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Predictions graded

US Amal Tiznit1IR Tanger3

HT 1–1Thu 24 Sept 2026, 20:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–847%

Edges0–40%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Sep 2026, 09:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Two low-scoring sides meet with little to separate them: Tiznit have lost once in eight home matches, while Tanger have scored 0.67 goals per away game.

A tight game with the home side avoiding defeat is the likeliest shape. Three quoted prices carry an edge — Tiznit to win or draw at 1.57, Tiznit to win at 3.1 and under 2.5 goals at 1.38. Both teams to score – no, at 1.55, is not one of them.

Context

Tanger are the side with the better overall record, but the part of that record they bring to this game is the weaker half.
The gap between their home returns and their road returns matters because they travel here: 0.67 goals per away game is the part of the profile Tanger must carry into this fixture. Tiznit have lost once in eight home matches and conceded 0.88 per game, so the away scoring rate is the number to watch. Six away matches over two months is a small sample and says nothing about why the split exists.
- IR Tanger home record, 3 May–5 July 2026: 7 matches, 4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, 1.29 scored and 0.71 conceded per game.
- IR Tanger away record, 3 May–5 July 2026: 6 matches, 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 0.67 scored and 0.83 conceded per game, with two clean sheets.
Tiznit's edge in this fixture is durability rather than firepower: 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss across eight home matches.
A side that draws more than half its matches, home and overall, fits a fixture with no obvious favourite. Tiznit's home scoring rate is modest at 1.13 per game, so the record is worth more for avoiding defeat than for winning. The eight home matches span 15 March to 18 July 2026 and include a 0-0 with Olympique Dcheïra on 18 July, one of four drawn at home.
- US Amal Tiznit overall, 15 March–21 July 2026: 15 competitive matches, 4 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses.
- US Amal Tiznit at home, 15 March–18 July 2026: 8 matches, 3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded per game.
That single match is the only one in Tanger's file with shot and corner data, so it shows a possible pattern rather than a season-long trend.
The scale of the shot deficit is a warning about how much of the game Tanger can expect to control on the road, and they are the away side here. It is one match with shot data in their file, so it describes one afternoon rather than a habit, and their next outing was a home win. Tiznit have no shot data on file, so no direct comparison can be drawn.
- 2 July 2026, UTS Rabat 1-0 IR Tanger: Tanger 8 shots against 26, 1 shot on target against 9, 1 corner against 7, 1 yellow and 1 red card.
League position carries no weight here because neither side has a result in the current campaign.
The table was read two days before kick-off and shows nothing separating the two clubs in this season's competition. All of the form evidence behind this match comes from the window ending in July 2026, so both records are historical rather than current-season returns. That is why this preview leans on those older numbers instead of any standings.
- Standings fetched 22 September 2026: US Amal Tiznit 15th, 0 points, 0 played; IR Tanger 11th, 0 points, 0 played; 16-team league, 2026 season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.10
The read
Tiznit lose rarely at home and Tanger score little on the road, so the home side carries a small edge in a match unlikely to be open.
- US Amal Tiznit: 4 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses in 15 competitive matches
- At home: 3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss in 8 matches, conceding 0.88 per game
- IR Tanger away: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses in 6 matches, scoring 0.67 per game
- No head-to-head matches supplied; both clubs show 0 points played this season
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostUS Amal TiznitEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With first-half scoring this low, the interval is more likely to be level than to be led by either side.
- Combined first-half goal averages imply about 0.8 goals per first half
- Tiznit first half for/against: 0.33 / 0.40 per game
- Tanger first half for/against: 0.46 / 0.46 per game
- Tiznit's last two matches were 0-0 and 1-1 at half time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
With roughly one goal expected after the break, a level second half is the single most likely outcome.
- Combined second-half goal expectancy is close to one per match
- Tiznit second-half for/against: 0.60 / 0.53 per game
- Tanger second-half for/against: 0.54 / 0.31 per game
- Tiznit's last two matches were level after the break
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Tiznit lose rarely at home and Tanger score little on the road, so the home side carries a small edge in a match unlikely to be open. Both teams score and concede barely a goal a game, and Tiznit in particular have drawn more than half their matches, so a level scoreline is a strong possibility.
- US Amal Tiznit: 4 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses in 15 competitive matches
- At home: 3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss in 8 matches, conceding 0.88 per game
- US Amal Tiznit drew 8 of 15 competitive matches, including 4 of 8 at home
- IR Tanger drew 4 of 13
BetBugs · Double ChancelostUS Amal Tiznit or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves in these matches produce well under a goal, and the small home edge in the opening period is only slight. With first-half scoring this low, the interval is more likely to be level than to be led by either side.
- Tiznit first half: 0.33 scored and 0.40 conceded per game over 15 matches
- Tiznit at home in first halves: 0.375 scored and 0.375 conceded per game
- Combined first-half goal averages imply about 0.8 goals per first half
- Tiznit first half for/against: 0.33 / 0.40 per game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonUS Amal Tiznit or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals5 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Both teams average around one goal each per match, so three goals in a single game would be out of keeping with everything on file.
- US Amal Tiznit: 0.93 goals for and 0.93 against per game over 15 matches
- IR Tanger: 1.00 goals for and 0.77 against per game over 13 matches
- Tiznit home games: 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded per game
- Tanger away games: 0.67 scored and 0.83 conceded per game
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Neither attack is reliable enough to assume both sides score, and Tanger's away matches have rarely produced goals at both ends.
- Tiznit both teams scored in 7 of 15 matches; only 3 of 8 at home
- Tanger both teams scored in 6 of 13; 1 of 6 away
- Tiznit kept 6 clean sheets in 15; Tanger kept 4 in 13
- Tanger scored 3 goals across their 6 away matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tiznit's attack produces roughly one goal a game at home, so two or more would be above their usual output.
- Tiznit score 1.13 per home game; 0.93 per game overall
- Tiznit scored 5 goals across their 8 home matches in the totals row
- Tanger concede 0.83 per away game
- Tiznit scored more than once in only one of their last six matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonUS Amal Tiznit under 1.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tanger have scored at roughly two goals every three away games, making two in one match unlikely.
- Tanger score 0.67 per away game; 1.00 per game overall
- Tanger scored 3 goals across their 6 away matches
- Tiznit concede 0.88 per home game and kept 4 clean sheets in 8 home matches
- Tanger's largest recent away output was two goals at Kawkab Marrakech
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostIR Tanger under 1.5Estimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Tiznit have been beaten at home in half their home matches, and Tanger have found a goal in several recent games.
- Tiznit kept clean sheets in 4 of 8 home matches
- Tanger scored in 3 of 6 away matches
- Tanger have scored in four of their last six matches
- Tiznit conceded 0.88 per home game
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIR Tanger to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tiznit have scored in most home matches against modest opposition, which points to Tanger conceding.
- Tiznit scored in 5 of 8 home matches
- Tiznit score 1.13 per home game
- Tanger conceded in 4 of 6 away matches
- Tanger's away per-game concession is 0.83
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonUS Amal Tiznit to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Most home wins or clean sheets for Tiznit have not coincided, so the combined outcome is the less likely branch.
- Tiznit won 3 of 8 home matches
- Tiznit kept clean sheets in only 4 of 8 home matches
- Tanger scored in 3 of 6 away matches
- Tiznit's goals against average at home is 0.88
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined first-half rate sits just under a goal a game, leaving a goal before the break only slightly more likely than none.
- Tiznit first-half totals: 0.33 for and 0.40 against per game
- Tanger first-half totals: 0.46 for and 0.46 against per game
- Home venue split for Tiznit: 0.375 for and 0.375 against in first halves
- Away venue split for Tanger: 0.33 for and 0.50 against in first halves
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams scoring before half time would require roughly double each side's usual first-half output in the same 45 minutes.
- Tiznit average 0.33 first-half goals scored and 0.40 conceded
- Tanger average 0.46 first-half goals scored and 0.46 conceded
- Tanger away first halves: 0.33 scored and 0.50 conceded per game
- No supplied first-half match produced goals for both teams
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates for both teams sit near one goal per match in total, well short of two.
- Tiznit second halves: 0.60 scored and 0.53 conceded per game
- Tanger second halves: 0.54 scored and 0.31 conceded per game
- Tanger away second halves: 0.33 scored and 0.33 conceded per game
- Tiznit's last two matches produced one second-half goal in each
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance75%

