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Predictions graded

Zawisza Bydgoszcz0Znicz Pruszkow1

HT 0–0Sun 11 Oct 2026, 17:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–753%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Oct 2026, 17:08 · Europe/Bucharest

Znicz Pruszków, top of II Liga East and winners of all three away games, visit a Zawisza side beaten only once at home.

The visitors' scoring rate makes them the likelier winner, but Zawisza's home record keeps a draw live: the visitors to avoid defeat at 1.55 and Znicz to win at 2.6 are the prices the record supports. Both teams to score at 1.43 and over 2.5 goals at 1.48 offer little.

Context

Znicz Pruszków arrive as Betclic 2 Liga leaders after beating Stal Stalowa Wola 4-2 on 4 October, while Zawisza lost their most recent home game 2-1 to Olimpia Grudziądz. With the visitors holding top spot and Zawisza chasing the leading group, the round-11 meeting carries genuine table weight rather than being a routine autumn fixture. It is also the final game of three consecutive home matches for Zawisza, so the result shapes how that block is judged. Znicz have been the stronger side overall, but Zawisza were unbeaten at home until the Grudziądz defeat, so the two form lines pull in different directions.
- Zawisza's official preview on 9 October billed the game as the final match of a home run against 'the current leader of the competition' in round 11.
- Znicz Pruszków stayed top of Betclic 2 Liga with a 4-2 home win over Stal Stalowa Wola on 4 October.
- Zawisza lost their previous home league game 2-1 to Olimpia Grudziądz on 4 October.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 17:06 · Europe/Bucharest
Łukowski left Zawisza a decade ago and has since played 116 Ekstraklasa games and 145 in the second tier, most recently for GKS Katowice and Polonia Bytom. His return adds an experienced attacking-midfield option to a side that has leaned on Michał Cywiński and Wojciech Szumilas for creativity. The timing is the caveat: a free agent signed three days before kick-off may not be match-fit or integrated enough to start. That makes him more likely a bench option on Sunday than an immediate change to the XI.
- Zawisza's official announcement on 8 October confirmed Łukowski's return as a club academy graduate after spells at Wisła Płock, Olimpia Grudziądz, Miedź Legnica, Korona Kielce, Widzew Łódź, GKS Katowice and Polonia Bytom.
- The club stated he has made 116 Ekstraklasa appearances and scored 17 top-flight goals, plus 145 appearances and 30 goals in the second tier.
- iGol reported on 9 October that the agreement runs to 30 June 2027.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 17:06 · Europe/Bucharest
Brzozowski had just broken into the first team at right-back, earning praise on his debut in the 12 September draw at Hutnik Kraków, before the injury was reported on 2 October. He then missed the 4 October home defeat to Olimpia Grudziądz, where Nowak deputised at right-back, and the absence is expected to last into the spring round. Because he is a youth-eligible starter, his loss affects both the defensive shape and Zawisza's młodzieżowiec requirements. Zawisza have cover through Nowak and Dziarkowski, so the impact is a depth issue rather than an emergency.
- Local analyst Damian Cies reported on 2 October that Brzozowski suffered a fractured right fibula in training and was unlikely to return before the spring round.
- A second local reporter listed Brzozowski among injured players on 6 October.
- Brzozowski missed the 4 October home defeat to Olimpia Grudziądz, where Nowak filled in at right-back.
- Krystian Brzozowski started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 17:06 · Europe/Bucharest
Znicz have won every away trip so far, with 10 goals in three matches, so Zawisza face the division's most productive travelling attack. The sample is small, and Zawisza's single home defeat in six league games is the counterweight.
- 2026 II Liga East away record for Znicz Pruszków: 3 played, 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats, 10 goals scored, 4 conceded.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.60
The read
The leaders have won every away fixture and carry the league's best scoring rate into this trip.
- Znicz top the table with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scoring 2.36 goals per game
- Znicz away: 3 wins from 3 with 10 goals scored
- Zawisza conceded two in their most recent home league game
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZnicz PruszkowEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first halves are relatively low-scoring, pointing to a level interval.
- Zawisza average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against at home
- Znicz average 1.27 first-half goals overall
- Level half-time results have been common for both sides
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Znicz carry a slightly better second-half scoring and defensive balance than the hosts.
- Znicz average 1.09 second-half goals and concede 0.55
- Zawisza concede 0.5 second-half goals at home
- Znicz have scored late goals in several recent wins
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonZnicz PruszkowEstimated chance34%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zawisza have lost only once at home this season and have scored in five of six league games, so they can take something from a strong visitor. The leaders have won every away fixture and carry the league's best scoring rate into this trip.
- Zawisza home record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 9 scored and 5 conceded in 6 home league games
- Znicz away record: 3 wins from 3, 10 scored and 4 conceded
- Znicz top the table with 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scoring 2.36 goals per game
- Znicz away: 3 wins from 3 with 10 goals scored
BetBugs · Double ChancewonZawisza Bydgoszcz or Znicz PruszkowEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first halves are relatively low-scoring, pointing to a level interval. Znicz have started strongly and carry a higher first-half scoring rate than the hosts.
- Zawisza average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against at home
- Znicz average 1.27 first-half goals overall
- Znicz average 1.27 first-half goals overall and 2.0 in away games
- Zawisza concede 0.33 first-half goals at home
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Znicz PruszkowEstimated chance75%

