Radomlje3Koper3

HT 2–2Sat 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–847%

Edges1–517%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Oct 2026, 01:33 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom hosts second as the league resumes after the international break: Radomlje have one point from five home games, Koper have won four of six away.

Koper are the likelier winners, but 1.73 asks for more than this matchup supports. The goalless first half at 3.25, both teams not scoring at 2.15, a level first half at 2.30, under 2.5 goals at 2.15 and both teams not to score before half-time at 1.22 are the prices with something behind them.

Context

Radomlje changed head coach during the international break, a week before the league resumed, after Ivan Vukomanović collected one win, two draws and six defeats in nine 1. SNL matches. His replacement, 34-year-old Bulgarian Radostin Aleksandrov, arrives from second-tier Rudar Velenje, where he began this season, after a two-year spell at Tabor Sežana. A manager installed this late can rework the starting eleven, shape and set-piece emphasis for a side averaging 0.9 goals a game. Because Aleksandrov has not yet taken charge of a competitive match, the exact selection and tactical direction remain open rather than predictable.
- Ivan Vukomanović's nine league matches in charge of Radomlje this season produced one win, two draws and six defeats.
- Vukomanović left the role on 4 October 2026, a week before the league resumed.
- Radostin Aleksandrov, 34, is the new head coach; he led Rudar Velenje in the 2. SNL earlier this season.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 01:31 · Europe/Bucharest
Koper appointed Milan Anđelković as head coach on 15 September, when Zoran Zeljković left to lead reigning champions Celje, and Anđelković's league debut with the club produced a 2-0 win over Nafta on 19 September. He works with assistants Luka Žinko and Saša Marinković and goalkeeping coach Nihad Pejković. Much of Koper's good early-season form, including three straight league wins, was assembled before Zeljković's departure, so the team is still being reshaped by the new staff. The Nafta win is Koper's only league match under Anđelković so far, making this fixture an early test of continuity.
- Milan Anđelković is Koper's head coach, appointed on 15 September 2026 with assistants Luka Žinko and Saša Marinković and goalkeeping coach Nihad Pejković.
- Anđelković's first league match in charge ended in a 2-0 win over Nafta on 19 September 2026.
- Zoran Zeljković, previously Koper's coach, left to take charge of reigning champions Celje.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 01:31 · Europe/Bucharest
Radomlje are bottom on five points from nine league matches; Koper are second on 18 from ten.
The splits point the same way as the table: no home win yet for Radomlje, and one away defeat for Koper. Both records were assembled before the October international break, and neither current head coach had a full hand in them, so they describe the squads more than the setups that will meet on 10 October.
- Standings on 6 October 2026: Radomlje 10th, 9 played, 1 win, 2 draws, 6 defeats, 9 scored, 18 conceded; home record 5 played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats, 2 scored, 10 conceded.
- Koper 2nd at the same date: 10 played, 5 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats, 11 scored, 8 conceded; away record 6 played, 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 6 scored, 3 conceded.
- Form at that date: Radomlje LLLDL, Koper WLWWW.
Koper's defensive record is the strongest of the two sides' supplied aggregates this season.
That record is a large part of why the visitors sit second, and Radomlje's task is to find a goal against a side that has conceded in only four matches. The 11-match sample spans a coaching change and ends on 19 September, so it describes a squad that has since had an international break to absorb new instructions.
- Koper's competitive record from 17 July to 19 September 2026 covers 11 matches: 6 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats, 9 goals scored, 4 conceded.
- Koper kept 7 clean sheets across those 11 matches, and both teams scored in 3 of them.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.73
The read
Koper have the stronger league record and a solid away return, while Radomlje have taken one point from five home league games.
- Koper are 2nd with 18 points from 10 league games and are 4-1-1 away, scoring 6 and conceding 3.
- Radomlje are 10th with 5 points and have taken 1 point from 5 home league matches, scoring 2 and conceding 10.
- Koper's last six competitive matches read 2-0, 1-3, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0, 0-0.
- The July meeting finished 2-2 after Koper recovered from two goals down.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKoperEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Both teams do most of their scoring after the break, so the first half is more likely to finish level.
- Radomlje average 0.67 first-half goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 competitive matches.
- Koper average 0.27 first-half goals in 11 competitive matches and concede 0.36.
- Radomlje's home split shows 0.5 first-half goals scored and 1.33 conceded.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Koper's scoring comes mainly after the break while Radomlje fade late, losing 1-2 at Brinje-Grosuplje and 1-3 to Nafta in the second half.
- Koper average 0.91 second-half goals and concede 0.36.
- Radomlje average 0.5 second-half goals and concede 1.25.
- Radomlje have conceded second-half goals in each of their last three defeats.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostKoperEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Koper have the stronger league record and a solid away return, while Radomlje have taken one point from five home league games. The direct history has been tight, and Koper's recent wins have mostly been by a single goal with little separating the teams.
- Koper are 2nd with 18 points from 10 league games and are 4-1-1 away, scoring 6 and conceding 3.
- Radomlje are 10th with 5 points and have taken 1 point from 5 home league matches, scoring 2 and conceding 10.
- Three of the last five meetings between the clubs ended level.
- Koper have drawn 3 of 11 competitive matches this season, including a 0-0 with Bravo.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or KoperEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams do most of their scoring after the break, so the first half is more likely to finish level. Koper are the stronger team, though their first-half scoring output this season has been modest.
- Radomlje average 0.67 first-half goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 competitive matches.
- Koper average 0.27 first-half goals in 11 competitive matches and concede 0.36.
- Koper average 0.27 first-half goals and concede 0.36 in the first half.
- Koper's recent league wins over Celje and Nafta both featured a first-half goal.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or KoperEstimated chance80%

