Mexico00 – 2Chile2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Neither side scores early often, so the first half looks likely to end level.

• Mexico's World Cup matches averaged 1.2 first-half goals in total.
• Chile have one first-half goal in their six most recent listed matches.
• Chile drew 0-0 with Uruguay and were level at the break in five of six listed games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Mexico start games on the front foot and Chile have been conceding before the break. Neither side scores early often, so the first half looks likely to end level.

• Mexico average 0.8 first-half goals and 0.4 against across five World Cup matches.
• Chile have one first-half goal in their six most recent listed matches.
• Mexico's World Cup matches averaged 1.2 first-half goals in total.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonMexico or DrawEstimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Both sides have struggled for goals lately, with Chile managing one goal in their last four away games.

• Two of Mexico's five World Cup matches went over 2.5 goals.
• Chile have scored in only two of eight competitive matches.
• Mexico kept four clean sheets in five World Cup matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88

The read

Chile's attacking output is very low and Mexico have been hard to break down in competitive games.

• Mexico kept four clean sheets in five World Cup matches.
• Chile have scored in two of eight competitive matches and in one of their last four away games.
• Chile failed to score in four of their six most recent listed matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Mexico's scoring has dropped sharply since the World Cup and four squad members have left camp.

• Mexico scored 1, 1 and 0 in their three October friendlies.
• Mexico's home World Cup average was 1.75 goals per match.
• Chile kept two clean sheets in eight competitive matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonMexico under 1.5Estimated chance58%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent matches sit around the eight-corner mark and Mexico's wide play generates volume.

• Mexico average 7.4 total corners per World Cup match (3.8 for, 3.6 against).
• Chile's tracked matches average 8.2 total corners (4.0 for, 4.2 against).
• Mexico's match against England produced 14 corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Mexico's matches have generally stayed below 25 shots and friendlies tend to slow down.

• Mexico's five World Cup matches averaged 21.6 total shots.
• Mexico's four home World Cup matches averaged 21.0 total shots.
• Chile's tracked matches average 23.7 total shots.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Chile concede plenty of shots on target and Mexico's combined match average sits right at the line.

• Mexico average 4.2 shots on target and 2.2 against per World Cup match.
• Chile's tracked matches average 2.2 shots on target for and 4.7 against.
• Chile's away opponents average 6.3 shots on target in three recorded games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent games have produced around three bookings and Mexico's opponents have been heavily carded.

• Mexico's World Cup matches averaged 3.0 total yellow cards (0.8 for, 2.2 against).
• Chile's tracked matches averaged 3.4 total yellow cards (2.0 for, 1.4 against).
• Mexico received a red card in their 2-0 win over South Africa.