Grobina00 – 0FS Jelgava0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

FS Jelgava's superior away record and recent H2H win, combined with Grobina's poor home form, give the visitors a moderate edge.

• FS Jelgava won the most recent H2H 2-0 at home on 2026-06-29.
• FS Jelgava away record: 4W 5D 5L, 19 goals scored, 24 conceded in 14 away matches.
• Grobina home record: 3W 5D 6L, 12 goals scored, 19 conceded in 14 home matches.
• Grobina last 5 league form: LWLLL (1W 1D 3L).

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostFS JelgavaEstimated chance42%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

FS Jelgava has a slightly better first-half goal difference, but both teams often trail at the break, making this a low-confidence pick.

• FS Jelgava leading at half time in 27% of matches, trailing in 53%.
• Grobina leading at half time in 13% of matches, trailing in 40%.
• FS Jelgava first half goal difference: -0.3 per match; Grobina: -0.5 per match.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFS JelgavaEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half time followed by an FS Jelgava win is plausible given both teams' tendency to draw first halves and FS Jelgava's second-half strength.

• Grobina home matches: 5 draws in 14, with 3 wins and 6 losses.
• FS Jelgava away matches: 5 draws in 14, with 4 wins and 5 losses.
• H2H last meeting: FS Jelgava won 2-0 after a 0-0 first half.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/FS JelgavaEstimated chance22%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

FS Jelgava's away games tend to be high-scoring, and Grobina's defensive record at home is poor, supporting over 2.5 goals.

• Grobina home matches average 2.21 total goals (12 scored + 19 conceded in 14).
• FS Jelgava away matches average 3.07 total goals (19 scored + 24 conceded in 14).
• FS Jelgava last 5 away matches: 4, 5, 1, 3, 5 total goals (avg 3.6).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have high rates of scoring and conceding in their respective home/away splits, making BTTS likely.

• Grobina scored in 9 of 14 home matches (64%).
• FS Jelgava conceded in 11 of 14 away matches (79%).
• FS Jelgava scored in 10 of 14 away matches (71%).
• Grobina conceded in 11 of 14 home matches (79%).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

FS Jelgava's away matches consistently produce first-half goals, and Grobina's first-half defensive weakness supports over 0.5.

• Grobina first half goals per match: 0.2, first half goals conceded: 0.7 (avg total 0.9).
• FS Jelgava first half goals per match: 0.5, first half goals conceded: 0.8 (avg total 1.3).
• FS Jelgava away first half totals in last 5: 1, 2, 1, 1, 4 (all over 0.5).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score more in the second half, but the margin is thin, so confidence is low.

• Grobina second half goals per match: 0.5 (0.7 total - 0.2 first half).
• FS Jelgava second half goals per match: 0.9 (1.4 total - 0.5 first half).
• Combined second half average: 1.4 goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Grobina's home scoring is low, but FS Jelgava's away defense is leaky, giving a moderate chance of over 1.5 home goals.

• Grobina home goals per match: 0.86 (12 in 14).
• Grobina scored 2+ goals in only 3 of 14 home matches (21%).
• FS Jelgava conceded 2+ goals in 8 of 14 away matches (57%).

BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostGrobina over 1.5Estimated chance45%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

FS Jelgava's away scoring rate and Grobina's home defensive weakness support over 1.5 away goals.

• FS Jelgava away goals per match: 1.36 (19 in 14).
• FS Jelgava scored 2+ goals in 6 of 14 away matches (43%).
• Grobina conceded 2+ goals in 7 of 14 home matches (50%).

BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostFS Jelgava over 1.5Estimated chance55%