Draw
Market 36.4% · BetBugs 38%
Three consecutive H2H draws and evenly matched form make the draw the most likely single outcome, and the odds offer a small edge over our estimate.
Primera CFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.45 — our 72% estimate beats the 69% implied probability, and the last four H2H meetings all had two or fewer goals.
The draw at 2.75 is a marginal value play, but avoid double chance and BTTS markets where the odds are efficient.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 36.4% · BetBugs 38%
Three consecutive H2H draws and evenly matched form make the draw the most likely single outcome, and the odds offer a small edge over our estimate.
Market 53.2% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to be level at the break, and H2H psychology reinforces a first-half draw, with odds slightly better than our estimate.
Market 69% · BetBugs 72%
H2H psychology and both teams' modest scoring rates support a low-scoring match, with under 2.5 goals highly likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puerto Nuevo CampanaPromotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs) | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 20-20 | 34 |
| 4 | YupanquiPromotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs) | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 29-24 | 32 |