Goals3 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48
The read
Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games, with Znicz in particular regularly reaching three or more goals.
- Znicz league games average 3.55 total goals; their away games average 4.66
- Zawisza's last six matches produced 21 goals
- Both teams scored in 9 of Znicz's 11 league games and 7 of Zawisza's 11
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Both teams concede regularly and have found the net in most recent outings.
- Znicz both-scored in 9 of 11 league games and in all of their last 6
- Zawisza both-scored in 7 of 11 overall and 4 of 6 at home
- Znicz kept only one clean sheet in 11 league games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Zawisza's home scoring is modest and the away defence has conceded at a moderate rate.
- Zawisza average 1.5 goals per home game from 6 matches
- They failed to score in one of their last three home games
- Znicz concede 1.18 goals per league game
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonZawisza Bydgoszcz under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Znicz have scored freely on the road and regularly reach two or more goals.
- Znicz average 2.36 goals per league game and 3.33 in away games
- They scored at least twice in four of their last six league matches
- Zawisza concede 0.83 per home game but 1.18 overall
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostZnicz Pruszkow over 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The leaders have found the net in nearly every game this season, making a blank unlikely.
- Znicz scored in 10 of 11 league games
- Znicz have scored 10 goals in 3 away matches
- Zawisza have 3 clean sheets in 11 league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonZnicz Pruszkow to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zawisza score in most home games and the visitor defence has been conceding regularly.
- Zawisza scored in 9 of 11 league games and 5 of 6 at home
- Znicz have conceded in each of their last 6 league matches
- Znicz concede 1.18 goals per league game
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostZawisza Bydgoszcz to scoreEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
A Znicz win without conceding is unlikely given how often both their games and Zawisza's home matches feature goals.
- Zawisza scored in 9 of 11 league games
- Znicz kept only 1 clean sheet in 11 games
- Znicz conceded in all of their last 6 league matches
BetBugs · Away Win to NillostNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
At least one first-half goal is likely given Znicz's early scoring and the combined first-half averages.
- Znicz average 1.27 first-half goals per league game
- Zawisza average 0.64 first-half goals overall
- Zawisza's home first halves produced 0.5 goals for and 0.33 against per game
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
One or both teams are unlikely to score before half-time given the low first-half averages involved.
- Zawisza average 0.5 first-half goals at home and concede 0.33
- Znicz's away first-half defending has been tight
- Zawisza's recent first halves have usually featured at most one team scoring
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score more after half-time than before it, enough to make two second-half goals slightly more likely than not.
- Zawisza average 1.0 second-half goals and 0.5 against at home
- Znicz average 1.09 second-half goals and 0.55 against
- Combined second-half average is around 1.7 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance53%

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17-13	16	LDDDW
1	Znicz Pruszkow	10	7	2	1	23-12	23	WWDWW

7pt gap between teamsZnicz Pruszkow leads the league

Recent Form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

L1-2Olimpia GrudziądzOct 4II

D0-0Górnik ŁęcznaSep 18II

D1-1Hutnik KrakówSep 12II

D3-3Stal Stalowa WolaSep 4II

W4-1Legia Warszawa IIAug 29II

W4-1Avia ŚwidnikAug 22II

W2-1Lechia Zielona GóraAug 16II

W1-0Resovia RzeszówAug 8II

L0-3Rekord Bielsko-BiałaAug 2II

D1-1Sokół KleczewJul 25II

L2-3Polonia WarszawaJul 18FRI

W2-1ŁKS Łódź IIJul 11FRI

W1-0Polonia ŚrodaJul 8FRI

W2-1Legia Warszawa IIJul 4FRI

W2-0Cartusia KartuzyMay 30III

Znicz Pruszkow

W4-2Stal Stalowa WolaOct 4II

W3-1Lechia Zielona GóraSep 19II

D1-1Tychy 71Sep 11II

W4-2Hutnik KrakówSep 6II

W3-2Śląsk Wrocław IIAug 29II

D1-1Świt SkolwinAug 22II

L0-1Olimpia GrudziądzAug 16II

W4-1Chojniczanka ChojniceAug 9II

W3-1ŁKS Łódź IIAug 5CUP

W2-1Legia Warszawa IIJul 31II

W1-0Resovia RzeszówJul 24II

D2-2SwitJul 18FRI

L1-2Chojniczanka ChojniceJul 10FRI

W4-1Mławianka MławaJul 3FRI

W3-2Polonia WarszawaJun 27FRI

Squad & Injuries

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

23 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Znicz Pruszkow

27 available

Attackers5

Midfielders17

Defenders2

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Znicz Pruszkow

Znicz Pruszkow

No

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Yes

Over 2.5

Result5 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 10 landed

League Table

Recent Form

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Znicz Pruszkow

Squad & Injuries

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Znicz Pruszkow