IR Tanger11 – 1MA Tetouan1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tanger were unbeaten at home in the window, score more at home than on the road, and meet a promoted side whose recent wins came in the second tier. Both sides sit deep and score little, and Tetouan's habit of taking a point travels well enough to make a tight draw a real outcome.

• IR Tanger home split: 4W-2D-0L in 6, 1.50 goals for and 0.83 against per game
• Opened 2026-27 with a 3-1 win at Amal Tiznit on 24 September 2026
• MA Tetouan: 6 draws in 15 competitive matches
• IR Tanger: 3 draws in 13; 2 draws in 6 home matches

BetBugs · Double ChancewonIR Tanger or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Two low-scoring sides with strong defensive numbers meet in a derby, which points to a match short on clear chances.

• IR Tanger: 1.23 scored and 0.85 conceded per game
• MA Tetouan: 1.13 scored and 0.73 conceded per game
• Tetouan have four clean sheets in their last six

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Against a defence conceding under a goal a game, Tanger are more likely to be held to one goal or none than to score twice.

• IR Tanger home scoring 1.50 per game from 6 matches
• MA Tetouan: 0.73 conceded per game across 15, six clean sheets
• Tanger scored one or none in 5 of their last 6 listed matches

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonIR Tanger under 1.5Estimated chance67%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tetouan's away scoring is thin and Tanger concede less than a goal a game, so one goal or none is the likely away return.

• MA Tetouan: 1.13 goals per game overall, 0.60 in first halves
• Tetouan kept goalless in four of their last six matches' opponents' terms
• IR Tanger conceded 0.85 per game overall

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonMA Tetouan under 1.5Estimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Tanger concede in most matches and Tetouan grind out single goals, so a clean sheet for the hosts is not the more likely side.

• IR Tanger: clean sheets in 3 of 13, conceded in 5 of last 6 matches
• MA Tetouan: 1.13 goals per game overall, six draws
• Tanger conceded 0.83 per game at home

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonMA Tetouan to scoreEstimated chance55%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tanger have scored in most of their matches and are more productive at home, so Tetouan are more likely to concede.

• IR Tanger: 1.23 goals per game overall, 1.50 per home match
• Tanger scored in 10 of 13 competitive matches
• Tetouan conceded 0.73 per game overall

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIR Tanger to scoreEstimated chance66%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side is prolific before the break, but the combined first-half rate still makes at least one goal the slightly more likely side.

• IR Tanger first half: 0.54 scored and 0.54 conceded per game
• MA Tetouan first half: 0.60 scored and 0.13 conceded per game
• Combined first-half goals in the window sit near 0.9 per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13

The read

With so few first-half goals on both sides, it is much more likely that at least one team fails to score before the interval.

• IR Tanger first half: 0.54 goals for per game, 0.50 against at home
• MA Tetouan first half: 0.29 goals for per away game
• Combined first-half output around 0.9 goals per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The combined second-half scoring rate of about 1.3 goals per match makes nought or one goal the likelier return.

• IR Tanger second half: 0.69 scored and 0.31 conceded per game
• MA Tetouan second half: 0.53 scored and 0.60 conceded per game
• Both defences concede under a goal per second half

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams average around four combined bookings and the derby setting adds friction, so a match total above 3.5 is the more likely case.

• IR Tanger: 2.00 yellow cards per match across 6, opponents 2.00
• MA Tetouan: 2.25 yellow cards per match across 4, opponents 2.25
• Red cards: Tanger 0.17, Tetouan 0.25 per match