Goztepe
BetBugs 42% · Market 54%
Home advantage and superior recent H2H record give Goztepe a slight edge despite their poor league start.
Süper LigFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Göztepe's three centre-back injuries and Gaziantep's last-minute coaching change create uncertainty, but the market overprices a home win (42% model vs 54% implied).
Avoid backing Göztepe or the double chance; instead, consider goals or cards markets where the disruptions may create value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
GoztepeBetBugs 42% · Market 54%
Home advantage and superior recent H2H record give Goztepe a slight edge despite their poor league start.
BetBugs 68% · Market 80%
Goztepe's home resilience and Gaziantep's inconsistent away form make a home win or draw likely.
BetBugs 55% · Market 58.8%
Both teams' recent matches average around 3.0 total goals, and the last H2H produced 3 goals, supporting a high-scoring game.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 54% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; price already reflects the directional read and offers negative value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Goztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 1 |
| 13 | Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 4 |

