Estrella del Sur or Draw
Market 65.4% · BetBugs 72%
Estrella's strong home resilience and Yupanqui's inconsistent away form make the home double chance a solid play.
Primera CFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back the first-half under 0.5 goals at 2.40 (model edge +28 points) and Estrella del Sur or Draw at 1.53 (+6.6 points).
Avoid the over 2.5 goals and Yupanqui first-half lead, as the market has priced those outcomes fairly or worse.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 5
Market 65.4% · BetBugs 72%
Estrella's strong home resilience and Yupanqui's inconsistent away form make the home double chance a solid play.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have low first-half scoring and Estrella rarely trail at home, making a level half-time the most likely outcome.
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 60%
Low-scoring H2H history and Estrella's solid home defense point to a tight match with limited goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 30.8% is close to our estimate of 28%, leaving no value cushion.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Estrella del SurPromotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs) | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 27-26 | 39 |
| 10 | Yupanqui | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31-31 | 33 |

