Second LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Yantra's home form and Lokomotiv GO's barren away scoring point to a low-scoring home-leaning game, with the draw-heavy H2H and two unresolved Yantra defensive fitness watches keeping the stalemate live.
The best-supported outcome is the home-or-draw double chance (78%), but at 1.20 it is fairly priced — the real takeaway is to avoid the short first-half and Yantra team-total lines, where implied probabilities (97% and 75%) far exceed our estimates (80% and 60%).
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 48%
The 2.10 price implies 48%, matching our estimate exactly; low first-half scoring on both sides makes this fairly priced with no genuine edge.
Other edges · 7
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Yantra GabrovoBetBugs 52% · Market 63.7%
The market has overpriced the home side relative to our 52% estimate; the 1.57 price implies 64% but Yantra's home dominance is partly offset by a draw-prone H2H and defensive uncertainty.
BetBugs 78% · Market 83.3%
Our 78% estimate sits below the 83% implied probability, so the double chance is fairly-to-slightly-overpriced rather than a value play.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 64% leaves no cushion vs our 52% estimate; the price already reflects the home-form read and the draw-heavy H2H adds downside.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12-9 | 16 |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8-10 | 12 |