League Table

Botola Pro 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	US Amal Tiznit Relegation - Botola 2	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
11	IR Tanger	0	0	0	0	0-0	0

US Amal Tiznit leads the leagueIR Tanger leads the leagueUS Amal Tiznit in relegation zone

Recent Form

US Amal Tiznit

D1-1Olympique DcheïraJul 21BOT

D0-0Olympique DcheïraJul 18BOT

W1-0Chabab Atl. KhenifraJul 5BOT

D1-1Mouloudia OujdaJun 27BOT

L1-3Moghreb TetouanJun 20BOT

W2-1Riadi SalmiJun 14BOT

D1-1El MassiraJun 7BOT

D0-0Union Sportive BoujaadMay 24BOT

L0-3Difaa EL JadidaMay 17CUP

D1-1Widad TémaraMay 10BOT

D2-2Racing de CasablancaMay 3BOT

L0-1Chabab Ben GuerirApr 25BOT

W2-0Wydad FèsApr 5BOT

D0-0USM OujdaMar 29BOT

W2-0Stade MarocainMar 15BOT

IR Tanger

W1-0Widad TémaraSep 19FRI

W3-1Yacoub El MansourSep 13FRI

W2-1CODM MeknèsJul 5BOT

L0-1UTS RabatJul 2BOT

D1-1Raja CasablancaJun 28BOT

L0-2Olympique DcheïraJun 25BOT

W1-0CR Khemis ZemamraJun 21BOT

W2-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 17BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourJun 14BOT

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneJun 8BOT

W2-1Wydad ACJun 3BOT

W1-0Maghreb FèsMay 22BOT

D1-1Difaa EL JadidaMay 10BOT

D1-1FUS RabatMay 6BOT

D0-0FAR RabatMay 3BOT

Squad & Injuries

US Amal Tiznit

24 available

Attackers4

Midfielders11

Defenders4

Goalkeeper5

IR Tanger

31 available

Attackers7

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

US Amal Tiznit or Draw

US Amal Tiznit

Under 2.5

No

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals5 of 10 landed

League Table

Recent Form

US Amal Tiznit

IR Tanger

Squad & Injuries

US Amal Tiznit

IR Tanger