is strong, but winning both halves is rare
BetBugs · Win Both HalveslostRizesporEstimated chance15%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring and conceding rates, and recent H2H meetings have often produced goals.
- Eyupspor average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match
- Rizespor average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match
- H2H last 5: 3 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have shown ability to score, and neither defense is particularly strong, making BTTS a reasonable bet.
- Eyupspor scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches
- Rizespor scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, and recent H2H matches have seen early goals.
- Eyupspor average 0.7 first half goals scored and 0.4 conceded
- Rizespor average 0.7 first half goals scored and 0.4 conceded
- In H2H last 5, 3 matches had a first half goal
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second half scoring is slightly below the 1.5 line, but the attacking intent of both teams could push it over.
- Eyupspor average 1.3 total goals per match, with 0.7 in first half, implying 0.6 in second half
- Rizespor average 1.4 total goals per match, with 0.7 in first half, implying 0.7 in second half
- Combined second half average is 1.3 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rizespor's high corner count and Eyupspor's tendency to concede corners suggest a high total, but Eyupspor's low own corners temper the expectation.
- Eyupspor average 2.8 corners per match, opponent corners 5.6
- Rizespor average 5.6 corners per match, opponent corners 4.9
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams is around 9.4
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of shots on target, and the combined average is above the line, but variance is high.
- Eyupspor average 2.8 shots on target per match, opponent 4.9
- Rizespor average 4.9 shots on target per match, opponent 4.9
- Combined average shots on target is around 8.7
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to pick up cards, and the combined average is above the line, though red cards are rare.
- Eyupspor average 3 yellow cards per match, opponent 2.6
- Rizespor average 2.6 yellow cards per match, opponent 2.6
- Combined average yellow cards is around 5.2
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 48.8% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

L4-0EyüpsporvRizesporMay 9, 2026SÜP

L3-0RizesporvEyüpsporDec 13, 2025SÜP

L1-0RizesporvEyüpsporApr 20, 2025SÜP

W1-2EyüpsporvRizesporNov 23, 2024SÜP

W0-1EyüpsporvRizesporMar 26, 20231.

Rizespor: 3 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Süper Lig 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Eyupspor Relegation - 1. Lig	4	1	0	3	2-6	3	LWLL
9	Rizespor	3	2	0	1	3-3	6	WLW

3pt gap between teamsEyupspor in relegation zone

Recent Form

Eyupspor

L0-3Çorum FKSep 6SÜP

W2-1AlanyasporAug 30SÜP

L0-1Gaziantep FKAug 23SÜP

L0-1BeşiktaşAug 16SÜP

W2-0İstanbulsporJul 24FRI

W1-0Mardin 1969Jul 20FRI

D3-3FenerbahçeMay 17SÜP

W4-0RizesporMay 9SÜP

D1-1KayserisporMay 3SÜP

W3-0Gaziantep FKApr 25SÜP

W2-1Fatih KaragümrükApr 18SÜP

L1-2SamsunsporApr 13SÜP

L0-3AntalyasporApr 5SÜP

L0-1TrabzonsporMar 18SÜP

L0-1KasımpaşaMar 15SÜP

Rizespor

W2-1Gaziantep FKAug 29SÜP

L0-2SamsunsporAug 22SÜP

W1-0KonyasporAug 15SÜP

W2-1Pyramids FCAug 8FRI

D0-0AbhaJul 31FRI

L1-2Hull CityJul 28FRI

W3-1NK OsijekJul 25FRI

D0-0Erzurumspor FKJul 17FRI

W3-0Dinamo BatumiJul 15FRI

D2-2BeşiktaşMay 15SÜP

L0-4EyüpsporMay 9SÜP

W3-2KonyasporMay 1SÜP

L0-2KayserisporApr 25SÜP

D2-2FenerbahçeApr 17SÜP

W2-1Gaziantep FKApr 13SÜP

Squad & Injuries

Eyupspor

29 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Rizespor

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Rizespor

Draw or Rizespor

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result3 of 5 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Markets to Avoid

Rizespor

Draw or Rizespor

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Eyupspor

Rizespor

Squad & Injuries

Eyupspor

Rizespor