Lindome GIF1Landvetter IS2

HT 0–0Fri 11 Sept 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–283%

Edges3–175%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 16:04 · Europe/Bucharest

Landvetter IS are strong favourites away to Lindome, but the best value lies in the double chance market (Landvetter or Draw) at 1.57, with an estimated 72% probability versus the implied 64%.

Avoid the straight away win and over 2.5 goals, as both offer negative edges; over 3.5 goals at 1.91 is a modest alternative.

Context

Landvetter IS have won 14 of 20 league matches and hold the best goal difference in the division.
The 10-point lead means Landvetter IS can play without pressure, while Lindome GIF need points to stay in the promotion race. Lindome's home record is only four wins in ten, so they must improve at home to challenge the leaders.
- Landvetter IS are 1st with 44 points from 20 matches.
- Lindome GIF are 5th with 34 points from 20 matches.
- Landvetter IS have a goal difference of +19, the best in the league.
Landvetter IS have collected 17 points from nine away matches, with five wins and two draws.
Their away solidity contrasts with Lindome's home struggles: Lindome have conceded 18 goals in ten home matches. This suggests Landvetter can control the game even away from home.
- Landvetter IS away record: 5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in 9 matches.
- Landvetter IS have conceded only 8 goals away from home.
- Lindome GIF home record: 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in 10 matches.
Landvetter lead the table with 44 points from 20 matches, while Lindome sit fifth with 34.
A Lindome win would cut the gap to seven points, while a Landvetter win would extend it to 13. The fixture carries direct competition stakes for the home side.
- Lindome’s official league table lists Landvetter IS first with 44 points from 20 matches.
- The same table lists Lindome GIF fifth with 34 points from 20 matches.
ConfirmedSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 16:03 · Europe/BucharestLindome GIF Herr official league tablewww.laget.se · 6 Sep 2026
Lindome GIF's recent run includes wins over Västra Frölunda, Onsala, Astrio, and Åstorp.
The only defeat in that stretch was a 0-2 loss at Hestrafor on September 6. This strong run shows Lindome can score goals, but they have been less consistent at home.
- Lindome GIF won 4-1 at Onsala on August 23.
- Lindome GIF beat Västra Frölunda 2-1 at home on August 28.
- Lindome GIF lost 0-2 at Hestrafor on September 6.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Landvetter IS

1.95fair 2.38

BetBugs 42% · Market 51.3%

0.0ppshort

Landvetter's superior league position and away form give them an edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's superior league position and stronger away form give them an edge, though Lindome's home advantage and recent H2H wins keep it close.
- Landvetter IS are 1st with 44 points, 10 ahead of Lindome (5th, 34).
- Landvetter away record: 5W 2D 2L, 16 goals for, 8 against.
- Lindome home record: 4W 2D 4L, 16 goals for, 18 against.
- H2H last 5: Landvetter won 3, Lindome won 2.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonLandvetter ISEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's consistency and Lindome's vulnerable home form make the away side or draw a strong double chance.
- Landvetter have lost only 4 of 20 league matches.
- Lindome have lost 6 of 20, including 4 home defeats.
- Landvetter away losses: 2 in 9.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonLandvetter IS or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first half is likely to be tight with both teams cautious, making a draw at the break a plausible outcome.
- Lindome led at half-time in 47% of matches, trailed in 20%.
- Landvetter led at half-time in 33%, trailed in 13%.
- Both teams have similar first-half goal averages.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by Landvetter's superior quality in the second half is a plausible but low-probability sequence.
- Landvetter have won 14 of 20 matches, often after competitive first halves.
- Lindome have drawn at half-time in several recent matches.
- H2H: Landvetter have come from behind or drawn at half-time in some meetings.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / Landvetter ISEstimated chance18%

Goals6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have positive attacking output and H2H meetings often produce goals, supporting over 2.5.
- Lindome average 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
- Landvetter average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.
- Combined average goals per match: 3.4.
- H2H last 5: 3, 5, 3, 1, 4 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly find the net and neither keeps clean sheets consistently, making BTTS likely.
- Lindome scored in 13 of 15 recent matches.
- Landvetter scored in 12 of 15 recent matches.
- Lindome conceded in 10 of 15 recent matches.
- Landvetter conceded in 8 of 15 recent matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams contribute to first-half scoring, but the line is high relative to averages, so confidence is low.
- Lindome average 0.9 first-half goals scored, 0.5 conceded.
- Landvetter average 0.8 first-half goals scored, 0.4 conceded.
- Combined first-half goal average: 1.7.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as both teams push for results, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Lindome average 1.2 second-half goals scored (2.1 total - 0.9 first half).
- Landvetter average 0.8 second-half goals scored (1.6 total - 0.8 first half).
- Combined second-half goal average: 2.0.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome's defensive record at home is poor, and Landvetter's consistent scoring makes a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Lindome conceded in 10 of 15 recent matches.
- Landvetter scored in 12 of 15 recent matches.
- Lindome home record: 18 goals conceded in 10 home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLandvetter IS to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's away defense is not impenetrable, and Lindome's strong scoring form makes an away clean sheet unlikely.
- Landvetter conceded in 8 of 15 recent matches.
- Lindome scored in 13 of 15 recent matches.
- Landvetter away record: 8 goals conceded in 9 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLindome GIF to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome's attacking output at home should be enough to score at least twice against a solid but not impenetrable Landvetter defense.
- Lindome average 2.1 goals per match overall.
- Lindome home matches average 1.6 goals scored.
- Landvetter concede 0.9 goals per match on average.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostLindome GIF over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Landvetter's away scoring is decent, but Lindome's home defense has been inconsistent, making over 1.5 away goals a moderate chance.
- Landvetter average 1.6 goals per match overall.
- Landvetter away matches average 1.78 goals scored.
- Lindome concede 1.3 goals per match on average.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonLandvetter IS over 1.5Estimated chance40%