Saint Martin66 – 0Bahamas0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.01

The read

Saint Martin thrashed this same opponent 8-0 a fortnight ago and carry a large scoring and defensive advantage over a Bahamas side without a win in close to two years.

• Saint Martin won the 23 September meeting 8-0, leading 5-0 at half-time, and scored eight and five in their two Group C wins
• Saint Martin average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across 10 competitive matches
• Bahamas have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats in their last 15, conceding 4.07 goals per game
• Bahamas have lost all three Group C games by a combined 3-14 and have not won since October 2024

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance93%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin started the reverse fixture five goals up by the break and have the better first-half scoring and concession numbers.

• Saint Martin led 5-0 at half-time in the 23 September meeting
• Saint Martin average 1.1 first-half goals and concede 0.4
• Bahamas concede 1.93 first-half goals per match

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin scored three after the break in the reverse fixture and have the stronger second-half scoring and concession figures.

• Saint Martin average 1.7 second-half goals and concede 0.6
• Bahamas concede 2.13 second-half goals per match
• Saint Martin scored three second-half goals in the 8-0 win

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin thrashed this same opponent 8-0 a fortnight ago and carry a large scoring and defensive advantage over a Bahamas side without a win in close to two years. Draws almost never appear in either team's record, but Saint Martin's recent scoreless defeats show they can be held out when their finishing deserts them.

• Saint Martin won the 23 September meeting 8-0, leading 5-0 at half-time, and scored eight and five in their two Group C wins
• Saint Martin average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across 10 competitive matches
• Saint Martin have no draws in 10 competitive matches (7 wins, 3 losses)
• Bahamas have one draw in 15 matches

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSaint Martin or DrawEstimated chance98%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin started the reverse fixture five goals up by the break and have the better first-half scoring and concession numbers. Saint Martin have frequently been level at the interval despite winning comfortably overall, so a drawn first half is a realistic scenario.

• Saint Martin led 5-0 at half-time in the 23 September meeting
• Saint Martin average 1.1 first-half goals and concede 0.4
• Saint Martin went in level at half-time in three of their last six matches
• Bahamas conceded no first-half goal in one of their last six

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonSaint Martin or DrawEstimated chance93%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Both scoring rates point to a high total, and the only meeting between the sides produced eight goals in a one-sided contest.

• The 23 September meeting produced eight goals
• Saint Martin average 2.8 scored and the Bahamas concede 4.07 per match
• Three of Saint Martin's last six and five of the Bahamas' last six matches went past 3.5 goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40

The read

The Bahamas rarely score against organised defences and were completely shut out in the previous meeting.

• Saint Martin kept five clean sheets in 10 competitive matches and have five clean sheets in six designated away games
• Bahamas failed to score in three of their last six matches, including the 0-8 defeat
• Bahamas average 1.07 goals per game across 15 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin have scored at least three goals in each of their tournament wins and face a defence shipping more than four goals a game.

• Saint Martin scored eight and five in their two Group C wins
• Saint Martin average 2.8 goals per competitive match
• Bahamas have conceded 14 goals in three group games

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSaint Martin over 1.5Estimated chance84%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The Bahamas create very little against stronger sides and seldom score more than one goal in a game.

• Bahamas have scored three goals in three Group C matches
• Bahamas were shut out in three of their last six
• Bahamas managed zero shots on target in the 0-8 defeat

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonBahamas under 1.5Estimated chance85%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin have kept clean sheets at roughly a 50% rate and the Bahamas offered almost no attacking threat in the reverse fixture.

• Saint Martin kept five clean sheets in 10 competitive matches
• Bahamas failed to score in three of their last six games
• Bahamas registered two shots and no shots on target in the 0-8 meeting

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBahamas not to scoreEstimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' first-half profiles point to goalmouth activity, and the reverse fixture was effectively decided before the interval.

• Five goals arrived before half-time in the 8-0 meeting
• Saint Martin average 1.1 first-half goals and Bahamas concede 1.93 before the break
• At least one first-half goal was scored in five of the two teams' six most recent matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' second-half goal averages combine comfortably above two, and recent Saint Martin wins featured heavy second-half scoring.

• Saint Martin average 1.7 second-half goals and Bahamas concede 2.13 after the break
• Three second-half goals were scored in the 8-0 meeting
• Saint Martin scored four second-half goals in the 5-0 win over the US Virgin Islands

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin's heavy shot volume plus the Bahamas' tendency to concede many attempts puts the combined total close to the line.

• Saint Martin average 19.3 shots and concede 7.7 per match
• Bahamas average 11.4 shots and concede 21.3 per match
• Recent shot totals in these teams' matches were 34, 35, 36 and 28

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' yellow-card averages combine to roughly three per match, and red cards have also appeared in these samples.

• Saint Martin average 1.4 yellow cards and their opponents 1.6
• Bahamas average 1.3 yellow cards and their opponents 1.4
• Both teams have one red card in the tracked samples