Goals4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.15
The read
Koper's away matches have been low-scoring single-goal wins and Radomlje barely score at home, which keeps the total near the line.
- Koper's 6 away league matches have produced 9 goals in total (6 scored, 3 conceded).
- Radomlje have scored 2 goals in 5 home league matches.
- Radomlje's 12 competitive matches average 1.17 scored and 2.00 conceded.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.15
The read
Koper's defence has been hard to break and Radomlje's home scoring is the weakest part of their game.
- Koper have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.
- Radomlje have scored 2 goals in 5 home league matches.
- Koper's away league record is 6 played, 6 scored, 3 conceded.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje have barely scored at home and Koper's away defence has conceded very little.
- Radomlje have scored 2 goals in 5 home league matches, an average of 0.4.
- Their 12 competitive matches average 1.17 goals scored.
- Koper have conceded 3 goals in 6 away league matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostRadomlje under 1.5Estimated chance79%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Koper have been efficient rather than prolific away from home, scoring once in each of their last three away league games.
- Koper average 1.18 goals across 11 competitive matches and 1.0 per away league game.
- Koper's recent away wins at Celje, Aluminij and Mura were all 1-0.
- Radomlje have conceded 2.0 goals per match across 12 competitive games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostKoper under 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje have kept one shutout all season and are facing a side that scores in most matches.
- Koper have scored in 9 of their 11 competitive matches.
- Radomlje have kept 1 clean sheet in 12 competitive matches.
- Radomlje have conceded 2.0 goals per match in those 12 games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonKoper to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje find a goal in most of their matches, even allowing for their thin home scoring.
- Radomlje have scored in 9 of 12 competitive matches.
- Radomlje scored twice in the 2-2 draw with Koper in July.
- Koper conceded in 4 of 11 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonRadomlje to scoreEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Most likely outcomes either see Radomlje score or Koper fail to win, so this covers the larger share of results.
- Radomlje have scored in 9 of 12 competitive matches.
- Only 3 of Koper's 11 competitive matches were won without conceding in the overall record.
- Radomlje scored twice in the July meeting with Koper.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Radomlje's habit of conceding before the break makes at least one first-half goal more likely than not.
- Radomlje concede 0.75 first-half goals per competitive match, and 1.33 in the home split.
- Koper average 0.27 first-half goals scored.
- The July meeting had two first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams scoring before half-time would require two modest first-half attacks to convert, which their records rarely support.
- Koper average 0.27 first-half goals and have scored in the first half in only a few of their 11 matches.
- Radomlje average 0.67 first-half goals, with 0.5 at home.
- Koper concede 0.36 first-half goals per match.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half output from both sides has generally been limited to one goal or none in Koper's away matches.
- Radomlje average 0.5 second-half goals scored and 1.25 conceded; Koper average 0.91 scored and 0.36 conceded.
- Koper's 1-0 wins at Celje and Aluminij each produced one second-half goal.
- Koper's away league games have averaged 1.5 goals in total.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance56%