Wigan Athletic3Blackpool2

HT 1–0Tue 22 Sept 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–1127%

Edges0–40%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 14–11On targetOn target 6–4CornersCorners 3–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Sep 2026, 17:44 · Europe/Bucharest

Wigan have been shut out in four of their six home matches, while Blackpool have scored in all 11 competitive games; Blackpool to win or draw at 1.38, no goals in the first half at 4.2 and the first half ending level at 2.63 are the quoted prices that hold up.

Blackpool to win at 2.1 looks about right rather than generous.

Context

Blackpool's only win in the last five meetings was a 2-0 at Wigan on 20 December 2025, and the two most recent meetings both ended 1-1. These games have rarely been separated by more than a single goal, which matters for a Wigan side that has scored in only 3 of 11 competitive matches in the record window and a Blackpool side that has drawn 2 of 11.
- Blackpool 1-1 Wigan, League One, 7 March 2026
- Wigan 1-1 Blackpool, League One, 26 April 2025
- Blackpool 2-2 Wigan, League One, 28 October 2024
- Blackpool's only win in the last five was 2-0 at Wigan on 20 December 2025
That run covers home and away, including five away matches at 1.6 goals apiece, and it is the main reason Blackpool are the favoured side here. The counterweight is their recent results: their last six matches brought one win, one draw and four defeats, and both away league games in the record ended in defeat.
- Blackpool 25 April to 19 September 2026: 11 competitive matches, 5 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats
- 1.73 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per match across those 11 games
- Five away matches in the record: 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game
- Last six matches: one win, one draw, four defeats
Wigan have kept no clean sheet in those six home matches and conceded 1.83 goals per game, so they have rarely been in control at home. All six of their home goals in the window came in two matches, the most recent a 3-1 win over Milton Keynes Dons on 2 September 2026, which shows the scoring has been concentrated rather than steady. Blackpool's five away matches in the record produced 1.6 goals for and 1.4 against per game, a solid rather than heavy away threat.
- Wigan home record 25 April to 19 September 2026: 6 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 defeats
- 1.0 goal scored and 1.83 conceded per home match, no clean sheet
- Four of those six home matches finished without a Wigan goal
- All six Wigan home goals in the window came in two matches, most recently a 3-1 win over Milton Keynes Dons on 2 September 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.10
The read
Blackpool have scored in every match they have played and face a Wigan side managing one goal per home game.
- Blackpool: 5 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats in 11 competitive matches, 1.73 goals per game
- Blackpool scored in all 11 matches and in all 5 away matches
- Wigan concede 1.83 goals per home game and kept no clean sheet at home
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBlackpoolEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.63
The read
First halves involving these teams have produced few goals, with Wigan especially slow to get going.
- Wigan matches average 0.82 first-half goals in total, Blackpool matches 1.36
- Wigan have scored 3 first-half goals in 11 matches
- Blackpool concede 0.2 first-half goals per away match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Blackpool score after the break more reliably than Wigan, who concede late in most home games.
- Blackpool score 0.82 and concede 1.18 second-half goals per match
- Blackpool's away second halves average 2.2 goals in total
- Wigan concede 1.17 second-half goals per home match
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostBlackpoolEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Neither side has controlled matches and recent meetings between these clubs have often finished level. Blackpool have scored in every match they have played and face a Wigan side managing one goal per home game.
- Wigan have drawn 2 of 11 competitive matches, Blackpool 2 of 11
- Three of the last five meetings between the clubs finished level
- Blackpool: 5 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats in 11 competitive matches, 1.73 goals per game
- Blackpool scored in all 11 matches and in all 5 away matches
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or BlackpoolEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves involving these teams have produced few goals, with Wigan especially slow to get going. Blackpool score earlier and more often than Wigan, who concede before the break in most home games.
- Wigan matches average 0.82 first-half goals in total, Blackpool matches 1.36
- Wigan have scored 3 first-half goals in 11 matches
- Blackpool average 0.91 first-half goals in 11 matches and 0.6 away
- Wigan concede 0.67 first-half goals per home match
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or BlackpoolEstimated chance81%

Goals3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's matches have been high-scoring while Wigan concede close to two goals a game at home.
- Wigan home matches average 2.83 goals, Blackpool away matches 3.0
- Blackpool matches average 3.36 goals; their last six produced 4.3 per game
- Wigan recent six matches: 3 scored and 9 conceded
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Wigan's scoring record is weak enough that one side being kept out is the more likely outcome.
- Wigan failed to score in 8 of 11 competitive matches
- Wigan scored in 2 of 6 home matches
- Blackpool kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches, 1 in 5 away
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wigan's home goals have come in only two of six matches, with the other four blanks.
- Wigan have scored 6 goals in 6 home matches, all in two games
- Wigan were shut out in 4 of their 6 home matches
- Wigan average 1.0 goal per home game
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostWigan Athletic under 1.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's away goals have usually arrived singly rather than in bunches.
- Blackpool scored 8 goals across 5 away matches
- Their two away league games this season returned one goal in each
- Blackpool managed 2 goals in 2 away matches at 1.0 per game this season
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostBlackpool under 1.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's habit of scoring early makes at least one first-half goal the likelier outcome.
- Blackpool have scored 10 first-half goals in 11 matches
- Five of Blackpool's last six matches produced a first-half goal
- Wigan concede 0.55 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides concede after the break and Blackpool's matches have consistently produced late goals.
- Wigan's home second halves average 1.67 goals, Blackpool's away second halves 2.2
- Blackpool's last six matches produced 16 second-half goals
- Wigan concede 1.17 second-half goals per home match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance54%

Match stats1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's away matches have produced a lot of corners, mostly at the end they are defending.
- Wigan home matches average 10.0 corners, Blackpool away matches 14.0
- Blackpool concede 9.8 corners per away match and 7.0 overall
- Wigan average 5.36 corners and concede 5.45 per match
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 10.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Blackpool's away games have been shot-heavy, mostly aimed at their own goal.
- Blackpool matches average 30.3 shots in total, Wigan matches 26.5
- Blackpool away matches average 30.6 shots (11.2 for, 19.4 against)
- Wigan home matches average 25.0 shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 26.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wigan generate so few shots on target that the combined total can stay below nine.
- Wigan have produced 3.18 shots on target per match and 2.83 at home
- Wigan home matches average 6.7 shots on target in total
- Blackpool managed 3.4 shots on target per away match
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wigan's matches have carried slightly more bookings than Blackpool's, putting the line near even.
- Wigan matches average 4.0 yellow cards in total, Blackpool matches 3.1
- Wigan home matches average 4.5 yellow cards
- Wigan's last match produced seven yellow cards
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance51%